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Estimating the number of communities is one of the fundamental problems in community detection. We re-examine the Bayesian paradigm for stochastic block models and propose a "corrected Bayesian information criterion",to determine the number…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-18 Jianwei Hu , Hong Qin , Ting Yan , Yunpeng Zhao

Motivated by multimodal estimation, we study a multi-view spiked Wigner model in which several noisy matrix observations contain correlated latent spikes. We derive a spectral estimator for the latent spikes by linearizing approximate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Xiaodong Yang , Subhabrata Sen , Yue M. Lu

Models with unnormalized probability density functions are ubiquitous in statistics, artificial intelligence and many other fields. However, they face significant challenges in model selection if the normalizing constants are intractable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Rong Bian , Kung-Sik Chan , Bing Cheng , Howell Tong

Unmeasured covariates constitute one of the important problems in causal inference. Even if there are some unmeasured covariates, some instrumental variable methods such as a two-stage residual inclusion (2SRI) estimator, or a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Shunichiro Orihara

In model selection literature, two classes of criteria perform well asymptotically in different situations: Bayesian information criterion (BIC) (as a representative) is consistent in selection when the true model is finite dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-03 Wei Liu , Yuhong Yang

For prediction models developed on clustered data that do not account for cluster heterogeneity in model parameterization, it is crucial to use cluster-based validation to assess model generalizability on unseen clusters. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Jiaxing Qiu , Douglas E. Lake , Pavel Chernyavskiy , Teague R. Henry

Regularized models have been applied in lots of areas, with high-dimensional data sets being popular. Because tuning parameter decides the theoretical performance and computational efficiency of the regularized models, tuning parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Pan Shang , Lingchen Kong , Yiting Ma

While the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) are powerful tools for model selection in linear regression, they are built on different prior assumptions and thereby apply to different data generation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-15 MB de Kock , HC Eggers

We test three common information criteria (IC) for selecting the order of a Hawkes process with an intensity kernel that can be expressed as a mixture of exponential terms. These processes find application in high-frequency financial data…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-05 J. M. Chen , A. G. Hawkes , E. Scalas , M. Trinh

The Bayesian and Akaike information criteria aim at finding a good balance between under- and over-fitting. They are extensively used every day by practitioners. Yet we contend they suffer from at least two afflictions: their penalty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Sylvain Sardy , Maxime van Cutsem , Sara van de Geer

Claeskens and Hjort (2003) constructed the focused information criterion (FIC) and developed frequentist model averaging methods using maximum likelihood estimators assuming the observations to be independent and identically distributed.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-24 S. C. Pandhare , T. V. Ramanathan

We consider the problem of estimating a rank-one perturbation of a Wigner matrix in a setting of low signal-to-noise ratio. This serves as a simple model for principal component analysis in high dimensions. The mutual information per…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-09-25 Ahmed El Alaoui , Florent Krzakala

Model selection in linear regression models is a major challenge when dealing with high-dimensional data where the number of available measurements (sample size) is much smaller than the dimension of the parameter space. Traditional methods…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-05 Prakash B. Gohain , Magnus Jansson

We develop an algorithm for model selection which allows for the consideration of a combinatorially large number of candidate models governing a dynamical system. The innovation circumvents a disadvantage of standard model selection which…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-11-01 Niall M. Mangan , J. Nathan Kutz , Steven L. Brunton , Joshua L. Proctor

We study model selection by the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in fixed-dimensional exploratory factor analysis over a fixed finite family of compact covariance classes. Our main result shows that the BIC is strongly consistent for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Hien Duy Nguyen , Kei Hirose

Robust model-fitting to spectroscopic transitions is a requirement across many fields of science. The corrected Akaike and Bayesian information criteria (AICc and BIC) are most frequently used to select the optimal number of fitting…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-25 John K. Webb , Chung-Chi Lee , Robert F. Carswell , Dinko Milaković

In the problem of selecting variables in a multivariate linear regression model, we derive new Bayesian information criteria based on a prior mixing a smooth distribution and a delta distribution. Each of them can be interpreted as a fusion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Haruki Kono , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We study the statistical decision process of detecting the signal from a `signal+noise' type matrix model with an additive Wigner noise. We propose a hypothesis test based on the linear spectral statistics of the data matrix, which does not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-05 Ji Hyung Jung , Hye Won Chung , Ji Oon Lee

We consider a linear regression model, with the parameter of interest a specified linear combination of the regression parameter vector. We suppose that, as a first step, a data-based model selection (e.g. by preliminary hypothesis tests or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-27 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri

The spiked covariance model has gained increasing popularity in high-dimensional data analysis. A fundamental problem is determination of the number of spiked eigenvalues, $K$. For estimation of $K$, most attention has focused on the use of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-07 Zheng Tracy Ke , Yucong Ma , Xihong Lin