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We prove a central limit theorem for the length of the longest subsequence of a random permutation which follows one of a class of repeating patterns. This class includes every fixed pattern of ups and downs having at least one of each,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Aaron Abrams , Eric Babson , Henry Landau , Zeph Landau , James Pommersheim

We consider random interlacements on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d \ge 3$. We show that the percolation function that to each $u \ge 0$ attaches the probability that the origin does not belong to an infinite cluster of the vacant set at level $u$, is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Alain-Sol Sznitman

We consider a borderline case: the central limit theorem for a strictly stationary time series with infinite variance but a Gaussian limit. In the iid case a well-known sufficient condition for this central limit theorem is regular…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Muneya Matsui , Thomas Mikosch

\cite{HillMotegi2017} present a new general asymptotic theory for the maximum of a random array $\{\mathcal{X}_{n}(i)$ $:$ $1$ $\leq $ $i$ $\leq $ $\mathcal{L}\}_{n\geq 1}$, where each $\mathcal{X}_{n}(i)$ is assumed to converge in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-27 Jonathan B. Hill

We consider the sequential composite binary hypothesis testing problem in which one of the hypotheses is governed by a single distribution while the other is governed by a family of distributions whose parameters belong to a known set…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Jiachun Pan , Yonglong Li , Vincent Y. F. Tan

We study the minimal random walk introduced by Kumar, Harbola and Lindenberg. It is a random process on $\{0, 1, \ldots \}$ with unbounded memory which exhibits subdiffusive, diffusive and superdiffusive regimes. We prove the law of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Cristian F Coletti , Lucas R de Lima , Renato Gava

The block maxima method is a classical and widely applied statistical method for time series extremes. It has recently been found that respective estimators whose asymptotics are driven by empirical means can be improved by using sliding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Axel Bücher , Torben Staud

Models based on assumptions of multivariate regular variation and hidden regular variation provide ways to describe a broad range of extremal dependence structures when marginal distributions are heavy tailed. Multivariate regular variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Janet E. Heffernan , Sidney I. Resnick

We prove two lower bounds for stopping times of sequential tests between general composite nulls and alternatives. The first lower bound is for the setting where the type-1 error level $\alpha$ approaches zero, and equals $\log(1/\alpha)$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Shubhada Agrawal , Aaditya Ramdas

Let $\{X_{k,i};i\geq 1,k\geq 1\}$ be an array of i.i.d. random variables and let $\{p_n;n\geq 1\}$ be a sequence of positive integers such that $n/p_n$ is bounded away from 0 and $\infty$. For $W_n=\max_{1\leq i<j\leq…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Deli Li , Andrew Rosalsky

We prove a Central Limit Theorem for the empirical optimal transport cost, $\sqrt{\frac{nm}{n+m}}\{\mathcal{T}_c(P_n,Q_m)-\mathcal{T}_c(P,Q)\}$, in the semi discrete case, i.e when the distribution $P$ is supported in $N$ points, but…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-15 Eustasio del Barrio , Alberto González-Sanz , Jean-Michel Loubes

We study recurrence properties and the validity of the (weak) law of large numbers for (discrete time) processes which, in the simplest case, are obtained from simple symmetric random walk on $\Z$ by modifying the distribution of a step…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-12 Olivier Raimond , Bruno Schapira

Consider a Markov chain $(X_n)_{n\geqslant 0}$ with values in the state space $\mathbb X$. Let $f$ be a real function on $\mathbb X$ and set $S_0=0,$ $S_n = f(X_1)+\cdots + f(X_n),$ $n\geqslant 1$. Let $\mathbb P_x$ be the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-28 Ion Grama , Ronan Lauvergnat , Émile Le Page

This paper develops a theory of distribution- and time-uniform asymptotics, culminating in the first large-sample anytime-valid inference procedures that are shown to be uniformly valid in a rich class of distributions. Historically,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Ian Waudby-Smith , Edward H. Kennedy , Aaditya Ramdas

Let $(X_n)_{n\ge 1}$ be a Markov chain on a measurable state space $X$, and let $S_n = \sum_{k=1}^n f(X_k)$ be the associated Markov walk. For $y>0$, denote by $\tau_y$ the first time at which $y+S_n$ becomes non-positive. Assuming that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Yunfan Zhao , Xiaojing Chen

We prove annealed central limit theorems for finite pattern counts in the measurement record of discrete-time quantum trajectories generated by repeated measurements in a disordered environment. Under summable mixing assumptions on the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-04-01 Lubashan Pathirana

We consider a run-and-tumble particle (RTP) in one dimension, subjected to a telegraphic noise with a constant rate $\gamma$, and in the presence of an external confining potential $V(x) = \alpha |x|^p$ with $p \geq 1$. We compute the mean…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-25 Mathis Guéneau , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We introduce a multidimensional walk with memory and random tendency. The asymptotic behaviour is characterized, proving a law of large numbers and showing a phase transition from diffusive to superdiffusive regimes. In first case, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-09 Manuel González-Navarrete

Let $(X,\p_x)$ be a continuous time Markov chain with finite or countable state space $S$ and let $T$ be its first passage time in a subset $D$ of $S$. It is well known that if $\mu$ is a quasi-stationary distribution relatively to $T$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-25 Romain Bourget , Loïc Chaumont , Natalia Sapoukhina

We consider a multidimensional random walk in a product random environment with bounded steps, transience in some spatial direction, and high enough moments on the regeneration time. We prove an invariance principle, or functional central…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Firas Rassoul-Agha , Timo Seppalainen