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We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems under the assumption that we observe a single time series from the slow process only. We construct estimators for both averaging and homogenization…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-13 Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We consider a dynamic method, based on synchronization and adaptive control, to estimate unknown parameters of a nonlinear dynamical system from a given scalar chaotic time series. We present an important extension of the method when time…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

Inferring the coupling structure of complex systems from time series data in general by means of statistical and information-theoretic techniques is a challenging problem in applied science. The reliability of statistical inferences…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-20 Jie Sun , Carlo Cafaro , Erik M. Bollt

We propose a simple method to measure synchronization and time delay patterns between signals. It is based on the relative timings of events in the time series, defined e.g. as local maxima. The degree of synchronization is obtained from…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. Quian Quiroga , T. Kreuz , P. Grassberger

Here, we propose a new tool to estimate the complexity of a time series: the entropy of difference (ED). The method is based solely on the sign of the difference between neighboring values in a time series. This makes it possible to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-05 Pasquale Nardone

All interesting and fascinating collective properties of a complex system arise from the intricate way in which its components interact. Various systems in physics, biology, social sciences and engineering have been successfully modelled as…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-04-23 L. V. Gambuzza , F. Di Patti , L. Gallo , S. Lepri , M. Romance , R. Criado , M. Frasca , V. Latora , S. Boccaletti

We show that, when music pieces are cast in the form of time series of pitch variations, the concepts and tools of dynamical systems theory can be applied to the analysis of {\it temporal dynamics} in music. (i) Phase space portraits are…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-22 Jean Pierre Boon , Olivier Decroly

Multiscale phenomena that evolve on multiple distinct timescales are prevalent throughout the sciences. It is often the case that the governing equations of the persistent and approximately periodic fast scales are prescribed, while the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-08-19 Jason J. Bramburger , Daniel Dylewsky , J. Nathan Kutz

Complex systems are often characterized by the interplay of multiple interconnected dynamical processes operating across a range of temporal scales. This phenomenon is widespread in both biological and artificial scenarios, making it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-08 Giorgio Nicoletti , Daniel M. Busiello

Time series measured from real-world systems are generally noisy, complex and display statistical properties that evolve continuously over time. Here, we present a method that combines wavelet analysis and non-stationary surrogates to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-12 Mario Chavez , Bernard Cazelles

Discrete time crystals are periodically driven systems that display spontaneous symmetry breaking of time translation invariance in the form of indefinite subharmonic oscillations. We introduce a thermodynamically consistent model for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-20 Lukas Oberreiter , Udo Seifert , Andre C. Barato

Recurrence entropy $(\cal S)$ is a novel time series complexity quantifier based on recurrence microstates. Here we show that $\mathsf{max}(\cal S)$ is a \textit{parameter-free} quantifier of time correlation of stochastic and chaotic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-02-19 Sergio Roberto Lopes , Thiago de Lima Prado , Gilberto Corso , Gustavo Zampier dos Santos Lima , Jurgen Kurths

Discovery of causal relations is fundamental for understanding the dynamics of complex systems. While causal interactions are well defined for acyclic systems that can be separated into causally effective subsystems, a mathematical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-10-11 Daniel Harnack , Erik Laminski , Klaus Richard Pawelzik

Simplets, constituting elementary units within simplicial complexes (SCs), serve as foundational elements for the structural analysis of SCs. Previous efforts have focused on the exact count or approximation of simplet count rather than…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Hamid Beigy , Mohammad Mahini , Salman Qadami , Morteza Saghafian

Quantifying synchronization phenomena based on the timing of events has recently attracted a great deal of interest in various disciplines such as neuroscience or climatology. A multitude of similarity measures has been proposed for this…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-02-24 Adrian Odenweller , Reik V. Donner

We introduce an entropy-based classification method for pairs of sequences (ECPS) for quantifying mutual dependencies in heart rate and beat-to-beat blood pressure recordings. The purpose of the method is to build a classifier for data in…

Persistent entropy (PE) is an information-theoretic summary statistic of persistence barcodes that has been widely used to detect regime changes in complex systems. Despite its empirical success, a general theoretical understanding of when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Matteo Rucco

Entropy metrics (for example, permutation entropy) are nonlinear measures of irregularity in time series (one-dimensional data). Some of these entropy metrics can be generalised to data on periodic structures such as a grid or lattice…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-10-22 John Stewart Fabila-Carrasco , Chao Tan , Javier Escudero

We propose a fast probabilistic framework for identifying differential equations governing the dynamics of observed data. We recast the SINDy method within a Bayesian framework and use Gaussian approximations for the prior and likelihood to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Lloyd Fung , Urban Fasel , Matthew P. Juniper

A method for analytic continuation of imaginary-time correlation functions (here obtained in quantum Monte Carlo simulations) to real-frequency spectral functions is proposed. Stochastically sampling a spectrum parametrized by a large…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2017-06-30 Anders W. Sandvik
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