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We consider a linear transport equation on the edges of a network with time-varying coefficients. Using methods for non-autonomous abstract Cauchy problems, we obtain well-posedness of the problem and describe the asymptotic profile of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-03-12 Fatih Bayazit , Britta Dorn , Marjeta Kramar Fijavž

In this thesis, we provide an initial investigation into bounds for topological entropy of switched linear systems. Entropy measures, roughly, the information needed to describe the behavior of a system with finite precision on finite time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-14 James Schmidt

In randomized controlled trials without interference, regression adjustment is widely used to enhance the efficiency of treatment effect estimation. This paper extends this efficiency principle to settings with network interference, where a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Xinyuan Fan , Chenlei Leng , Weichi Wu

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

Time series analysis is critical for emerging net- work intelligent control and management functions. However, existing statistical-based and shallow machine learning models have shown limited prediction capabilities on multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Yufeng Xin , Ethan Fan

We investigate interaction networks that we derive from multivariate time series with methods frequently employed in diverse scientific fields such as biology, quantitative finance, physics, earth and climate sciences, and the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-01-10 Stephan Bialonski , Martin Wendler , Klaus Lehnertz

The study of random graphs and networks had an explosive development in the last couple of decades. Meanwhile, techniques for the statistical analysis of sequences of networks were less developed. In this paper we focus on networks…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2017-04-18 Daniel Fraiman , Nicolas Fraiman , Ricardo Fraiman

We prove a sequence of limiting results about weakly dependent stationary and regularly varying stochastic processes in discrete time. After deducing the limiting distribution for individual clusters of extremes, we present a new type of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Bojan Basrak , Hrvoje Planinic , Philippe Soulier

Methods of estimation and forecasting for stationary models are well known in classical time series analysis. However, stationarity is an idealization which, in practice, can at best hold as an approximation, but for many time series may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Shreyan Ganguly , Peter F. Craigmile

We study models of weighted exponential random graphs in the large network limit. These models have recently been proposed to model weighted network data arising from a host of applications including socio-econometric data such as migration…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-12 Shankar Bhamidi , Suman Chakraborty , Skyler Cranmer , Bruce Desmarais

Weighted empirical risk minimization is a common approach to prediction under distribution drift. This article studies its out-of-sample prediction error under nonstationarity. We provide a general decomposition of the excess risk into a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Tobias Brock , Thomas Nagler

The time elapsed model describes the firing activity of an homogeneous assembly of neurons thanks to the distribution of times elapsed since the last discharge. It gives a mathematical description of the probability density of neurons…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2011-09-16 Khashayar Pakdaman , Benoît Perthame , Delphine Salort

In this paper, we introduce a novel concept for learning of the parameters in a neural network. Our idea is grounded on modeling a learning problem that addresses a trade-off between (i) satisfying local objectives at each node and (ii)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-04 Dimche Kostadinov , Behrooz Razdehi , Slava Voloshynovskiy

In this article, we consider flexible seasonal time series models which consist of a common trend function over periods and additive individual trend (seasonal effect) functions. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the local linear…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-03-11 Kyong-Hui Kim , Hak-Myong Pak

Topological data analysis (TDA) approaches are becoming increasingly popular for studying the dependence patterns in multivariate time series data. In particular, various dependence patterns in brain networks may be linked to specific tasks…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Anass El Yaagoubi Bourakna , Moo K. Chung , Hernando Ombao

This article discusses recent developments in the literature of quantile time series models in the cases of stationary and nonstationary underline stochastic processes.

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-23 Christis Katsouris

We propose an Embedding Network Autoregressive Model for multivariate networked longitudinal data. We assume the network is generated from a latent variable model, and these unobserved variables are included in a structural peer effect…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Jae Ho Chang , Subhadeep Paul

This paper develops a unified finite-time theory for the ordinary least squares estimation of possibly unstable and even slightly explosive vector autoregressive models under linear restrictions, with the applicable region $\rho(A)\leq…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Yao Zheng , Guang Cheng

In this paper we show how nonlinear internal models can be effectively used in the design of output regulators for nonlinear systems. This result provides a significant enhancement of the non-equilibrium theory for output regulation, which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 C. I. Byrnes , A. Isidori

The question whether a time series behaves as a random walk or as a station- ary process is an important and delicate problem, particularly arising in financial statistics, econometrics, and engineering. This paper studies the problem to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Ansgar Steland