Related papers: The expected Euler characteristic approximation to…
We show that the probability of the exceptional set decays exponentially for a broad class of randomized algorithms approximating solutions of ODEs, admitting a certain error decomposition. This class includes randomized explicit and…
Researching elliptic analogues for equalities and formulas is a new trend in enumerative combinatorics which has followed the previous trend of studying $q$-analogues. Recently Schlosser proposed a lattice path model in the square lattice…
In this paper we discuss a closed-form approximation of the likelihood functions of an arbitrary diffusion process. The approximation is based on an exponential ansatz of the transition probability for a finite time step $\Delta t$, and a…
In this contribution we are concerned with the asymptotic behaviour as $u\to \infty$ of $\mathbb{P}\{\sup_{t\in [0,T]} X_u(t)> u\}$, where $X_u(t),t\in [0,T],u>0$ is a family of centered Gaussian processes with continuous trajectories. A…
Given a deterministic function f:R^2->R atisfying suitable assump- tions, we show that for h smooth with compact support, the integral of the Euler characteristic of the excursion set of f above some level u against a test function h…
We consider a class of stochastic path-dependent volatility models where the stochastic volatility, whose square follows the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model, is multiplied by a (leverage) function of the spot price, its running maximum, and time.…
We consider the zeroes of a random Gaussian Entire Function f and show that their basins under the gradient flow of the random potential U partition the complex plane into domains of equal area. We find three characteristic exponents 1,…
This paper focuses on mean-square approximations of a generalized A\"it-Sahalia interest rate model with Poisson jumps. The main challenge in the construction and analysis of time-discrete numerical schemes is caused by a drift that blows…
We present a new method to compute the first crossing distribution in excursion set theory for the case of correlated random walks. We use a combination of the path integral formalism of Maggiore & Riotto, and the integral equation solution…
In this paper we consider probabilistic analogues of some classical integral geometric formulae: Weyl--Steiner tube formulae and the Chern--Federer kinematic fundamental formula. The probabilistic building blocks are smooth, real-valued…
We present a method, based on the correlation function of excursion sets above a given threshold, to test the Gaussianity of the CMB temperature fluctuations in the sky. In particular, this method can be applied to discriminate between…
Let $X(t),t\in R^d$ be a centered Gaussian random field with continuous trajectories and set $\xi_u(t)= X(f(u)t),t\in R^d$ with $f$ some positive function. Classical results establish the tail asymptotics of $P\{ \Gamma(\xi_u) > u\}$ as…
We derive normal approximation bounds in the Wasserstein distance for sums of weighted U-statistics, based on a general distance bound for functionals of independent random variables of arbitrary distributions. Those bounds are applied to…
The present work is devoted to strong approximations of a generalized A\"{i}t-Sahalia model arising from mathematical finance. The numerical study of the considered model faces essential difficulties caused by a drift that blows up at the…
We study the decay of connectivity of the subcritical excursion sets of a class of strongly correlated Gaussian fields. Our main result shows that, for smooth isotropic Gaussian fields whose covariance kernel $K(x)$ is regularly varying at…
It has been known for some time that a 3D incompressible Euler flow that has initially a barely smooth velocity field nonetheless has Lagrangian fluid particle trajectories that are analytic in time for at least a finite time (Ph. Serfati…
Let $\{X(s,t):s,t\geqslant 0\}$ be a centered homogeneous Gaussian field with a.s. continuous sample paths and correlation function $r(s,t)=Cov(X(s,t),X(0,0))$ such that…
Exponential, and not Gaussian, decay of probability density functions was studied by Laplace in the context of his analysis of errors. Such Laplace propagators for the diffusive motion of single particles in disordered media were recently…
We find an algorithm to compute the quadratic Euler characteristic of a smooth projective complete intersection of hypersurfaces of the same degree. As an example, we compute the quadratic Euler characteristic of a smooth projective…
This paper considers the Laplace method to derive approximate inference for the Gaussian process (GP) regression in the location and scale parameters of the Student-t probabilistic model. This allows both mean and variance of the data to…