English
Related papers

Related papers: Splash! Robustifying Donor Pools for Policy Studie…

200 papers

In many real-world settings, agents must learn from an offline dataset gathered by some prior behavior policy. Such a setting naturally leads to distribution shift between the behavior policy and the target policy being trained - requiring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Matthew Thomas Jackson , Michael Tryfan Matthews , Cong Lu , Benjamin Ellis , Shimon Whiteson , Jakob Foerster

Diffusion-based models for robotic control, including vision-language-action (VLA) and vision-action (VA) policies, have demonstrated significant capabilities. Yet their advancement is constrained by the high cost of acquiring large-scale…

The synthetic control method (SCM) allows estimating the causal effect of an intervention in settings where panel data on a small number of treated and control units are available. We show that the existing SCM, as well as its extensions,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-20 Giovanni Mellace , Alessandra Pasquini

Domain randomization (DR) is widely used in policy learning to improve robustness to modeling error, but remains underexplored in contact-rich sampling-based predictive control (SPC), where rollout quality is highly sensitive to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Sergio A. Esteban , Junheng Li , Vince Kurtz , Aaron D. Ames

To make informed policy recommendations from observational data, we must be able to discern true treatment effects from random noise and effects due to confounding. Difference-in-Difference techniques which match treated units to control…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-12 Nicholas Illenberger , Dylan S. Small , Pamela A. Shaw

Probabilistic programming has become a standard practice to model stochastic events and learn about the behavior of nature in different scientific contexts, ranging from Genetics and Ecology to Linguistics and Psychology. However, domain…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Guilherme Espada , Alcides Fonseca

Heart transplantation is a viable path for patients suffering from advanced heart failure, but this lifesaving option is severely limited due to donor shortage. Although the current allocation policy was recently revised in 2018, a major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Ioannis Anagnostides , Zachary W. Sollie , Arman Kilic , Tuomas Sandholm

With the advent of generative modeling techniques, synthetic data and its use has penetrated across various domains from unstructured data such as image, text to structured dataset modeling healthcare outcome, risk decisioning in financial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Aman Gupta , Deepak Bhatt , Anubha Pandey

When evaluating the impact of a policy on a metric of interest, it may not be possible to conduct a randomized control trial. In settings where only observational data is available, Synthetic Control (SC) methods provide a popular…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-24 Muhummad Amjad , Vishal Misra , Devavrat Shah , Dennis Shen

Probabilistic control design is founded on the principle that a rational agent attempts to match modelled with an arbitrary desired closed-loop system trajectory density. The framework was originally proposed as a tractable alternative to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Tom Lefebvre

In this article we propose a set of simple principles to guide empirical practice in synthetic control studies. The proposed principles follow from formal properties of synthetic control estimators, and pertain to the nature, implications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-15 Alberto Abadie , Jaume Vives-i-Bastida

Data collection has become an increasingly important problem in robotic manipulation, yet there still lacks much understanding of how to effectively collect data to facilitate broad generalization. Recent works on large-scale robotic data…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Jensen Gao , Annie Xie , Ted Xiao , Chelsea Finn , Dorsa Sadigh

Synthetic control methods (SCMs) are a canonical approach used to estimate treatment effects from panel data in the internet economy. We shed light on a frequently overlooked but ubiquitous assumption made in SCMs of "overlap": a treated…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-26 Daniel Ngo , Keegan Harris , Anish Agarwal , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Zhiwei Steven Wu

The synthetic control method (SCM) is widely used for causal inference with panel data, particularly when the number of treated units is small. It relies on the stable unit treatment value assumption (SUTVA), ruling out spillover effects.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-26 Shosei Sakaguchi , Hayato Tagawa

Domain randomization is a simple, effective, and flexible scheme for obtaining robust feedback policies aimed at reducing the sim-to-real gap due to model mismatch. While domain randomization methods have yielded impressive demonstrations…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Alex Nguyen-Le , Nikolai Matni

Flow-matching policies hold great promise for reinforcement learning (RL) by capturing complex, multi-modal action distributions. However, their practical application is often hindered by prohibitive inference latency and ineffective online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 He Zhang , Ying Sun , Hui Xiong

Since their introduction in Abadie and Gardeazabal (2003), Synthetic Control (SC) methods have quickly become one of the leading methods for estimating causal effects in observational studies in settings with panel data. Formal discussions…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-20 Lea Bottmer , Guido Imbens , Jann Spiess , Merrill Warnick

Synthetic data is becoming increasingly integral in data-scarce fields such as medical imaging, serving as a substitute for real data. However, its inherent statistical characteristics can significantly impact downstream tasks, potentially…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Krishan Agyakari Raja Babu , Rachana Sathish , Mrunal Pattanaik , Rahul Venkataramani

Statistical agencies utilize models to synthesize respondent-level data for release to the general public as an alternative to the actual data records. A Bayesian model synthesizer encodes privacy protection by employing a hierarchical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Jingchen Hu , Terrance D. Savitsky

Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) algorithms for continuous action spaces are known to be brittle toward hyperparameters as well as \cut{being}sample inefficient. Soft Actor Critic (SAC) proposes an off-policy deep actor critic algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-10 Patrick Nadeem Ward , Ariella Smofsky , Avishek Joey Bose