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Ensembles of decision trees are a useful tool for obtaining for obtaining flexible estimates of regression functions. Examples of these methods include gradient boosted decision trees, random forests, and Bayesian CART. Two potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Antonio Ricardo Linero , Yun Yang

In a traditional Gaussian graphical model, data homogeneity is routinely assumed with no extra variables affecting the conditional independence. In modern genomic datasets, there is an abundance of auxiliary information, which often gets…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-16 Yabo Niu , Yang Ni , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick

This research aims to propose and evaluate a novel model named K-Fold Causal Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (K-Fold Causal BART) for improved estimation of Average Treatment Effects (ATE) and Conditional Average Treatment Effects…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-10 Hugo Gobato Souto , Francisco Louzada Neto

We propose a novel "tree-averaging" model that utilizes the ensemble of classification and regression trees (CART). Each constituent tree is estimated with a subset of similar data. We treat this grouping of subsets as Bayesian ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-08-20 Leo L. Duan , John P. Clancy , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Decision trees with binary splits are popularly constructed using Classification and Regression Trees (CART) methodology. For binary classification and regression models, this approach recursively divides the data into two near-homogenous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-17 Jason M. Klusowski

This paper presents a novel approach to enhance the Binary-Addition-Tree algorithm (BAT) by integrating incremental learning techniques. BAT, known for its simplicity in development, implementation, and application, is a powerful implicit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Wei-Chang Yeh

The success of Bayesian inference with MCMC depends critically on Markov chains rapidly reaching the posterior distribution. Despite the plentitude of inferential theory for posteriors in Bayesian non-parametrics, convergence properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Jungeum Kim , Veronika Rockova

Methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effect in observational data have largely focused on continuous or binary outcomes, and have been relatively less vetted with survival outcomes. Using flexible machine learning methods in the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-09 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Fan Li

We address the problem of Bayesian structure learning for domains with hundreds of variables by employing non-parametric bootstrap, recursively. We propose a method that covers both model averaging and model selection in the same framework.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-14 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Guy Koren , Gal Novik

This article introduces a flexible and adaptive nonparametric method for estimating the association between multiple covariates and power spectra of multiple time series. The proposed approach uses a Bayesian sum of trees model to capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-01 Yakun Wang , Zeda Li , Scott A. Bruce

This paper introduces Type 2 Tobit Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (TOBART-2). BART can produce accurate individual-specific treatment effect estimates. However, in practice estimates are often biased by sample selection. We extend the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-04 Eoghan O'Neill

This research proposes a flexible Bayesian extension of the composite Gaussian process (CGP) model of Ba and Joseph (2012) for predicting (stationary or) non-stationary $y(\mathbf{x})$. The CGP generalizes the regression plus stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-27 Casey B. Davis , Christopher M. Hans , Thomas J. Santner

Undirected graphical models are powerful tools for uncovering complex relationships among high-dimensional variables. This paper aims to fully recover the structure of an undirected graphical model when the data naturally take matrix form,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-08 Minsub Shin , Johan Lim , Seongoh Park

This paper presents a Bayesian reformulation of covariate-assisted principal (CAP) regression of Zhao and others (2021), which aims to identify components in the covariance of response signal that are associated with covariates in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-30 Hyung G. Park

Gaussian graphical models provide a powerful framework to reveal the conditional dependency structure between multivariate variables. The process of uncovering the conditional dependency network is known as structure learning. Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Lucas Vogels , Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , S. Ilker Birbil

We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for both covariate selection and sparse precision matrix estimation in the context of high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models involving multiple responses. Our approach provides a sparse estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-25 Anwesha Chakravarti , Naveen N. Narishetty , Feng Liang

Gaussian process (GP) covariance function is proposed as a matching tool in GPMatch within a full Bayesian framework under relatively weaker causal assumptions. The matching is accomplished by utilizing GP prior covariance function to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-18 Bin Huang , Chen Chen , Jinzhong Liu

Prior work has shown that combining bootstrap imputation with tree-based machine learning variable selection methods can provide good performances achievable on fully observed data when covariate and outcome data are missing at random…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-14 Jung-Yi Joyce Lin , Liangyuan Hu , Chuyue Huang , Steven Lawrence , Usha Govindarajulu

To achieve the goal of providing the best possible care to each patient, physicians need to customize treatments for patients with the same diagnosis, especially when treating diseases that can progress further and require additional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Xiao Li , Brent R Logan , S M Ferdous Hossain , Erica E M Moodie

A hierarchical Bayesian approach that permits simultaneous inference for the regression coefficient matrix and the error precision (inverse covariance) matrix in the multivariate linear model is proposed. Assuming a natural ordering of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Christina Zhao , Ding Xiang , Galin L. Jones , Adam J. Rothman