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The Poisson multinomial distribution (PMD) describes the distribution of the sum of $n$ independent but non-identically distributed random vectors, in which each random vector is of length $m$ with 0/1 valued elements and only one of its…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-13 Zhengzhi Lin , Yueyao Wang , Yili Hong

While the traditional viewpoint in machine learning and statistics assumes training and testing samples come from the same population, practice belies this fiction. One strategy -- coming from robust statistics and optimization -- is thus…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-08 Maxime Cauchois , Suyash Gupta , Alnur Ali , John C. Duchi

Stochastic interacting particle systems are widely used to model collective phenomena across diverse fields, including statistical physics, biology, and social dynamics. The McKean-Vlasov equation arises as the mean-field limit of such…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-09-17 Zhiqiang Cai , Chengyu Liu , Xiang Zhou

Gibbs-type random probability measures and the exchangeable random partitions they induce represent an important framework both from a theoretical and applied point of view. In the present paper, motivated by species sampling problems, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-06 Stefano Favaro , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

In finite-size population models, one can derive Fokker-Planck equations to describe the fluctuations of the species numbers about the deterministic behaviour. In the steady state of populations comprising two or more species, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-26 D I Russell , R A Blythe

This paper studies Markov Decision Processes under parameter uncertainty. We adapt the distributionally robust optimization framework, and assume that the uncertain parameters are random variables following an unknown distribution, and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Pengqian Yu , Huan Xu

The availability of high-throughput parallel methods for sequencing microbial communities is increasing our knowledge of the microbial world at an unprecedented rate. Though most attention has focused on determining lower-bounds on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-09-15 Manuel Lladser , Raúl Gouet , Jens Reeder

This paper reviews generalized Pareto copulas (GPC), which turn out to be a key to multivariate extreme value theory. Any GPC can be represented in an easy analytic way using a particular type of norm on $\mathbb{R}^d$, called $D$-norm. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Michael Falk , Simone Padoan , Florian Wisheckel

Consider the multicolored urn model where, after every draw, balls of the different colors are added to the urn in a proportion determined by a given stochastic replacement matrix. We consider some special replacement matrices which are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-09 Arup Bose , Amites Dasgupta , Krishanu Maulik

We consider Wald type statistics designed for joint predictability and structural break testing based on the instrumentation method of Phillips and Magdalinos (2009). We show that under the assumption of nonstationary predictors: (i) the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-31 Christis Katsouris

Generalized P\'olya urns with non-linear feedback are an established probabilistic model to describe the dynamics of growth processes with reinforcement, a generic example being competition of agents in evolving markets. It is well known…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Thomas Gottfried , Stefan Grosskinsky

In this paper the class of mixed renewal processes (MRPs for short) with mixing parameter a random vector from \cite{lm6z3} (enlarging Huang's \cite{hu} original class) is replaced by the strictly more comprising class of all extended MRPs…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-20 N. D. Macheras , S. M. Tzaninis

The Dirichlet process mixture model and more general mixtures based on discrete random probability measures have been shown to be flexible and accurate models for density estimation and clustering. The goal of this paper is to illustrate…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-02 Ernesto Barrios , Antonio Lijoi , Luis E. Nieto-Barajas , Igor Prünster

Queueing networks are systems of theoretical interest that find widespread use in the performance evaluation of interconnected resources. In comparison to counterpart models in genetics or mathematical biology, the stochastic (jump)…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-28 Iker Perez , Giuliano Casale

Potential theory is a central tool to understand and analyse Markov processes. In this article, we develop its probabilistic counterpart for branching Markov chains. Specifically, we examine versions of quasi-processes or interlacements…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Steffen Dereich , Martin Maiwald

This paper presents a discrete-event stochastic model for the redistribution of indistinguishable personal items, exemplified by socks, among multiple cohabitants sharing a communal laundry system. Drawing on concepts from ecological…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-05 Syed Haseeb Shah

This paper investigates the relationship between various measure-theoretic properties of U-statistics with fixed sample size $N$ and the same properties of their kernels. Specifically, the random variables are replaced with elements in some…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-07-15 Irina Navrotskaya

We consider consistent particle systems, which include independent random walkers, the symmetric exclusion and inclusion processes, as well as the dual of the KMP model. Consistent systems are such that the distribution obtained by first…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Gioia Carinci , Cristian Giardinà , Frank Redig

We consider the problem of approximating the stationary distribution of an ergodic Markov chain given a set of sampled transitions. Classical simulation-based approaches assume access to the underlying process so that trajectories of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Junfeng Wen , Bo Dai , Lihong Li , Dale Schuurmans

We investigate a continuous time, probability measure-valued dynamical system that describes the process of mutation-selection balance in a context where the population is infinite, there may be infinitely many loci, and there are weak…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-09-20 Steven N. Evans , David Steinsaltz , Kenneth W. Wachter
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