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When observations are organized into groups where commonalties exist amongst them, the dependent random measures can be an ideal choice for modeling. One of the propositions of the dependent random measures is that the atoms of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-28 Cheng Luo , Richard Yi Da Xu , Yang Xiang

Partially exchangeable sequences representable as mixtures of Markov chains are completely specified by de Finetti's mixing measure. The paper characterizes, in terms of a subclass of hidden Markov models, the partially exchangeable…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Cecilia Prosdocimi , Lorenzo Finesso

Conformal prediction is a popular, modern technique for providing valid predictive inference for arbitrary machine learning models. Its validity relies on the assumptions of exchangeability of the data, and symmetry of the given model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

We propose an elementary but effective approach to studying a general class of Poissonized tenable and balanced urns on two colors. We characterize the asymptotic behavior of the process via a partial differential equation that governs the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Chen Chen , Panpan Zhang

We consider a version of the classical P\'olya urn scheme which incorporates innovations. The space $S$ of colors is an arbitrary measurable set. After each sampling of a ball in the urn, one returns $C$ balls of the same color and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Jean Bertoin

A classical problem in statistics is estimating the expected coverage of a sample, which has had applications in gene expression, microbial ecology, optimization, and even numismatics. Here we consider a related extension of this problem to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-11 Jerrad Hampton , Manuel E. Lladser

Exchangeability is a central notion in statistics and probability theory. The assumption that an infinite sequence of data points is exchangeable is at the core of Bayesian statistics. However, finite exchangeability as a statistical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-04-24 Mathias Niepert , Guy Van den Broeck

We define a simple rule that allows to describe sequences of projective measurements for a broad class of generalized probabilistic models. This class embraces quantum mechanics and classical probability theory, but, for example, also the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-10-31 Matthias Kleinmann

The probabilities of causation are commonly used to solve decision-making problems. Tian and Pearl derived sharp bounds for the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), the probability of sufficiency (PS), and the probability of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Ang Li , Ruirui Mao , Judea Pearl

Recent research has established sufficient conditions for finite mixture models to be identifiable from grouped observations. These conditions allow the mixture components to be nonparametric and have substantial (or even total) overlap.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-16 Alexander Ritchie , Robert A. Vandermeulen , Clayton Scott

McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MV-SDEs) provide a mathematical description of the behavior of an infinite number of interacting particles by imposing a dependence on the particle density. As such, we study the influence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Haoming Yang , Ali Hasan , Yuting Ng , Vahid Tarokh

We explore the relationship between possibility measures (supremum preserving normed measures) and p-boxes (pairs of cumulative distribution functions) on totally preordered spaces, extending earlier work in this direction by De Cooman and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-04 Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Enrique Miranda , Sebastien Destercke

We propose a way of finding a Stein type characterization of a given absolutely continuous distribution $\mu$ on $\R$ which is motivated by a regression property satisfied by an exchangeable pair $(W,W')$ where $\calL(W)$ is supposed or…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Christian Döbler

Permutation tests are a powerful and flexible approach to inference via resampling. As computational methods become more ubiquitous in the statistics curriculum, use of permutation tests has become more tractable. At the heart of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-09 Johanna Hardin , Lauren Quesada , Julie Ye , Nicholas J. Horton

Collective behaviors that emerge from interactions are fundamental to numerous biological systems. To learn such interacting forces from observations, we introduce a measure-valued neural network that infers measure-dependent interaction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Liyao Lyu , Xinyue Yu , Hayden Schaeffer

Conditional identity in distribution (Berti et al. (2004)) is a new type of dependence for random variables, which generalizes the well-known notion of exchangeability. In this paper, a class of random sequences, called Generalized Species…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-18 Federico Bassetti , Irene Crimaldi , Fabrizio Leisen

The experimentally measured multiplicity distributions exhibit, after closer inspection, peculiarly enhanced void probability and oscillatory behavior of the modified combinants. We show that both these features can be used as additional…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-09-05 M. Rybczynski , Z. Wlodarczyk , G. Wilk

We argue for the use of separate exchangeability as a modeling principle in Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) inference. Separate exchangeability is de facto widely applied in the Bayesian parametric case, e.g., it naturally arises in simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Giovanni Rebaudo , Qiaohui Lin , Peter Mueller

Conformal inference is a fundamental and versatile tool that provides distribution-free guarantees for many machine learning tasks. We consider the transductive setting, where decisions are made on a test sample of $m$ new points, giving…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Ulysse Gazin , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

Finite mixture models are statistical models which appear in many problems in statistics and machine learning. In such models it is assumed that data are drawn from random probability measures, called mixture components, which are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-05 Robert A. Vandermeulen , Clayton D. Scott