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This paper is devoted to the analysis of a reaction-diffusion system with strong competition and spatial heterogeneities modelling the interaction between two species of mosquitoes. In particular, we propose a mathematical model that…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Nicolas Vauchelet

We consider modeling a binary response variable together with a set of covariates for two groups under observational data. The grouping variable can be the confounding variable (the common cause of treatment and outcome), gender,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-13 Rasool Tahmasbi , Keyvan Tahmasbi

Based on approximately 90,000 confirmed dengue cases reported in Recife - a major city in northeastern Brazil - between 2015 and 2024, we conducted a neighborhood-level spatial analysis. Socioeconomic and demographic indicators from the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-15 Marcílio Ferreira dos Santos

The risk of mosquito-borne disease outbreaks is tightly linked to the frequency at which mosquitoes feed on blood, also known as the biting rate. However, standard models of mosquito-borne disease transmission inherently assume that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-14 Kyle J. -M. Dahlin , Michael A. Robert , Lauren M. Childs

Improving health worldwide will require rigorous quantification of population-level trends in health status. However, global-level surveys are not available, forcing researchers to rely on fragmentary country-specific data of varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-20 Mariel M. Finucane , Christopher J. Paciorek , Goodarz Danaei , Majid Ezzati

In economic development, there are often regions that share similar economic characteristics, and economic models on such regions tend to have similar covariate effects. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian clustered regression for…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-30 Zhihua Ma , Yishu Xue , Guanyu Hu

In this paper, we explore whether the infection-rate of a disease can serve as a robust monitoring variable in epidemiological surveillance algorithms. The infection-rate is dependent on population mixing patterns that do not vary…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-17 Wyatt Bridgman , Cosmin Safta , Jaideep Ray

A malaria model is formulated which includes the enhanced attractiveness of infectious humans to mosquitoes, as result of host manipulation by malaria parasite, and the human behavior, represented by insecticide-treated bed nets usage. The…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2013-11-14 Bruno Buonomo

Functional concurrent, or varying-coefficient, regression models are commonly used in biomedical and clinical settings to investigate how the relation between an outcome and observed covariate varies as a function of another covariate. In…

Despite the amount of research on disease mapping in recent years, the use of multivariate models for areal spatial data remains limited due to difficulties in implementation and computational burden. These problems are exacerbated when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-24 G. Vicente , A. Adin , T. Goicoa , M. D. Ugarte

Wildfires have significantly increased in the United States (U.S.), making certain areas harder to live in. This motivates us to jointly analyze active fires and population changes in the U.S. from July 2020 to June 2021. The available data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Shijie Zhou , Jonathan R. Bradley

We propose autoregressive Bayesian semi-parametric models for waiting times between recurrent events. The aim is two-fold: inference on the effect of possibly time-varying covariates on the gap times and clustering of individuals based on…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-28 Marta Tallarita , Maria De Iorio , Alessandra Guglielmi , James Malone-Lee

Quantifying spatial and/or temporal associations in multivariate geolocated data of different types is achievable via spatial random effects in a Bayesian hierarchical model, but severe computational bottlenecks arise when spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Michele Peruzzi , David B. Dunson

An ordinary differential model is proposed to understand the role of egg quiescence on the efficacy of releasing Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes to control arbovirus transmission. The model admits up to five equilibrium points and four…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-17 Luís E. S. Lopes , Cláudia P. Ferreira

This paper develops a large-scale Bayesian spatio-temporal binomial regression model for the purpose of investigating regional trends in antibody prevalence to Borrelia burgdorferi, the causative agent of Lyme disease. The proposed model…

Epidemiological investigations of regionally aggregated spatial data often involve detecting spatial health disparities among neighboring regions on a map of disease mortality or incidence rates. Analyzing such data introduces spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Kyle Lin Wu , Sudipto Banerjee

We introduce a Bayesian approach for multivariate spatio-temporal prediction for high-dimensional count-valued data. Our primary interest is when there are possibly millions of data points referenced over different variables, geographic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-24 Jonathan R. Bradley , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

In this work we present full Bayesian inference for a new flexible nonseparable class of cross-covariance functions for multivariate spatial data. A Bayesian test is proposed for separability of covariance functions which is much more…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-24 Rafael S. Erbisti , Thais C. O. Fonseca , Mariane B. Alves

In many applications, it is of interest to study trends over time in relationships among categorical variables, such as age group, ethnicity, religious affiliation, political party and preference for particular policies. At each time point,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-15 Tsuyoshi Kunihama , David B. Dunson

\textit{Aedes albopictus} mosquitoes are competent vectors for the spread of at least 24 different arboviruses, including dengue, Ross River, and Japanese encephalitis viruses. However, they remain less studied than their more urban…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-04 Matthew Ryan , Manuela Mendiolar , Dan Pagendam , Roslyn Hickson , Brendan Trewin