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We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on nonparametric or semiparametric models based on Gaussian processes. The rate of contraction is shown to depend on the position of the true parameter relative to the reproducing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

We confirm the eventual evasiveness of several classes of monotone graph properties under widely accepted number theoretic hypotheses. In particular we show that Chowla's conjecture on Dirichlet primes implies that (a) for any graph $H$,…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2010-02-03 Laszlo Babai , Anandam Banerjee , Raghav Kulkarni , Vipul Naik

We consider the distribution of cycles in two models of random permutations, that are related to one another. In the first model, cycles receive a weight that depends on their length. The second model deals with permutations of points in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-24 Volker Betz , Daniel Ueltschi

Contrary to what would be predicted on the basis of Cram\'er's model concerning the distribution of prime numbers, we develop evidence that the distribution of $\psi(x+H)- \psi(x)$, for $0\le x\le N$, is approximately normal with mean $\sim…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Hugh L. Montgomery , K. Soundararajan

Simultaneous predictive distributions for independent Poisson observables are investigated. A class of improper prior distributions for Poisson means is introduced. The Bayesian predictive distributions based on priors from the introduced…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Fumiyasu Komaki

We continue investigations on the average number of representations of a large positive integer as a sum of given powers of prime numbers. The average is taken over a short interval, whose admissible length depends on whether or not we…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Marco Cantarini , Alessandro Gambini , Alessandro Zaccagnini

A one-parameter family of point processes describing the distribution of the critical points of the characteristic polynomial of large random Hermitian matrices on the scale of mean spacing is investigated. Conditionally on the Riemann…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-18 Sasha Sodin

Multivariate linear regression models often face the problem of heteroscedasticity caused by multiple explanatory variables. The weighted least squares estimation with univariate-dependent weights has limitations in constructing weight…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Lei Huang , Chengyue Liu , Li Wang

In this paper, we address the problem of testing independence between two high-dimensional random vectors. Our approach involves a series of max-sum tests based on three well-known classes of rank-based correlations. These correlation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-04 Hongfei Wang , Binghui Liu , Long Feng

Analysis of competing risks data plays an important role in the lifetime data analysis. Recently Feizjavadian and Hashemi (Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, vol. 82, 19-34, 2015) provided a classical inference of a competing risks…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-04 Debashis Samanta , Debasis Kundu

We bring to bear an empirical model of the distribution of twin primes and produce two distinct results. The first is that we can make a quantitative probabilistic prediction of the occurrence of gaps in the sequence of twins within the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-07 P. F. Kelly , Terry Pilling

In logistic regression, separation occurs when a linear combination of the predictors can perfectly classify part or all of the observations in the sample, and as a result, finite maximum likelihood estimates of the regression coefficients…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-10 Joyee Ghosh , Yingbo Li , Robin Mitra

We study full Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear regression. We adopt data-dependent empirical priors introduced in [1]. In their paper, these priors have nice posterior contraction properties and are easy to compute. Our paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-14 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh

We consider testing marginal independence versus conditional independence in a trivariate Gaussian setting. The two models are non-nested and their intersection is a union of two marginal independences. We consider two sequences of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-23 F. Richard Guo , Thomas S. Richardson

We propose a nonparametric test for serial independence that aggregates pairwise similarities of observations with lag-dependent weights. The resulting statistic is powerful to general forms of temporal dependence, including nonlinear and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Qihua Zhu , Mingshuo Liu , Yuefeng Han , Doudou Zhou

If the prior probability distributions of all possible hypothetical true means and all possible observed means of a continuous variable are conditional on the universal set of all numbers (i.e., before the nature of a study is known and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Huw Llewelyn

We show that once $\theta>17/30$, every sufficiently long interval $[x,x+x^\theta]$ contains many $k$-term arithmetic progressions of primes, uniformly in the starting point $x$. More precisely, for each fixed $k\ge3$ and $\theta>17/30$,…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Le Duc Hieu

Standard prime-number counting functions, such as $\psi(x)$, $\theta(x)$, and $\pi(x)$, have error terms with limiting logarithmic distributions once suitably normalized. The same is true of weighted versions of those sums, like $\pi_r(x) =…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Shubhrajit Bhattacharya , Greg Martin , Reginald M. Simpson

Least-squares fits are an important tool in many data analysis applications. In this paper, we review theoretical results, which are relevant for their application to data from counting experiments. Using a simple example, we illustrate the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-07 Hans Dembinski , Michael Schmelling , Roland Waldi

We establish a lower bound on the entropy of weighted sums of (possibly dependent) random variables $(X_1, X_2, \dots, X_n)$ possessing a symmetric joint distribution. Our lower bound is in terms of the joint entropy of $(X_1, X_2, \dots,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Jing Hao , Varun Jog
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