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We present a novel methodology for integrating high resolution longitudinal data with the dynamic prediction capabilities of survival models. The aim is two-fold: to improve the predictive power while maintaining interpretability of the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-07 Giacomo Lancia , Meri Varkila , Olaf Cremer , Cristian Spitoni

Predicting patient survival probabilities based on observed covariates is an important assessment in clinical practice. These patient-specific covariates are often measured over multiple follow-up appointments. It is then of interest to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Annabel L. Davies , Anthony C. C. Coolen , Tobias Galla

Machine Learning has invariantly found its way into various Credit Risk applications. Due to the intrinsic nature of Credit Risk, quantifying the uncertainty of the predicted risk metrics is essential, and applying uncertainty-aware deep…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-12 Ashish Dhiman

Predicting an individual's risk of experiencing a future clinical outcome is a statistical task with important consequences for both practicing clinicians and public health experts. Modern observational databases such as electronic health…

When drawing causal inferences about the effects of multiple treatments on clustered survival outcomes using observational data, we need to address implications of the multilevel data structure, multiple treatments, censoring and unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-18 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Ronald D. Ennis , Joseph W. Hogan

Survival analysis has been developed and applied in the number of areas including manufacturing, finance, economics and healthcare. In healthcare domain, usually clinical data are high-dimensional, sparse and complex and sometimes there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-13 Milad Zafar Nezhad , Najibesadat Sadati , Kai Yang , Dongxiao Zhu

Survival analysis is essential for clinical decision-making, as it allows practitioners to estimate time-to-event outcomes, stratify patient risk profiles, and guide treatment planning. Deep learning has revolutionized this field with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Pinar Erbil , Alberto Archetti , Eugenio Lomurno , Matteo Matteucci

We develop a maximum likelihood estimating approach for time-to-event Weibull regression models with outcome-dependent sampling, where sampling of subjects is dependent on the residual fraction of the time left to developing the event of…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-01 Brian D. M. Tom , Vernon T. Farewell , Sheila M. Bird

The majority of biomedical studies use limited datasets that may not generalize over large heterogeneous datasets that have been collected over several decades. The current paper develops and validates several multimodal models that can…

Predicting the health risks of patients using Electronic Health Records (EHR) has attracted considerable attention in recent years, especially with the development of deep learning techniques. Health risk refers to the probability of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Yuxi Liu , Shaowen Qin , Antonio Jimeno Yepes , Wei Shao , Zhenhao Zhang , Flora D. Salim

In many important applications of precision medicine, the outcome of interest is time to an event (e.g., death, relapse of disease) and the primary goal is to identify the optimal individualized decision rule (IDR) to prolong survival time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-11 Yu Zhou , Lan Wang , Rui Song , Tuoyi Zhao

Causal inference across multiple data sources offers a promising avenue to enhance the generalizability and replicability of scientific findings. However, data integration methods for time-to-event outcomes, common in biomedical research,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-16 Yi Liu , Alexander W. Levis , Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Peter B. Gilbert , Larry Han

The electrocardiogram (ECG) is a widely-used medical test, typically consisting of 12 voltage versus time traces collected from surface recordings over the heart. Here we hypothesize that a deep neural network can predict an important…

Objective: Temporal electronic health records (EHRs) can be a wealth of information for secondary uses, such as clinical events prediction or chronic disease management. However, challenges exist for temporal data representation. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Feng Xie , Han Yuan , Yilin Ning , Marcus Eng Hock Ong , Mengling Feng , Wynne Hsu , Bibhas Chakraborty , Nan Liu

Dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) are critical to precision medicine, optimizing long-term outcomes through personalized, real-time decision-making in evolving clinical contexts, but require careful supervision for unsafe treatment risks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Yishan Shen , Yuyang Ye , Hui Xiong , Yong Chen

The COVID-19 pandemic has created an urgent need for robust, scalable monitoring tools supporting stratification of high-risk patients. This research aims to develop and validate prediction models, using the UK Biobank, to estimate COVID-19…

The modeling of time-to-event data, also known as survival analysis, requires specialized methods that can deal with censoring and truncation, time-varying features and effects, and that extend to settings with multiple competing events.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-20 Andreas Bender , David Rügamer , Fabian Scheipl , Bernd Bischl

Dynamic assessment of patient status (e.g. by an automated, continuously updated assessment of outcome) in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is of paramount importance for early alerting, decision support and resource allocation. Extraction and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Jacob Deasy , Ari Ercole , Pietro Liò

Objective Hospitals register information in the electronic health records (EHR) continuously until discharge or death. As such, there is no censoring for in-hospital outcomes. We aimed to compare different dynamic regression modeling…

Patient monitoring is vital in all stages of care. We here report the development and validation of ICU length of stay and mortality prediction models. The models will be used in an intelligent ICU patient monitoring module of an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Khalid Alghatani , Nariman Ammar , Abdelmounaam Rezgui , Arash Shaban-Nejad