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Conformal Prediction methods have finite-sample distribution-free marginal coverage guarantees. However, they generally do not offer conditional coverage guarantees, which can be important for high-stakes decisions. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-27 Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , James McInerney , Nathan Kallus

Decision trees are important both as interpretable models amenable to high-stakes decision-making, and as building blocks of ensemble methods such as random forests and gradient boosting. Their statistical properties, however, are not well…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-20 Yan Shuo Tan , Abhineet Agarwal , Bin Yu

By revisiting the end-cut preference (ECP) phenomenon associated with a single CART (Breiman et al. (1984)), we introduce MinimaxSplit decision trees, a robust alternative to CART that selects splits by minimizing the worst-case child risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Zhenyuan Zhang , Hengrui Luo

The error bound property for a solution set defined by a set-valued mapping refers to an inequality that bounds the distance between vectors closed to a solution of the given set by a residual function. The error bound property is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Jane Ye , Jinchuan Zhou

This paper tackles the problem of constructing a non-parametric predictor when the latent variables are given with incomplete information. The convenient predictor for this task is the random forest algorithm in conjunction to the so-called…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-01 Irving Gómez-Méndez , Emilien Joly

Credit scoring is vital in the financial industry, assessing the risk of lending to credit card applicants. Traditional credit scoring methods face challenges with large datasets and data imbalance between creditworthy and non-creditworthy…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Kejian Tong , Zonglin Han , Yanxin Shen , Yujian Long , Yijing Wei

We study the problem of efficiently computing the derivative of the fixed-point of a parametric nondifferentiable contraction map. This problem has wide applications in machine learning, including hyperparameter optimization, meta-learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Riccardo Grazzi , Massimiliano Pontil , Saverio Salzo

This paper considers the matrix completion problem. We show that it is not necessary to assume joint incoherence, which is a standard but unintuitive and restrictive condition that is imposed by previous studies. This leads to a sample…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Yudong Chen

In this study we applied the CART-type Decision Tree (DT-CART) method derived from artificial intelligence technique to the prediction of the solvency of bank customers, for this we used historical data of bank customers. However we have…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-25 Karim Amzile , Rajaa Amzile

This paper shows that decision trees constructed with Classification and Regression Trees (CART) and C4.5 methodology are consistent for regression and classification tasks, even when the number of predictor variables grows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-15 Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

Performance of optimization on quadratic problems sensitively depends on the low-lying part of the spectrum. For large (effectively infinite-dimensional) problems, this part of the spectrum can often be naturally represented or approximated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Maksim Velikanov , Dmitry Yarotsky

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) are popular Bayesian ensemble models used in regression and classification analysis. Under this modeling framework, the regression function is approximated by an ensemble of decision trees,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-26 Marco Battiston , Yu Luo

We present a Bayesian nonparametric model for conditional distribution estimation using Bayesian additive regression trees (BART). The generative model we use is based on rejection sampling from a base model. Typical of BART models, our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-02 Yinpu Li , Antonio R. Linero , Jared S. Murray

We investigate how to improve efficiency using regression adjustments with covariates in covariate-adaptive randomizations (CARs) with imperfect subject compliance. Our regression-adjusted estimators, which are based on the doubly robust…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-19 Liang Jiang , Oliver B. Linton , Haihan Tang , Yichong Zhang

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a fully Bayesian approach to modeling with ensembles of trees. BART can uncover complex regression functions with high dimensional regressors in a fairly automatic way and provide Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-11 Edward George , Prakash Laud , Brent Logan , Robert McCulloch , Rodney Sparapani

This paper deals with variable selection in the regression and binary classification frameworks. It proposes an automatic and exhaustive procedure which relies on the use of the CART algorithm and on model selection via penalization. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-01-05 Marie Sauvé , Christine Tuleau-Malot

Policy gradient methods have been frequently applied to problems in control and reinforcement learning with great success, yet existing convergence analysis still relies on non-intuitive, impractical and often opaque conditions. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-08 Matthew S. Zhang , Murat A. Erdogdu , Animesh Garg

The Difference-in-Differences (DiD) method is a fundamental tool for causal inference, yet its application is often complicated by missing data. Although recent work has developed robust DiD estimators for complex settings like staggered…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Lorenzo Testa , Edward H. Kennedy , Matthew Reimherr

This paper introduces BART-RDD, a sum-of-trees regression model built around a novel regression tree prior, which incorporates the special covariate structure of regression discontinuity designs. Specifically, the tree splitting process is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-22 Rafael Alcantara , Meijia Wang , P. Richard Hahn , Hedibert Lopes

In this paper, we establish sufficient conditions for the existence of error bounds at infinity for lower semicontinuous inequality systems. We also show that the existence of an error bound at infinity of constraint systems plays an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-06 Nguyen Van Tuyen