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The extinction and persistence of infective individuals are closely related to the random change of the environment. In this paper, via the random/stochastic SIRS models, we analyze qualitatively and quantitatively the impact caused by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-01 Jianhai Bao , Jinghai Shao

A simple, but ``classical``, stochastic model for epidemic spread in a finite, but large, population is studied. The progress of the epidemic can be divided into three different phases that requires different tools to analyse. Initially the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-29 Åke Svensson

Networked epidemic models have been widely adopted to describe propagation phenomena. The endemic equilibrium of these models is of great significance in the field of viral marketing, innovation dissemination, and information diffusion.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-22 Fangzhou Liu , Shaoxuan Cui , Xianwei Li , Martin Buss

We study a symmetric two-disease SIR co-infection model on networks in which co-infected individuals recover at a rate distinct from that of single infections. The model explicitly represents all co-infection states and features absorbing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-22 Gerardo Palafox-Castillo , Ericka Fabiola Vázquez-Alcalá , Arturo Berrones-Santos

Daily variation in human mobility modulates the speed and severity of emerging outbreaks, yet most epidemiological studies assume static contact patterns. With a highly mobile population exceeding 24 million people, Shanghai, China is a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-17 Zhanwei Du , Spencer J Fox , Petter Holme , Jiming Liu , Alison P. Galvani , Lauren Ancel Meyers

We investigate SIR models with vital dynamics, reinfection, and randomness at the transmission coefficient and recruitment rate. Initially, we conduct an extensive analysis of the autonomous scenario, covering aspects such as local and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Javier López-de-la-Cruz , Alexandre N. Oliveira-Sousa

We study a stochastic epidemic model consisting of elements (organisms in a community or cells in tissue) with fixed positions, in which damage or disease is transmitted by diffusing agents ("signals") emitted by infected individuals. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-05 Fernando P. Faria , Ronald Dickman

The current survey paper concerns stochastic mathematical models for the spread of infectious diseases. It starts with the simplest setting of a homogeneous population in which a transmittable disease spreads during a short outbreak.…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-30 Tom Britton

Human to human transmissible infectious diseases spread in a population using human interactions as its transmission vector. The early stages of such an outbreak can be modeled by a graph whose edges encode these interactions between…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-11 Goncalo Oliveira

It is essential to understand the dynamics of epidemics in the presence of coexisting pathogens. There are various phenomenon that can effect the dynamics. In this paper, we formulate a mathematical model using different assumptions to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-02 S. Ghersheen , V. Kozlov , U. Wennergren

In this work, we study the epidemic SIR model on a system which takes into consideration face-to-face interaction networks. This approach has been used as prototype to describe people interactions in different kinds of social organizations…

The emergence and spread of deadly pandemics has repeatedly occurred throughout history, causing widespread infections and loss of life. The rapid spread of pandemics have made governments across the world adopt a range of actions,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-15 Marianna Karapitta , Andreas Kasis , Charithea Stylianides , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

Two stochastic models are proposed to describe the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic. In the first model the population is partitioned into four compartments: susceptible $S$, infected $I$, removed $R$ and dead people $D$. In order to have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-16 Fabiana Calleri , Giovanni Nastasi , Vittorio Romano

Current modeling of infectious diseases allows for the study of complex and realistic scenarios that go from the population to the individual level of description. However, most epidemic models assume that the spreading process takes place…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-04-15 Joaquín Sanz , Cheng-Yi Xia , Sandro Meloni , Yamir Moreno

Motivated by various recent experimental findings, we propose a dynamical model of intermittently self-propelled particles: active particles that recurrently switch between two modes of motion, namely an active run-state and a turn state,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-10-30 Agniva Datta , Carsten Beta , Robert Großmann

Random walk is one of the most classical and well-studied model in probability theory. For two correlated random walks on lattice, every step of the random walks has only two states, moving in the same direction or moving in the opposite…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-17 Tianyao Chen , Xue Cheng , Jingping Yang

In this work, we study the critical behavior of an epidemic propagation model that considers individuals that can develop drug resistance. In our lattice model, each site can be found in one of four states: empty, healthy, normally infected…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 C. R. da Silva , U. L. Fulco , M. L. Lyra , G. M. Viswanathan

We introduce the effect of site contamination in a model for spatial epidemic spread and show that the presence of site contamination may have a strict effect on the model in the sense that it can make an otherwise subcritical process…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-23 Tom Britton , Maria Deijfen , Fabio Lopes

The interaction between individuals in biological populations, dilute components of chemical systems, or particles transported by turbulent flows depends critically on their contact statistics. This work clarifies those statistics under the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-01-12 Mark Peter Rast

We investigate the first-passage properties of bursty random walks on a finite one-dimensional interval of length L, in which unit-length steps to the left occur with probability close to one, while steps of length b to the right --…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-06-28 D. Volovik , S. Redner
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