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WISE: A Weighted Similarity Aggregation Test for Serial Independence

Methodology 2025-09-09 v1

Abstract

We propose a nonparametric test for serial independence that aggregates pairwise similarities of observations with lag-dependent weights. The resulting statistic is powerful to general forms of temporal dependence, including nonlinear and uncorrelated alternatives, and applies to ultra-high-dimensional and non-Euclidean data. We derive asymptotic normality under both permutation and population nulls, and establish consistency in classical large-sample and high-dimension-low-sample-size (HDLSS) regimes. The test therefore provides the first theoretical power guarantees for serial independence in the HDLSS setting. Simulations demonstrate accurate size and strong power against a wide range of alternatives, showing significant power improvement over existing methods under various high-dimensional time series models. An application to spatio-temporal data illustrates the method's utility for non-Euclidean observations.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2509.05678,
  title  = {WISE: A Weighted Similarity Aggregation Test for Serial Independence},
  author = {Qihua Zhu and Mingshuo Liu and Yuefeng Han and Doudou Zhou},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2509.05678},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T05:24:18.865Z