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In this paper, we are concerned with two SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion models with mass action infection mechanism of the form $SI$, and study the spatial profile of population distribution as the movement rate of the infected individuals…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Rui Peng , Zhi-an Wang , Guanghui Zhang , Maolin Zhou

We introduce and investigate the escape problem for random walkers that may eventually die, decay, bleach, or lose activity during their diffusion towards an escape or reactive region on the boundary of a confining domain. In the case of a…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-01-03 D. S. Grebenkov , J. -F. Rupprecht

We consider a threshold epidemic model on a clustered random graph with overlapping communities. In other words, our epidemic model is such that an individual becomes infected as soon as the proportion of her infected neighbors exceeds the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-03 Emilie Coupechoux , Marc Lelarge

This is work in progress. We make it accessible hoping that people might find the idea useful. We propose a discrete, recursive 5-compartment model for the spread of epidemics, which we call {\em SEPIR-model}. Under mild assumptions which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-02 Matthias Kreck , Erhard Scholz

We model the spread of a SIS infection on Small World and random networks using weighted graphs. The entry $w_{ij}$ in the weight matrix W holds information about the transmission probability along the edge joining node $v_i$ and node…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Britta Daudert , Bai-Lian Li

In this paper we first introduce the general stochastic epidemic model for the spread of infectious diseases. Then we give methods for inferring model parameters such as the basic reproduction number $R_0$ and vaccination coverage $v_c$…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-14 Tom Britton , Federica Giardina

We investigate the spread of an infection or other malfunction of cascading nature when a system component can recover only if it remains reachable from a functioning central component. We consider the susceptible-infected-susceptible…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-27 L. Böttcher , O. Woolley-Meza , E. Goles , D. Helbing , H. J. Herrmann

The dynamics of an SIS epidemic patch model with asymmetric connectivity matrix is analyzed. It is shown that the basic reproduction number $R_0$ is strictly decreasing with respect to the dispersal rate of the infected individuals, and the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-11-07 Shanshan Chen , Junping Shi , Zhisheng Shuai , Yixiang Wu

Despite the advanced stage of epidemic modeling, there is a major demand for methods to incorporate behavioral responses to the spread of a disease such as social distancing and adoption of prevention methods. Mobility plays an important…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-14 Paulo Cesar Ventura , Alberto Aleta , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Yamir Moreno

In this work we propose a novel space-dependent multiscale model for the spread of infectious diseases in a two-dimensional spatial context on realistic geographical scenarios. The model couples a system of kinetic transport equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

Infectious disease transmission in human populations has a complex two-way interaction with changes in host behaviour. It is increasingly recognised that incorporating adaptive behavioural change into epidemic models is important for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-14 Michael J. Plank , Matt Ryan , Lloyd Chapman , Roslyn I. Hickson , Thomas House , Emma McBryde , James M. McCaw

The evolution of network structure and the spreading of epidemic are common coexistent dynamical processes. In most cases, network structure is treated either static or time-varying, supposing the whole network is observed in a same time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 Yanjun Lei , Xin Jiang , Quantong Guo , Yifang Ma , Meng Li , Zhiming Zheng

We study a particle system with hopping (random walk) dynamics on the integer lattice $\mathbb Z^d$. The particles can exist in two states, active or inactive (sleeping); only the former can hop. The dynamics conserves the number of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-02-22 Ronald Dickman , Leonardo T. Rolla , Vladas Sidoravicius

We focus on the modeling and simulation of an infectious disease spreading in a medium size population occupying a confined environment, such as an airport terminal, for short periods of time. Because of the size of the crowd and venue, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-27 Daewa Kim , Annalisa Quaini

We study the nonequilibrium phase transitions from the absorbing phase to the active phase for the model of disease spreading (Susceptible-Infected-Refractory-Susceptible (SIRS)) on a regular one dimensional lattice. In this model,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-15 M. Ali Saif

We study the critical effect of an intermittent social distancing strategy on the propagation of epidemics in adaptive complex networks. We characterize the effect of our strategy in the framework of the susceptible-infected-recovered…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-04-02 L. D. Valdez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

We study the influence of heterogeneous mobility patterns in a population on the SIS epidemic model. In particular, we consider a patchy environment in which each patch comprises individuals belonging the different classes, e.g.,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-31 Vishal Abhishek , Vaibhav Srivastava

An overview is presented of recent work on some statistical problems on multiparticle random walks. We consider a Euclidean, deterministic fractal or disordered lattice and N >> 1 independent random walkers initially (t=0) placed onto the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Luis Acedo , Santos B. Yuste

Random walkers characterized by random positions and random velocities lead to normal diffusion. A random walk was originally proposed by Einstein to model Brownian motion and to demonstrate the existence of atoms and molecules. Such a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-01 Daniel Escaff , Raul Toral , Christian Van den Broeck , Katja Lindenberg

Background: A common modelling approach in public health and epidemiology divides the population under study into compartments containing persons that share the same status. Here we consider a three-state model with the compartments: A, B…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-19 Ralph Brinks