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We study the problem of sampling from strongly log-concave distributions over $\mathbb{R}^d$ using the Poisson midpoint discretization (a variant of the randomized midpoint method) for overdamped/underdamped Langevin dynamics. We prove its…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Rishikesh Srinivasan , Dheeraj Nagaraj

We give the proof of a tight lower bound on the probability that a binomial random variable exceeds its expected value. The inequality plays an important role in a variety of contexts, including the analysis of relative deviation bounds in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-12 Spencer Greenberg , Mehryar Mohri

We consider a distributionally robust second-order stochastic dominance constrained optimization problem. We require the dominance constraints hold with respect to all probability distributions in a Wasserstein ball centered at the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-20 Yu Mei , Jia Liu , Zhiping Chen

In a previous paper, we studied a kernel estimate of the upper edge of a two-dimensional bounded set, based upon the extreme values of a Poisson point process. The initial paper "Geffroy J. (1964) Sur un probl\`eme d'estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-03 Stéphane Girard , Pierre Jacob

We propose a consistent estimator of sharp bounds on the variance of the difference-in-means estimator in completely randomized experiments. Generalizing Robins [Stat. Med. 7 (1988) 773-785], our results resolve a well-known identification…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Peter M. Aronow , Donald P. Green , Donald K. K. Lee

We consider upper exponential bounds for the probability of the event that an absolute deviation of sample mean from mathematical expectation p is bigger comparing with some ordered level epsilon. These bounds include 2 coefficients {alpha,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-13 Vladimir Nikulin

Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

The aim of the present work is to show that the results obtained earlier on the approximation of distributions of sums of independent terms by the accompanying compound Poisson laws may be interpreted as rather sharp quantitative estimates…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Friedrich Götze , Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

Assuming a $q$-variant of the prime $k$-tuple conjecture uniformly, we compute mixed moments of the number of primes in disjoint short intervals and progressions, respectively. This involves estimating the mean of singular series along…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Sun-Kai Leung

In counting experiments, one can set an upper limit on the rate of a Poisson process based on a count of the number of events observed due to the process. In some experiments, one makes several counts of the number of events, using…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-20 Patrick J. Sutton

Murthy and Sethi (Sankhya Ser B \textbf{27}, 201--210 (1965)) gave a sharp upper bound on the variance of a real random variable in terms of the range of values of that variable. We generalise this bound to the complex case and, more…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2011-04-28 Koenraad M. R. Audenaert

We prove that under an easily verifiable set of conditions a sequence of associated random fields converges under rescaling to the Poisson Point Process and give a couple of examples.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-18 Yuri Bakhtin

This paper deals with the scenario approach to robust optimization. This relies on a random sampling of the possibly infinite number of constraints induced by uncertainties in the parameters of an optimization problem. Solving the resulting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Fabien Lauer

The main goal of this article is to put some known results in a common perspective and to simplify their proofs. We start with a simple proof of a result of Vereshchagin saying that $\limsup_n C(x|n)$ equals $C^{0'}(x)$. Then we use the…

Logic · Mathematics 2012-04-03 Laurent Bienvenu , Andrej Muchnik , Alexander Shen , Nikolai Vereshchagin

The Poisson distribution of order $k$ is a special case of a compound Poisson distribution. For $k=1$ it is the standard Poisson distribution. Our main result is a proof that for sufficiently small values of the rate parameter $\lambda$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-03 S. R. Mane

Driven by applications in telecommunication networks, we explore the simulation task of estimating rare event probabilities for tandem queues in their steady state. Existing literature has recognized that importance sampling methods can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Ruoning Zhao , Xinyun Chen

In this paper, we investigate two variants of the secretary problem. In these variants, we are presented with a sequence of numbers $X_i$ that come from distributions $\mathcal{D}_i$, and that arrive in either random or adversarial order.…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Pranav Nuti , Jan Vondrák

The Bayesian evidence, crucial ingredient for model selection, is arguably the most important quantity in Bayesian data analysis: at the same time, however, it is also one of the most difficult to compute. In this paper we present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Stefano Rinaldi , Gabriele Demasi , Walter Del Pozzo , Otto A. Hannuksela

Consider a sequence of $n$ independent random variables with a common continuous distribution $F$, and consider the task of choosing an increasing subsequence where the observations are revealed sequentially and where an observation must be…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-02 Alessandro Arlotto , Vinh V. Nguyen , J. Michael Steele

The Shannon entropy, and related quantities such as mutual information, can be used to quantify uncertainty and relevance. However, in practice, it can be difficult to compute these quantities for arbitrary probability distributions,…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-11 Brendon J. Brewer