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Learning a categorical distribution comes with its own set of challenges. A successful approach taken by state-of-the-art works is to cast the problem in a continuous domain to take advantage of the impressive performance of the generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-09 Florence Regol , Mark Coates

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Generating temporal data under conditions is crucial for forecasting, imputation, and generative tasks. Such data often has metadata and partially observed signals that jointly influence the generated values. However, existing methods face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Aditya Shankar , Lydia Y. Chen , Arie van Deursen , Rihan Hai

Diffusion-based generative models learn to iteratively transfer unstructured noise to a complex target distribution as opposed to Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) or the decoder of Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) which produce samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Sarthak Mittal , Guillaume Lajoie , Stefan Bauer , Arash Mehrjou

Despite significant progress of generative models in the natural sciences, their controllability remains challenging. One fundamentally missing aspect of molecular or protein generative models is an inductive bias that can reflect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Jannis Born , Matteo Manica

This paper presents an efficient variational inference framework for deriving a family of structured gaussian process regression network (SGPRN) models. The key idea is to incorporate auxiliary inducing variables in latent functions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 Rui Meng , Herbie Lee , Kristofer Bouchard

We consider the problem of inference for the states and parameters of a continuous-time multitype branching process from partially observed time series data. Exact inference for this class of models, typically using sequential Monte Carlo,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Angus Lewis , Antonio Parrella , John Maclean , Andrew J. Black

Data analysis usually suffers from the Missing Not At Random (MNAR) problem, where the cause of the value missing is not fully observed. Compared to the naive Missing Completely At Random (MCAR) problem, it is more in line with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Jialei Chen , Yuanbo Xu , Pengyang Wang , Yongjian Yang

The Markovian approach, which assumes exponentially distributed interinfection times, is dominant in epidemic modeling. However, this assumption is unrealistic as an individual's infectiousness depends on its viral load and varies over…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-02 Qihui Yang , Joan Saldaña , Caterina Scoglio

Although linear regression models are fundamental tools in statistical science, the estimation results can be sensitive to outliers. While several robust methods have been proposed in frequentist frameworks, statistical inference is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-15 Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

During an epidemic outbreak, decision makers crucially need accurate and robust tools to monitor the pathogen propagation. The effective reproduction number, defined as the expected number of secondary infections stemming from one…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-14 Etienne Lasalle , Barbara Pascal

We describe an efficient implementation of Bayesian quantum phase estimation in the presence of noise and multiple eigenstates. The main contribution of this work is the dynamic switching between different representations of the phase…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-06-09 Ewout van den Berg

Single-cell gene expression measurements encode variability spanning molecular noise, cell-to-cell heterogeneity, and technical artifacts. Mechanistic stochastic models provide powerful approaches to disentangle these sources, yet inferring…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-19 Christopher E. Miles

Accurate and comprehensive clinical documentation is crucial for delivering high-quality healthcare, facilitating effective communication among providers, and ensuring compliance with regulatory requirements. However, manual transcription…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Anjanava Biswas , Wrick Talukdar

Creating large-scale datasets for training high-performance generative models is often prohibitively expensive, especially when associated attributes or annotations must be provided. As a result, merging existing datasets has become a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Yanfeng Yang , Kenji Fukumizu

The reporting delay in data breach incidents poses a formidable challenge for Incurred But Not Reported (IBNR) studies, complicating reserve estimation for actuarial professionals. This work presents a novel Bayesian nowcasting model…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-29 Maochao Xu , Hong Sun , Peng Zhao

Data generation is a fundamental research problem in data management due to its diverse use cases, ranging from testing database engines to data-specific applications. However, real-world entities often involve complex interactions that…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Fan Li , Xiaoyang Wang , Dawei Cheng , Cong Chen , Ying Zhang , Xuemin Lin

Time varying susceptibility of host at individual level due to waning and boosting immunity is known to induce rich long-term behavior of disease transmission dynamics. Meanwhile, the impact of the time varying heterogeneity of host…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-28 Yukihiko Nakata , Ryosuke Omori

We propose a novel approach to approximate the basic reproduction number $R_0$ as spectral radius of the Next-Generation Operator in time-periodic population models by characterizing the latter via evolution semigroups. Once birth/infection…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Dimitri Breda , Simone De Reggi , Jordi Ripoll

During the first months, the Covid-19 pandemic has required most countries to implement complex sequences of non-pharmaceutical interventions, with the aim of controlling the transmission of the virus in the population. To be able to take…

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