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Hierarchical Bayesian models are increasingly used in large, inhomogeneous complex network dynamical systems by modeling parameters as draws from a hyperparameter-governed distribution. However, theoretical guarantees for these estimates as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Yi Yu , Yubo Hou , Yinchong Wang , Nan Zhang , Jianfeng Feng , Wenlian Lu

In prognostics and health management (PHM) of engineered systems, maintenance decisions are ideally informed by predictions of a system's remaining useful life (RUL) based on operational data. Model-based prognostics algorithms rely on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Xinyu Jia , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

To simply and effectively realize the trajectory tracking control of a bionic joint actuated by a single pneumatic artificial muscle (PAM), a cascaded control strategy is proposed based on the robust modeling method. Firstly, the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-16 Yang Wang , Qiang Zhang , Xiao-hui Xiao

In this paper, we develop a semiparametric sensitivity analysis approach designed to address unmeasured confounding in observational studies with time-to-event outcomes. We target estimation of the marginal distributions of potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Linda Amoafo , Shiyao Xu , Elizabeth Platz , Daniel Scharfstein

Background: More than half (57%) of pharma clinical research spend is in support of clinical trials. One reason is that Electronic Health Record (EHR) systems and HIPAA privacy rules often limit how broadly patient information can be…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-03 Andrew J McMurry , Richen Zhang , Alex Foxman , Lawrence Reiter , Ronny Schnel , DeLeys Brandman

We consider the problem of clustering nested or hierarchical data, where observations are grouped and there are both group-level and observation-level variables. In our motivating OneK1K dataset, observations consist of single-cell…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Arhit Chakrabarti , Yang Ni , Yuchao Jiang , Bani K. Mallick

Recent work has focused on nonparametric estimation of conditional treatment effects, but inference has remained relatively unexplored. We propose a class of nonparametric tests for both quantitative and qualitative treatment effect…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Oliver Dukes , Mats J. Stensrud , Riccardo Brioschi , Aaron Hudson

Although combination antiretroviral therapy (ART) is highly effective in suppressing viral load for people with HIV (PWH), many ART agents may exacerbate central nervous system (CNS)-related adverse effects including depression. Therefore,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-14 Wei Jin , Yang Ni , Leah H. Rubin , Amanda B. Spence , Yanxun Xu

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) often exhibit limited inferential efficiency in estimating treatment effects due to small sample sizes. In recent years, the combination of external controls has gained increasing attention as a means of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-06 Qinwei Yang , Jingyi Li , Peng Wu

While machine learning is rapidly being developed and deployed in health settings such as influenza prediction, there are critical challenges in using data from one environment in another due to variability in features; even within disease…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-10 Vishwali Mhasawade , Nabeel Abdur Rehman , Rumi Chunara

A treatment regime is a function that maps individual patient information to a recommended treatment, hence explicitly incorporating the heterogeneity in need for treatment across individuals. Patient responses are dichotomous and can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-07 Yingfei Wang , Warren Powell

Evidence accumulation models (EAMs) provide a powerful framework for inferring latent cognitive processes from choice and reaction time data. While EAMs are traditionally limited to binary choices, recent developments have extended them to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yufei Wu , Tamás Szűcs , Agnes Moors , Francis Tuerlinckx

Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) is a popular framework for estimating a causal effect in settings where treatment is assigned if an observed covariate exceeds a fixed threshold. We consider estimation and inference in the common…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Kevin Tao , Y. Samuel Wang , David Ruppert

Some patients benefit from a treatment while others may do so less or do not benefit at all. We have previously developed a two-stage network meta-regression prediction model that synthesized randomized trials and evaluates how treatment…

A full parametric and linear specification may be insufficient to capture complicated patterns in studies exploring complex features, such as those investigating age-related changes in brain functional abilities. Alternatively, a partially…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-07 Jia Liang , Shuo Chen , Peter Kochunov , L Elliot Hong , Chixiang Chen

PURPOSE Providing rapid answers and early acces to patients to innovative treatments without randomized clinical trial (RCT) is growing, with benefit estimated from single-arm trials. This has become common in oncology, impacting the…

Epidemiologic and genetic studies in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and many complex diseases suggest subgroup disparities (e.g., by sex). We consider this problem from the standpoint of integrative analysis where we combine…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 J. Butts , C. Wendt , R. Bowler , C. P. Hersh , Q. Long , L. Eberly , S. E. Safo

We propose an improved method for estimating partial differential equations and delay partial differential equations from data, using Bayesian optimization and the Bayesian information criterion to automatically find suitable…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-02-23 Oliver Mai , Tim W. Kroll , Uwe Thiele , Oliver Kamps

In this work, we offer a thorough analytical investigation into the role of shared hyperparameters in a hierarchical Bayesian model, examining their impact on information borrowing and posterior inference. Our approach is rooted in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Prasenjit Ghosh , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

In pre-clinical and medical quality control, it is of interest to assess the stability of the process under monitoring or to validate a current observation using historical control data. Classically, this is done by the application of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-09 Max Menssen , Martina Dammann , Firas Fneish , David Ellenberger , Frank Schaarschmid