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We deal here with the issue of determinism versus randomness in time series. One wishes to identify their relative weights in a given time series. Two different tools have been advanced in the literature to such effect, namely, i) the…

Stochastic dynamics on sparse graphs and disordered systems often lead to complex behaviors characterized by heterogeneity in time and spatial scales, slow relaxation, localization, and aging phenomena. The mathematical tools and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-06-05 Mattia Tarabolo , Luca Dall'Asta

Many modern techniques employed in physics, such a computation of path integrals, rely on random walks on graphs that can be represented as Markov chains. Traditionally, estimates of running times of such sampling algorithms are computed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-30 Martin Mihelich , Berengere Dubrulle , Didier Paillard , Davide Faranda , Quentin Kral

Entropy estimation is a fundamental problem in information theory that has applications in various fields, including physics, biology, and computer science. Estimating the entropy of discrete sequences can be challenging due to limited data…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-18 Juan De Gregorio , David Sanchez , Raul Toral

Three aspects of time series are uncertainty (dispersion at a given time scale), scaling (time-scale dependence), and intermittency (inclination to change dynamics). Simple measures of dispersion are the mean absolute deviation and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David R. Bickel

In this paper, we develop a novel contraction framework for stability analysis of discrete-time nonlinear systems with parameters following stochastic processes. For general stochastic processes, we first provide a sufficient condition for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-11 Yu Kawano , Yohei Hosoe

Entropy rate of sequential data-streams naturally quantifies the complexity of the generative process. Thus entropy rate fluctuations could be used as a tool to recognize dynamical perturbations in signal sources, and could potentially be…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-03-24 Ishanu Chattopadhyay , Hod Lipson

We present a probabilistic framework for modeling structured spatiotemporal dynamics from sparse observations, focusing on cardiac motion. Our approach integrates neural ordinary differential equations (NODEs), graph neural networks (GNNs),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Jaume Banus , Augustin C. Ogier , Roger Hullin , Philippe Meyer , Ruud B. van Heeswijk , Jonas Richiardi

Prevalent in many real-world settings such as healthcare, irregular time series are challenging to formulate predictions from. It is difficult to infer the value of a feature at any given time when observations are sporadic, as it could…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Taylor W. Killian , Haoran Zhang , Thomas Hartvigsen , Ava P. Amini

Many measurements on soft condensed matter (e.g., biological and materials) systems track low-dimensional observables projected from the full system phase space as a function of time. Examples are dynamic structure factors, spectroscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-03 Alessio Lapolla , Jeremy C. Smith , Aljaž Godec

Entropy is a measure of heterogeneity widely used in applied sciences, often when data are collected over space. Recently, a number of approaches has been proposed to include spatial information in entropy. The aim of entropy is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Linda Altieri , Daniela Cocchi , Giulia Roli

We develop a Bayesian inference method for discretely-observed stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Inference is challenging for most SDEs, due to the analytical intractability of the likelihood function. Nevertheless, forward…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-08 Petar Jovanovski , Andrew Golightly , Umberto Picchini

A time series is uniquely represented by its geometric shape, which also carries information. A time series can be modelled as the trajectory of a particle moving in a force field with one degree of freedom. The force acting on the particle…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Kaushik Majumdar , Srinath Jayachandran

This work considers the problem of detecting signals from multiple sequentially observed data streams, where only one stream can be observed at every time instant. The goal is to detect signals as quickly as possible while controlling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Yiming Xing , Georgios Fellouris

The notion of software entropy is often invoked to describe the tendency of software systems to become increasingly disordered as they evolve, yet existing approaches to quantify it are largely heuristic. In this work we introduce a formal…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Jerónimo Fotinós , Juan B. Cabral

Electric signals have been recently recorded at the Earth's surface with amplitudes appreciably larger than those hitherto reported. Their entropy in natural time is smaller than that, $S_u$, of a ``uniform'' distribution. The same holds…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 P. A. Varotsos , N. V. Sarlis , E. S. Skordas , H. K. Tanaka

In present paper we suggest a new universal approach to study complex systems by microscopic, mesoscopic and macroscopic methods. We discuss new possibilities of extracting information on nonstationarity, unsteadiness and non-Markovity of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Renat M. Yulmetyev , Anatolii V. Mokshin , Peter Hänggi

Symbolic dynamics has proven to be an invaluable tool in analyzing the mechanisms that lead to unpredictability and random behavior in nonlinear dynamical systems. Surprisingly, a discrete partition of continuous state space can produce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield

Recent studies have explored large language models for time-series anomaly detection, yet existing approaches often rely on a single general-purpose model to directly infer anomaly indices or intervals, limiting controllability,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Hyeongwon Kang , Jeongseob Kim , Jinwoo Park , Pilsung Kang

A new method is introduced for analysis of interactions between time-dependent coupled oscillators, based on the signals they generate. It distinguishes unsynchronized dynamics from noise-induced phase slips, and enables the evolution of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-08-09 Tomislav Stankovski , Andrea Duggento , Peter V. E. McClintock , Aneta Stefanovska
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