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The availability of electronic health records (EHR) has opened opportunities to supplement increasingly expensive and difficult to carry out randomized controlled trials (RCT) with evidence from readily available real world data. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Noirrit Kiran Chandra , Abhra Sarkar , John F. de Groot , Ying Yuan , Peter Müller

We propose the Plaid Atoms Model (PAM), a novel Bayesian nonparametric model for grouped data. Founded on an idea of `atom skipping', PAM is part of a well-established category of models that generate dependent random distributions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-02 Dehua Bi , Yuan Ji

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are widely considered the gold standard for evaluating the effectiveness of new treatments or interventions in drug development. Still, they may not be feasible in certain cases, such as with rare diseases…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Di Ran , Fanni Zhang , Sima Shahsavari , Kristine Broglio , Alasdair Henderson , Binbing Yu

Recent advances in topic models have explored complicated structured distributions to represent topic correlation. For example, the pachinko allocation model (PAM) captures arbitrary, nested, and possibly sparse correlations between topics…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Wei Li , David Blei , Andrew McCallum

The use of high-dimensional data for targeted therapeutic interventions requires new ways to characterize the heterogeneity observed across subgroups of a specific population. In particular, models for partially exchangeable data are needed…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-18 Francesco Denti , Federico Camerlenghi , Michele Guindani , Antonietta Mira

In early phase drug development of combination therapy, the primary objective is to preliminarily assess whether there is additive activity from a novel agent when combined with an established monotherapy. Due to potential feasibility…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Zhaohua Lu , John Toso , Girma Ayele , Philip He

Individualized treatment decisions can improve health outcomes, but using data to make these decisions in a reliable, precise, and generalizable way is challenging with a single dataset. Leveraging multiple randomized controlled trials…

Most clinical trials involve the comparison of a new treatment to a control arm (e.g., the standard of care) and the estimation of a treatment effect. External data, including historical clinical trial data and real-world observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-17 Tianjian Zhou , Yuan Ji

In this project we are interested in performing clustering of observations such that the cluster membership is influenced by a set of predictors. To that end, we employ the Bayesian nonparameteric Common Atoms Model, which is a nested…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-11 Md Yasin Ali Parh , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Bridging the gap between internal and external validity is crucial for heterogeneous treatment effect estimation. Randomised controlled trials (RCTs), favoured for their internal validity due to randomisation, often encounter challenges in…

Network meta-analysis (NMA) synthesizes evidence for multiple treatments, but decisions on node formation can have important statistical implications including bias or inflated uncertainty. Existing data-driven methods often lack…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-30 Timothy Disher , Chris Cameron , Brian Hutton

Treatment effect heterogeneity refers to the systematic variation in treatment effects across subgroups. There is an increasing need for clinical trials that aim to investigate treatment effect heterogeneity and estimate subgroup-specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Xianglin Zhao , Shirin Golchi , Jean-Philippe Gouin , Kaberi Dasgupta

We propose a statistical modeling technique, called the Hierarchical Association Rule Model (HARM), that predicts a patient's possible future medical conditions given the patient's current and past history of reported conditions. The core…

Applications · Statistics 2012-06-29 Tyler H. McCormick , Cynthia Rudin , David Madigan

Graphical model has been widely used to investigate the complex dependence structure of high-dimensional data, and it is common to assume that observed data follow a homogeneous graphical model. However, observations usually come from…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-01 Kevin Lee , Lingzhou Xue

This paper demonstrates the advantages of sharing information about unknown features of covariates across multiple model components in various nonparametric regression problems including multivariate, heteroscedastic, and semi-continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-11 Antonio R. Linero , Debajyoti Sinha , Stuart R. Lipsitz

When incorporating historical control data into the analysis of current randomized controlled trial data, it is critical to account for differences between the datasets. When the cause of the difference is an unmeasured factor and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 Tomohiro Ohigashi , Kazushi Maruo , Takashi Sozu , Masahiko Gosho

AI algorithms have become valuable in aiding professionals in healthcare. The increasing confidence obtained by these models is helpful in critical decision demands. In clinical dermatology, classification models can detect malignant…

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects is an important problem across many domains. In order to accurately estimate such treatment effects, one typically relies on data from observational studies or randomized experiments. Currently,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-28 Tobias Hatt , Jeroen Berrevoets , Alicia Curth , Stefan Feuerriegel , Mihaela van der Schaar

In recent years, real-world external controls have grown in popularity as a tool to empower randomized placebo-controlled trials, particularly in rare diseases or cases where balanced randomization is unethical or impractical. However, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Chenyin Gao , Shu Yang , Mingyang Shan , Wenyu Ye , Ilya Lipkovich , Douglas Faries

Background and Objective: Uncertainty in non-linear mixed effect models is often assessed using the Fisher information matrix to derive the standard errors of estimation. The bootstrap is an alternative to the asymptotic method, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Sofia Kaisaridi , Moreno Ursino , Emmanuelle Comets
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