English
Related papers

Related papers: Feasible Conditional Belief Distributions

200 papers

This paper characterizes the conditions under which the observed beliefs of a group of agents are consistent with Bayesian updating. Beliefs are consistent with Bayesianism if they arise from the application of Bayes' rule given some…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-01-19 Pooya Molavi

The hidden-action model captures a fundamental problem of principal-agent theory and provides an optimal sharing rule when only the outcome but not the effort can be observed. However, the hidden-action model builds on various explicit and…

General Economics · Economics 2020-04-15 Stephan Leitner , Friederike Wall

We propose a stochastic model of opinion exchange in networks. A finite set of agents is organized in a fixed network structure. There is a binary state of the world and each agent receives a private signal on the state. We model beliefs as…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-01-31 Emilien Macault

Beliefs are not facts, but they are factive - they feel like facts. This property is what can make misinformation dangerous. Being able to deliberately navigate through a landscape of often conflicting factive statements is difficult when…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-07-12 Philip Feldman , Aaron Dant , Wayne Lutters

In many quantum information processing protocols, entangled states shared among parties are an important resource. In this article, we study how bipartite states may be distributed in the context of a quantum network limited by timing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-03-01 Kfir Dolev , Alex May , Kianna Wan

We model the communication of narratives as a cheap-talk game under model uncertainty. The sender has private information about the true data generating process of publicly observable data. The receiver is uncertain about how to interpret…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-09 Gerrit Bauch , Manuel Foerster

Interest in how democracies form consensus has increased recently, with statistical physics and economics approaches both suggesting that there is convergence to a fixed point in belief networks, but with fluctuations in opinions when there…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-05-30 Emily Dong , Sarah Marzen

In diffusion social learning over weakly-connected graphs, it has been shown recently that influential agents shape the beliefs of non-influential agents. This paper analyzes this mechanism more closely and addresses two main questions.…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Hawraa Salami , Bicheng Ying , Ali H. Sayed

We study the problem of distributed cooperative learning, where a group of agents seeks to agree on a set of hypotheses that best describes a sequence of private observations. In the scenario where the set of hypotheses is large, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Mohammad Taha Toghani , César A. Uribe

In this paper, we study the consensus problem for continuous-time and discrete-time multi-agent systems in state-dependent switching networks. In each case, we first consider the networks with fixed connectivity, in which the communication…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-12-17 Gangshan Jing , Yuanshi Zheng , Long Wang

Suppose we are given the conditional probability of one variable given some other variables.Normally the full joint distribution over the conditioning variablesis required to determine the probability of the conditioned variable.Under what…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Avi Pfeffer

We introduce a new concept called as the mutual uncertainty between two observables in a given quantum state which enjoys similar features like the mutual information for two random variables. Further, we define the conditional uncertainty…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-10-03 Sk Sazim , Satyabrata Adhikari , Arun K. Pati , Pankaj Agrawal

This work addresses the problem of sharing partial information within social learning strategies. In traditional social learning, agents solve a distributed multiple hypothesis testing problem by performing two operations at each instant:…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-07 Virginia Bordignon , Vincenzo Matta , Ali H. Sayed

Modeling social interactions based on individual behavior has always been an area of interest, but prior literature generally presumes rational behavior. Thus, such models may miss out on capturing the effects of biases humans are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-03-11 Nanda Kishore Sreenivas , Shrisha Rao

We study information design settings where the designer controls information about a state, and there are multiple agents interacting in a game who are privately informed about their types. Each agent's utility depends on all agents' types…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-01-31 Ozan Candogan , Philipp Strack

We develop a logical framework for reasoning about knowledge and evidence in which the agent may be uncertain about how to interpret their evidence. Rather than representing an evidential state as a fixed subset of the state space, our…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Adam Bjorndahl , Aybüke Özgün

We investigate the sample complexity of mutual information and conditional mutual information testing. For conditional mutual information testing, given access to independent samples of a triple of random variables $(A, B, C)$ with unknown…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Jan Seyfried , Sayantan Sen , Marco Tomamichel

We present a behavioral definition of an agent's perceived implication that uniquely identifies a subjective state-space representing her view of a decision problem, and which may differ from the modeler's. By examining belief updating…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Evan Piermont , Peio Zuazo-Garin

We discuss the notions of mutual information and conditional information for noncomposite systems, classical and quantum; both the mutual information and the conditional information are associated with the presence of hidden correlations in…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-04-21 Margarita A. Man'ko

For a setting in which a large number of asymmetrically informed agents are randomly matched into groups over time, exchanging their information with each other when matched, we provide an explicit solution for the dynamics of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-20 Darrell Duffie , Gaston Giroux , Gustavo Manso