English

The expected Euler characteristic approximation to excursion probabilities of Gaussian vector fields

Probability 2023-01-18 v1

Abstract

Let {(X(t),Y(s)):tT,sS}\{(X(t), Y(s)): t\in T, s\in S\} be an R2\mathbb{R}^2-valued, centered, unit-variance smooth Gaussian vector field, where TT and SS are compact rectangles in RN\mathbb{R}^N. It is shown that, as uu\to \infty, the joint excursion probability P{suptTX(t)u,supsSY(s)u}\mathbb{P} \{\sup_{t\in T} X(t) \geq u, \sup_{s\in S} Y(s) \geq u \} can be approximated by E{χ(Au)}\mathbb{E}\{\chi(A_u)\}, the expected Euler characteristic of the excursion set Au={(t,s)T×S:X(t)u,Y(s)u}A_u=\{(t,s)\in T\times S: X(t) \ge u, Y(s) \ge u\}, such that the error is super-exponentially small. This verifies the expected Euler characteristic heuristic (cf. Taylor, Takemura and Alder (2005), Alder and Taylor (2007)) for a large class of smooth Gaussian vector fields.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2301.06634,
  title  = {The expected Euler characteristic approximation to excursion probabilities of Gaussian vector fields},
  author = {Dan Cheng and Yimin Xiao},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2301.06634},
  year   = {2023}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T08:12:55.549Z