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Let $\{(X(t), Y(s)): t\in T, s\in S\}$ be an $\mathbb{R}^2$-valued, centered, unit-variance smooth Gaussian vector field, where $T$ and $S$ are compact rectangles in $\mathbb{R}^N$. It is shown that, as $u\to \infty$, the joint excursion…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Dan Cheng , Yimin Xiao

Let $X = \{X(t): t\in T \}$ be a non-centered, unit-variance, smooth Gaussian random field indexed on some parameter space $T$, and let $A_u(X,T) = \{t\in T: X(t)\geq u\}$ be the excursion set of $X$ exceeding level $u$. Under certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-17 Dan Cheng

Let $X=\{X(t),t\in {\mathbb{R}}^N\}$ be a centered Gaussian random field with stationary increments and $X(0)=0$. For any compact rectangle $T\subset {\mathbb{R}}^N$ and $u\in {\mathbb{R}}$, denote by $A_u=\{t\in T:X(t)\geq u\}$ the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-05 Dan Cheng , Yimin Xiao

Let $X=\{X(x): x\in\mathbb{S}^N\}$ be a real-valued, centered Gaussian random field indexed on the $N$-dimensional unit sphere $\mathbb{S}^N$. Approximations to the excursion probability ${\mathbb{P}}\{\sup_{x\in\mathbb{S}^N}X(x)\ge u\}$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Dan Cheng , Yimin Xiao

Let $X= \{X(p), p\in M\}$ be a centered Gaussian random field, where $M$ is a smooth Riemannian manifold. For a suitable compact subset $D\subset M$, we obtain the approximations to excursion probability $\mathbb{P}\{\sup_{p\in D} X(p) \ge…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-05 Dan Cheng

We study the accuracy of the expected Euler characteristic approximation to the distribution of the maximum of a smooth, centered, unit variance Gaussian process f. Using a point process representation of the error, valid for arbitrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jonathan Taylor , Akimichi Takemura , Robert J. Adler

This paper studies Gaussian random fields with Mat\'ern covariance functions with smooth parameter $\nu>2$. Two cases of parameter spaces, the Euclidean space and $N$-dimensional sphere, are considered. For such smooth Gaussian fields, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Dan Cheng

The expected Euler characteristic (EEC) curve of excursion sets of a Gaussian random field is used to approximate the distribution of its supremum for high thresholds. Viewed as a function of the excursion threshold, the EEC is expressed by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Fabian Telschow , Armin Schwartzman , Dan Cheng , Pratyush Pranav

We consider smooth, infinitely divisible random fields $(X(t),t\in M)$, $M\subset {\mathbb{R}}^d$, with regularly varying Levy measure, and are interested in the geometric characteristics of the excursion sets \[A_u=\{t\in M:X(t)>u\}\] over…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-05 Robert J. Adler , Gennady Samorodnitsky , Jonathan E. Taylor

Let $\{X(t)= (X_1(t),X_2(t))^T,\ t \in \mathbb{R}^N\}$ be an $\mathbb{R}^2$-valued continuous locally stationary Gaussian random field with $\mathbb{E}[X(t)]=\mathbf{0}$. For any compact sets $A_1, A_2 \subset \mathbb{R}^N$, precise…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-13 Yuzhen Zhou , Yimin Xiao

Gaussian random fields on finite dimensional smooth manifolds whose variances reach their maximum value at smooth submanifolds are considered. Exact asymptotic behaviors of large excursion probabilities have been evaluated. Vector Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-18 Vladimir I. Piterbarg

Local increases in the mean of a random field are detected (conservatively) by thresholding a field of test statistics at a level $u$ chosen to control the tail probability or $p$-value of its maximum. This $p$-value is approximated by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-06 N. Chamandy , K. J. Worsley , J. Taylor , F. Gosselin

In this paper, we consider a classic problem concerning the high excursion probabilities of a Gaussian random field $f$ living on a compact set $T$. We develop efficient computational methods for the tail probabilities $P(\sup_T f(t) > b)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Xiaoou Li , Jingchen Liu

We represent excursion sets of smooth random fields as unions of a topological basis consisting of a sequence of simply and multiply connected compact subsets of the underlying manifold. The associated coefficients, which are non-negative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Pravabati Chingangbam

A deterministic application $\theta\,:\,\mathbb{R}^2\rightarrow\mathbb{R}^2$ deforms bijectively and regularly the plane and allows to build a deformed random field $X\circ\theta\,:\,\mathbb{R}^2\rightarrow\mathbb{R}$ from a regular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Julie Fournier

In this paper we provide an upper bound for the conjunction probability of independent Gaussian smooth processes and then we prove that this bound is a good approximation with exponentially smaller error. Our result confirms the heuristic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Viet-Hung Pham

Let M be a compact smooth manifold of dimension n with or without boundary, and f : M $\rightarrow$ R be a smooth Gaussian random field. It is very natural to suppose that for a large positive real u, the random excursion set {f $\ge$ u} is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Damien Gayet

It is widely known that the tube method, or equivalently the Euler characteristic heuristic, provides a very accurate approximation for the tail probability that the supremum of a smooth Gaussian random field exceeds a threshold value $c$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Satoshi Kuriki , Evgeny Spodarev

The present work investigates two properties of level crossings of a stationary Gaussian process $X(t)$ with autocorrelation function $R_X(\tau)$. We show firstly that if $R_X(\tau)$ admits finite second and fourth derivatives at the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-01 Van Minh Nguyen

We use the concept of excursions for the prediction of random variables without any moment existence assumptions. To do so, an excursion metric on the space of random variables is defined which appears to be a kind of a weighted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Vitalii Makogin , Evgeny Spodarev
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