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This paper considers nonparametric estimation and inference in first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) models with deterministically time-varying parameters. A key feature of the proposed approach is to allow for time-varying stationarity in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-04 Donald W. K. Andrews , Ming Li

We characterize the large-sample properties of network modularity in the presence of covariates, under a natural and flexible nonparametric null model. This provides for the first time an objective measure of whether or not a particular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-04 Beate Franke , Patrick J. Wolfe

An important problem in network analysis is predicting a node attribute using both network covariates, such as graph embedding coordinates or local subgraph counts, and conventional node covariates, such as demographic characteristics.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-24 Robert Lunde , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

In order to assess the short-term memory performance of non-linear random neural networks, we introduce a measure to quantify the dependence of a neural representation upon the past context. We study this measure both numerically and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-03-08 Gilles Wainrib

Local dependence random graph models are a class of block models for network data which allow for dependence among edges under a local dependence assumption defined around the block structure of the network. Since being introduced by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-06 Jonathan R. Stewart

Unsupervised estimation of latent variable models is a fundamental problem central to numerous applications of machine learning and statistics. This work presents a principled approach for estimating broad classes of such models, including…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-27 Animashree Anandkumar , Daniel Hsu , Adel Javanmard , Sham M. Kakade

We study general nonlinear models for time series networks of integer and continuous valued data. The vector of high dimensional responses, measured on the nodes of a known network, is regressed non-linearly on its lagged value and on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-25 Mirko Armillotta , Konstantinos Fokianos

One of the main challenges in the study of time-varying networks is the interplay of memory effects with structural heterogeneity. In particular, different nodes and dyads can have very different statistical properties in terms of both link…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-20 Giulio Virginio Clemente , Claudio J. Tessone , Diego Garlaschelli

While logistic regression models are easily accessible to researchers, when applied to network data there are unrealistic assumptions made about the dependence structure of the data. For temporal networks measured in discrete time, recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Daniel K. Sewell

The process of pattern formation for a multi-species model anchored on a time varying network is studied. A non homogeneous perturbation superposed to an homogeneous stable fixed point can amplify, as follows a novel mechanism of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-11 Julien Petit , Ben Lauwens , Duccio Fanelli , Timoteo Carletti

We provide asymptotic approximations to the distribution of statistics that are obtained from network data for limiting sequences that let the number of nodes (agents) in the network grow large. Network formation is permitted to be…

General Economics · Economics 2021-11-03 Konrad Menzel

Temporal networks have been increasingly used to model a diversity of systems that evolve in time; for example human contact structures over which dynamic processes such as epidemics take place. A fundamental aspect of real-life networks is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-08 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

In this study, we develop an asymptotic theory of nonparametric regression for a locally stationary functional time series. First, we introduce the notion of a locally stationary functional time series (LSFTS) that takes values in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Daisuke Kurisu

Estimating the unknown causal dependencies among graph-connected time series plays an important role in many applications, such as sensor network analysis, signal processing over cyber-physical systems, and finance engineering. Inference of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-02 Rohan Money , Joshin Krishnan , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

In response to the continuously changing feedstock supply and market demand for products with different specifications, the processes need to be operated at time-varying operating conditions and targets (e.g., setpoints) to improve the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-28 Lai Wei , Ryan McCloy , Jie Bao

We formulate nonparametric and semiparametric hypothesis testing of multivariate stationary linear time series in a unified fashion and propose new test statistics based on estimators of the spectral density matrix. The limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Yoshihiro Yajima , Yasumasa Matsuda

I briefly survey several fascinating topics in networks and nonlinearity. I highlight a few methods and ideas, including several of personal interest, that I anticipate to be especially important during the next several years. These topics…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-11-13 Mason A. Porter

We address the inference problem concerning regression coefficients in a classical linear regression model using least squares estimates. The analysis is conducted under circumstances where network dependency exists across units in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-03 Jing Lei , Kehui Chen , Haeun Moon

This paper develops the asymptotic theory for parametric and nonparametric regression models when the errors have a fractional local to unity root (FLUR) model structure. FLUR models are stationary time series with semi-long range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Farzad Sabzikar , Kris De Brabanter