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Policy learning utilizing observational data is pivotal across various domains, with the objective of learning the optimal treatment assignment policy while adhering to specific constraints such as fairness, budget, and simplicity. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-12 Pan Zhao , Antoine Chambaz , Julie Josse , Shu Yang

Algorithmic recommendations and decisions have become ubiquitous in today's society. Many of these data-driven policies, especially in the realm of public policy, are based on known, deterministic rules to ensure their transparency and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-02 Eli Ben-Michael , D. James Greiner , Kosuke Imai , Zhichao Jiang

Recent advances in generative models have made it increasingly difficult to distinguish real data from model-generated synthetic data. Using synthetic data for successive training of future model generations creates "self-consuming loops",…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Xiukun Wei , Xueru Zhang

Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) are the standard framework for decision-making under uncertainty. While sampling-based methods scale well, they lack formal correctness guarantees, making them unsuitable for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Debraj Chakraborty , Anirban Majumdar , Prince Mathew , Sayan Mukherjee , Jean-François Raskin

The synthetic control method (SCM) has become a popular tool for estimating causal effects in policy evaluation, where a single treated unit is observed, and a heterogeneous set of untreated units with pre- and post-policy change data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-21 Jizhou Liu , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , Carlos Varjão

This paper presents a novel approach for safe control synthesis using the dual formulation of the navigation problem. The main contribution of this paper is in the analytical construction of density functions for almost everywhere…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Andrew Zheng , Sriram S. K. S. Narayanan , Umesh Vaidya

Analyzing and controlling system entropy is a powerful tool for regulating predictability of control systems. Applications benefiting from such approaches range from reinforcement learning and data security to human-robot collaboration. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-06 Menno van Zutphen , Giannis Delimpaltadakis , Duarte J. Antunes

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for causal inference, yet practical constraints often limit the size of the concurrent control arm. Borrowing control data from previous trials offers a potential efficiency gain,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Linying Yang , Xing Liu , Robin J. Evans

We introduce a geodesic synthetic control method for causal inference that extends existing synthetic control methods to scenarios where outcomes are elements in a geodesic metric space rather than scalars. Examples of such outcomes include…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-04 Daisuke Kurisu , Yidong Zhou , Taisuke Otsu , Hans-Georg Müller

Motivated by a recent literature on the double-descent phenomenon in machine learning, we consider highly over-parameterized models in causal inference, including synthetic control with many control units. In such models, there may be so…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-16 Jann Spiess , Guido Imbens , Amar Venugopal

The use of synthetic data to deidentify data and to improve predictive models is well-attested to. The augmentation of datasets using synthetically generated data is an alluring proposition: in the best case, it generates realistic data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Reid Dale , Jordan Rodu , Mike Baiocchi

Diffusion models have seen rapid adoption in robotic imitation learning, enabling autonomous execution of complex dexterous tasks. However, action synthesis is often slow, requiring many steps of iterative denoising, limiting the extent to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Sigmund H. Høeg , Yilun Du , Olav Egeland

We introduce a constraint-programming framework for generating synthetic populations that reproduce target statistics with high precision while enforcing full individual consistency. Unlike data-driven approaches that infer distributions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-09 Thierry Petit , Arnault Pachot

Model-based reinforcement learning methods often use learning only for the purpose of estimating an approximate dynamics model, offloading the rest of the decision-making work to classical trajectory optimizers. While conceptually simple,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-22 Michael Janner , Yilun Du , Joshua B. Tenenbaum , Sergey Levine

Iterative Synthetic Control Method is introduced in this study, a modification of the Synthetic Control Method (SCM) designed to improve its predictive performance by utilizing control units affected by the treatment in question. This…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-06 Andrii Melnychuk

The propensity score (PS) is often used to control for large numbers of covariates in high-dimensional healthcare database studies. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) has become the most widely used tool for fitting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Richard Wyss , Ben B. Hansen , Georg Hahn , Lars van der Laan , Kueiyu Joshua Lin

Causal inference is essential for developing and evaluating medical interventions, yet real-world medical datasets are often difficult to access due to regulatory barriers. This makes synthetic data a potentially valuable asset that enables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Harry Amad , Zhaozhi Qian , Dennis Frauen , Julianna Piskorz , Stefan Feuerriegel , Mihaela van der Schaar

Stochastic Optimal Control provides a unified mathematical framework for solving complex decision-making problems, encompassing paradigms such as maximum entropy reinforcement learning(RL) and imitation learning(IL). However, conventional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Hang Liu , Sangli Teng , Maani Ghaffari

Data-driven control has emerged as a powerful paradigm for synthesizing controllers directly from data, bypassing explicit model identification. However, this reliance on data introduces new and largely unexplored vulnerabilities. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Vijayanand Digge , Martina Vanelli , Ahmad W. Al-Dabbagh , Julien M. Hendrickx , Gianluca Bianchin

High level declarative constraints provide a powerful (and popular) way to define and construct control policies; however, most synthesis algorithms do not support specifying the degree of randomness (unpredictability) of the resulting…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Marcell Vazquez-Chanlatte , Sebastian Junges , Daniel J. Fremont , Sanjit Seshia
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