English

Epidemic Models for COVID-19 during the First Wave from February to May 2020: a Methodological Review

Applications 2021-09-06 v1 Populations and Evolution

Abstract

We review epidemiological models for the propagation of the COVID-19 pandemic during the early months of the outbreak: from February to May 2020. The aim is to propose a methodological review that highlights the following characteristics: (i) the epidemic propagation models, (ii) the modeling of intervention strategies, (iii) the models and estimation procedures of the epidemic parameters and (iv) the characteristics of the data used. We finally selected 80 articles from open access databases based on criteria such as the theoretical background, the reproducibility, the incorporation of interventions strategies, etc. It mainly resulted to phenomenological, compartmental and individual-level models. A digital companion including an online sheet, a Kibana interface and a markdown document is proposed. Finally, this work provides an opportunity to witness how the scientific community reacted to this unique situation.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2109.01450,
  title  = {Epidemic Models for COVID-19 during the First Wave from February to May 2020: a Methodological Review},
  author = {Marie Garin and Myrto Limnios and Alice Nicolaï and Ioannis Bargiotas and Olivier Boulant and Stephen Chick and Amir Dib and Theodoros Evgeniou and Mathilde Fekom and Argyris Kalogeratos and Christophe Labourdette and Anton Ovchinnikov and Raphaël Porcher and Camille Pouchol and Nicolas Vayatis},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2109.01450},
  year   = {2021}
}