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Climate sensitivity is defined as the change in global mean equilibrium temperature after a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration and provides a simple measure of global warming. An early estimate of climate sensitivity, 1.5-4.5{\deg}C,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-04-24 Tamsin L. Edwards , Michel Crucifix , Sandy P. Harrison

The global atmospheric temperature anomalies of Earth reached a maximum in 1998 which has not been exceeded during the subsequent 10 years. The global anomalies are calculated from the average of climate effects occurring in the tropical…

Geophysics · Physics 2008-09-04 David H. Douglass , John R. Christy

We investigate the issue of "dangerous human-made interference with climate" using simulations with GISS modelE driven by measured or estimated forcings for 1880-2003 and extended to 2100 for IPCC greenhouse gas scenarios as well as the…

This paper reports observations of regional and global upper stratosphere temperature (UST) and surface temperature, as well as various climate drivers including greenhouse gases (GHGs), ozone, aerosols, solar variability, snow cover…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-09 Qing-Bin Lu

Modeling globally averaged information on climate forcing from the land surface temperature data, the sea surface temperatures (SST) and the empirically determined relationship between the changes in SST and the turbulent diffusion of heat…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-07-20 Stjepan Marčelja

Climate change has become a significant global concern due to its capacity to cause substantial disruption to daily life by increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Given the rising trend of human interventions in…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ritik Roshan Giri , Arnab Hazra

Climate models exhibit an approximately invariant surface warming pattern in typical end-of-century projections. This observation has been used extensively in climate impact assessments for fast calculations of local temperature anomalies,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-22 Paolo Giani , Arlene M. Fiore , Glenn Flierl , Raffaele Ferrari , Noelle E. Selin

We compare the performance of a recently proposed empirical climate model based on astronomical harmonics against all available general circulation climate models (GCM) used by the IPCC (2007) to interpret the 20th century global surface…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-01-09 Nicola Scafetta

In 2023, the global mean temperature soared to 1.48K above the pre-industrial level, surpassing the previous record by 0.17K. Previous best-guess estimates of known drivers including anthropogenic warming and the El Nino onset fall short by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-31 Helge F. Goessling , Thomas Rackow , Thomas Jung

Freshwater forcing from a retreating Antarctic Ice Sheet could have a wide range of impacts on future global climate. Here, we report on multi-century (present-2250) climate simulations performed using a fully coupled numerical model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-05-21 Shaina Rogstad , Alan Condron , Robert DeConto , David Pollard

Estimating the temperature and metal abundance of the intracluster and the intragroup media is crucial to determine their global metal content and to determine fundamental cosmological parameters. When a spatially resolved temperature or…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 L. Ciotti , S. Pellegrini

There is an ongoing debate in the literature about whether the present global warming is increasing local and global temperature variability. The central methodological issues of this debate relate to the proper treatment of normalised…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-02-24 Miklos Vincze , Ion Borcia , Uwe Harlander

We investigate whether or not the decadal and multi-decadal climate oscillations have an astronomical origin. Several global surface temperature records since 1850 and records deduced from the orbits of the planets present very similar…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-05-31 Nicola Scafetta

Improved knowledge of glacial-to-interglacial global temperature change implies that fast-feedback equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) is 1.2 +/- 0.3{\deg}C (2$\sigma$) per W/m$^2$. Consistent analysis of temperature over the full…

We study time evolution of the relationship between sunspot numbers and global temperatures between 1880 and 2016 using wavelet coherence framework. The results suggest that the relationship is stable in time. Changes in the sunspot numbers…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-30 Ladislav Kristoufek

Climate change is a reality of today. Paleoclimatic proxies and climate predictions based on coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models provide us with temperature data. Using Detrended Fluctuation Analysis, we are investigating…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-03-05 Bora Akgun , Zeynep Isvan , Levent Tuter , Mehmet Levent Kurnaz

The mean surface temperature on Earth and other planets with atmospheres is determined by the radiative balance between the non-reflected incoming solar radiation and the outgoing long-wave black-body radiation from the atmosphere. The…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Peter D. Ditlevsen

In this study we used the sea surface temperature (SST), El-Nino southern oscillation (ENSO) and Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) time-series for the time period 1900-2012 in order to investigate plausible manifestation of sharp increases…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-03-08 Belolipetsky P. V. , Bartsev S. I. , Degermendzhi A. G. , Huang-Hsiung Hsu , Varotsos C. A.

The recent discovery of long term growth constants in the accumulation of atmospheric CO2, confirmed by two methods, enables analog methods for dating the beginning of climate change at ~1780 and projecting its near term future. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-12 Jessie Lydia Henshaw

The primary ingredient of Anthropogenic Global Warming hypothesis is the assumption that atmospheric carbon dioxide variations are the cause for temperature variations. In this paper we discuss this assumption and analyze it on basis of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-11-12 Peter Stallinga , Igor Khmelinskii