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The Akaike information criterion (AIC) is a common tool for model selection. It is frequently used in violation of regularity conditions at parameter space singularities and boundaries. The expected AIC is generally not asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-09 Jonathan D. Mitchell , Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

We study the law of the iterated logarithm (LIL) for the maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters (as a convex optimization problem) in the generalized linear models with independent or weakly dependent ($\rho$-mixing, $m$-dependent)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Xiaowei Yang , Shuang Song , Huiming Zhang

The spiked Wigner ensemble is a prototypical model for high-dimensional inference. We study the spectral properties of an inhomogeneous rank-one spiked Wigner model in which the variance of each entry of the noise matrix is itself a random…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-04-21 Leonardo S. Ferreira , Fernando L. Metz

Non-concave penalized maximum likelihood methods, such as the Bridge, the SCAD, and the MCP, are widely used because they not only do parameter estimation and variable selection simultaneously but also have a high efficiency as compared to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-31 Yuta Umezu , Yusuke Shimizu , Hiroki Masuda , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

We revisit the fundamental question of simple-versus-simple hypothesis testing with an eye towards computational complexity, as the statistically optimal likelihood ratio test is often computationally intractable in high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-05 Ankur Moitra , Alexander S. Wein

In this paper, we study limiting laws and consistent estimation criteria for the extreme eigenvalues in a spiked covariance model of dimension $p$. Firstly, for fixed $p$, we propose a generalized estimation criterion that can consistently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Jianwei Hu , Jingfei Zhang , Jianhua Guo , Ji Zhu

Model selection is of fundamental importance to high dimensional modeling featured in many contemporary applications. Classical principles of model selection include the Kullback-Leibler divergence principle and the Bayesian principle,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-12 Jinchi Lv , Jun S. Liu

Classical confidence intervals after best subset selection are widely implemented in statistical software and are routinely used to guide practitioners in scientific fields to conclude significance. However, there are increasing concerns in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Huiming Lin , Meng Li

A bias correction to Akaike's information criterion (AIC) is derived for seemingly unrelated regressions models. The correction is of particular use when the sample size is not much larger than the number of fitted parameters. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-05 J. L. van Velsen

We study the statistical decision process of detecting the low-rank signal from various signal-plus-noise type data matrices, known as the spiked random matrix models. We first show that the principal component analysis can be improved by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Ji Hyung Jung , Hye Won Chung , Ji Oon Lee

The widely applicable information criterion (WAIC) has been used as a model selection criterion for Bayesian statistics in recent years. It is an asymptotically unbiased estimator of the Kullback-Leibler divergence between a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

The spiked model is an important special case of the Wishart ensemble, and a natural generalization of the white Wishart ensemble. Mathematically, it can be defined on three kinds of variables: the real, the complex and the quaternion. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-08 Dong Wang

Penalized likelihood methods with an $\ell_{\gamma}$-type penalty, such as the Bridge, the SCAD, and the MCP, allow us to estimate a parameter and to do variable selection, simultaneously, if $\gamma\in (0,1]$. In this method, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-28 Yuta Umezu , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

We study the problem of detecting the presence of a single unknown spike in a rectangular data matrix, in a high-dimensional regime where the spike has fixed strength and the aspect ratio of the matrix converges to a finite limit. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-18 Ahmed El Alaoui , Michael I. Jordan

Effective model selection is critical in symbolic regression (SR) to identify mathematical expressions that balance accuracy and complexity, and have low expected error on unseen data. Many modern implementations of genetic programming (GP)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Ali Soltani , Gabriel Kronberger , Fabricio Olivetti de Franca , Mattia Billa , Alessandro Lucantonio

Akaike's information criterion (AIC) is a measure of the quality of a statistical model for a given set of data. We can determine the best statistical model for a particular data set by the minimization of the AIC. Since we need to evaluate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-21 Keiji Kimura , Hayato Waki

Accurate statistical models of neural spike responses can characterize the information carried by neural populations. But the limited samples of spike counts during recording usually result in model overfitting. Besides, current models…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-17 Qi She , Xiaoli Wu , Beth Jelfs , Adam S. Charles , Rosa H. M. Chan

Model selection is indispensable to high-dimensional sparse modeling in selecting the best set of covariates among a sequence of candidate models. Most existing work assumes implicitly that the model is correctly specified or of fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Pallavi Basu , Yang Feng , Jinchi Lv

We study the computational task of detecting and estimating correlated signals in a pair of spiked matrices $$ X=\tfrac{\lambda}{\sqrt{n}} xu^{\top}+W, \quad Y=\tfrac{\mu}{\sqrt{n}} yv^{\top}+Z $$ where the spikes $x,y$ have correlation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Zhangsong Li

This paper examines the limit properties of information criteria (such as AIC, BIC, HQIC) for distinguishing between the unit root model and the various kinds of explosive models. The explosive models include the local-to-unit-root model,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Yubo Tao , Jun Yu