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We propose a novel "tree-averaging" model that utilizes the ensemble of classification and regression trees (CART). Each constituent tree is estimated with a subset of similar data. We treat this grouping of subsets as Bayesian ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-08-20 Leo L. Duan , John P. Clancy , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

In this paper, we solve the problem of finding a certified control policy that drives a robot from any given initial state and under any bounded disturbance to the desired reference trajectory, with guarantees on the convergence or bounds…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Dawei Sun , Susmit Jha , Chuchu Fan

Bayesian additive regression tree (BART) models have seen increased attention in recent years as a general-purpose nonparametric modeling technique. BART combines the flexibility of modern machine learning techniques with the principled…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-01 Antonio R. Linero

Proper confidence calibration of deep neural networks is essential for reliable predictions in safety-critical tasks. Miscalibration can lead to model over-confidence and/or under-confidence; i.e., the model's confidence in its prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Shuang Ao , Stefan Rueger , Advaith Siddharthan

For the Tikhonov regularization of ill-posed nonlinear operator equations, convergence is studied in a Hilbert scale setting. We include the case of oversmoothing penalty terms, which means that the exact solution does not belong to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-03 Bernd Hofmann , Robert Plato

We propose a conditional gradient framework for a composite convex minimization template with broad applications. Our approach combines smoothing and homotopy techniques under the CGM framework, and provably achieves the optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Alp Yurtsever , Olivier Fercoq , Francesco Locatello , Volkan Cevher

Many time-to-event studies are complicated by the presence of competing risks. Such data are often analyzed using Cox models for the cause specific hazard function or Fine-Gray models for the subdistribution hazard. In practice regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-02 Rodney Sparapani , Brent R. Logan , Robert E. McCulloch , Purushottam W. Laud

Penalties that induce smoothness are common in nonparametric regression. In many settings, the amount of smoothness in the data generating function will not be known. Simon and Shojaie (2021) derived convergence rates for nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-04 Marlena S. Bannick , Noah Simon

Semantic segmentation has recently achieved notable advances by exploiting "class-level" contextual information during learning. However, these approaches simply concatenate class-level information to pixel features to boost the pixel…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Ye Huang , Di Kang , Liang Chen , Wenjing Jia , Xiangjian He , Lixin Duan , Xuefei Zhe , Linchao Bao

Let $X\in \mathbb{R}^p$ and $Y\in \mathbb{R}$ be two random variables. We estimate the conditional covariance matrix $\mathrm{Cov}\left(\mathrm{E}\left[\boldsymbol{X}\vert Y\right]\right)$ applying a plug-in kernel-based algorithm to its…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Jean-Michel Loubes , Clement Marteau , Maikol Solís

The Sinc approximation has shown high efficiency for numerical methods in many fields. Conformal maps play an important role in the success, i.e., appropriate conformal map must be employed to elicit high performance of the Sinc…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-04 Tomoaki Okayama , Yuya Shintaku , Eisuke Katsuura

We study the convergence of the predictive surface of regression trees and forests. To support our analysis we introduce a notion of adaptive concentration for regression trees. This approach breaks tree training into a model selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-03 Stefan Wager , Guenther Walther

Quantifying uncertainty of predictions has been identified as one way to develop more trustworthy artificial intelligence (AI) models beyond conventional reporting of performance metrics. When considering their role in a clinical decision…

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a popular Bayesian non-parametric regression algorithm. The posterior is a distribution over sums of decision trees, and predictions are made by averaging approximate samples from the posterior.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-19 Omer Ronen , Theo Saarinen , Yan Shuo Tan , James Duncan , Bin Yu

We propose an adaptive refinement algorithm to solve total variation regularized measure optimization problems. The method iteratively constructs dyadic partitions of the unit cube based on i) the resolution of discretized dual problems and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-19 Axel Flinth , Frédéric de Gournay , Pierre Weiss

Many practical optimization problems lack strong convexity. Fortunately, recent studies have revealed that first-order algorithms also enjoy linear convergences under various weaker regularity conditions. While the relationship among…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Feng-Yi Liao , Lijun Ding , Yang Zheng

Classical convergence theory of Runge-Kutta methods assumes that the time step is small relative to the Lipschitz constant of the ordinary differential equation (ODE). For stiff problems, that assumption is often violated, and a problematic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Steven B. Roberts , David Shirokoff , Abhijit Biswas , Benjamin Seibold

In many iterative optimization methods, fixed-point theory enables the analysis of the convergence rate via the contraction factor associated with the linear approximation of the fixed-point operator. While this factor characterizes the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-22 Trung Vu , Raviv Raich

Motion planning under differential constraints is a classic problem in robotics. To date, the state of the art is represented by sampling-based techniques, with the Rapidly-exploring Random Tree algorithm as a leading example. Yet, the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-03-03 Edward Schmerling , Lucas Janson , Marco Pavone

In this paper we present a simple partitioning based technique to refine the statistical analysis of classification algorithms. The core of our idea is to divide the input space into two parts such that the first part contains a suitable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Ingrid Blaschzyk , Ingo Steinwart
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