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Decision tree learning is increasingly being used for pointwise inference. Important applications include causal heterogenous treatment effects and dynamic policy decisions, as well as conditional quantile regression and design of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

In the era of precision medicine, genome-wide epigenetic modifications offer rich data that could inform risk prediction. However, these data are high-dimensional and exhibit complex dependence structures, which makes it difficult to…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-25 Saurabh Bhandari , Parveen Bhatti , Brian C. -H. Chiu , Yuan Ji

Proposed by Donoho (1997), Dyadic CART is a nonparametric regression method which computes a globally optimal dyadic decision tree and fits piecewise constant functions in two dimensions. In this article we define and study Dyadic CART and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-26 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Subhajit Goswami

We derive new bounds for the condition number of kernel matrices, which we then use to enhance existing non-asymptotic test error bounds for kernel ridgeless regression (KRR) in the over-parameterized regime for a fixed input dimension. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Tin Sum Cheng , Aurelien Lucchi , Anastasis Kratsios , David Belius

Regression discontinuity designs (RDD) are widely used for causal inference. In many empirical applications, treatment effects vary substantially with covariates, and ignoring such heterogeneity can lead to misleading conclusions, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-05 Daisuke Kondo , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Modern experimental designs often face the so-called treatment cardinality constraint, which is the constraint on the number of included factors in each treatment. Experiments with such constraints are commonly encountered in engineering…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Kexin Xie , Ryan Lekivetz , Xinwei Deng

The classification of imbalanced data has presented a significant challenge for most well-known classification algorithms that were often designed for data with relatively balanced class distributions. Nevertheless skewed class distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-21 Jiaju Miao , Wei Zhu

The study of first-order optimization is sensitive to the assumptions made on the objective functions. These assumptions induce complexity classes which play a key role in worst-case analysis, including the fundamental concept of algorithm…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-30 Charles Guille-Escuret , Adam Ibrahim , Baptiste Goujaud , Ioannis Mitliagkas

Classification and Regression Tree (CART), Random Forest (RF) and Gradient Boosting Tree (GBT) are probably the most popular set of statistical learning methods. However, their statistical consistency can only be proved under very…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-17 Haoran Zhan , Yu Liu , Yingcun Xia

We investigate the problem of finding confidence sets for split points in decision trees (CART). Our main results establish the asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimators and some associated residual sum of squares statistics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Moulinath Banerjee , Ian W. McKeague

Policy learning is a quickly growing area. As robotics and computers control day-to-day life, their error rate needs to be minimized and controlled. There are many policy learning methods and bandit methods with provable error rates that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-31 Michael Rawson , Radu Balan

For observational studies, we study the sensitivity of causal inference when treatment assignments may depend on unobserved confounders. We develop a loss minimization approach for estimating bounds on the conditional average treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-11 Steve Yadlowsky , Hongseok Namkoong , Sanjay Basu , John Duchi , Lu Tian

For high-dimensional classification, it is well known that naively performing the Fisher discriminant rule leads to poor results due to diverging spectra and noise accumulation. Therefore, researchers proposed independence rules to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-11-10 Jianqing Fan , Yang Feng , Xin Tong

We propose a simple extension of top-down decision tree learning heuristics such as ID3, C4.5, and CART. Our algorithm achieves provable guarantees for all target functions $f: \{-1,1\}^n \to \{-1,1\}$ with respect to the uniform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Guy Blanc , Neha Gupta , Jane Lange , Li-Yang Tan

Decision trees are a widely used method for classification, both by themselves and as the building blocks of multiple different ensemble learning methods. The Max-Cut decision tree involves novel modifications to a standard, baseline model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Jonathan Bodine , Dorit S. Hochbaum

We analyze the finite sample mean squared error (MSE) performance of regression trees and forests in the high dimensional regime with binary features, under a sparsity constraint. We prove that if only $r$ of the $d$ features are relevant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Vasilis Syrgkanis , Manolis Zampetakis

Multiple Additive Regression Trees (MART), an ensemble model of boosted regression trees, is known to deliver high prediction accuracy for diverse tasks, and it is widely used in practice. However, it suffers an issue which we call…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-11 K. V. Rashmi , Ran Gilad-Bachrach

The "Inertial Forward-Backward algorithm" (IFB) is a powerful tool for convex nonsmooth minimization problems, it gives the well known "fast iterative shrinkage-thresholding algorithm " (FISTA), which enjoys $O\left( {\frac{1}{{{k^2}}}}…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Hongwei Liu , Ting Wang , Zexian Liu

The presented work investigates a sparse Bayesian incremental automatic relevance determination (IARD) algorithm in the context of multipath parameter estimation in a super-resolution regime. The corresponding estimation problem is highly…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-09 Dmitriy Shutin , Nicolas Schneckenburger

Many asymptotically minimax procedures for function estimation often rely on somewhat arbitrary and restrictive assumptions such as isotropy or spatial homogeneity. This work enhances the theoretical understanding of Bayesian additive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-05 Seonghyun Jeong , Veronika Rockova