English

Exponentiality of first passage times of continuous time Markov chains

Probability 2013-10-25 v5

Abstract

Let (X,\px)(X,\p_x) be a continuous time Markov chain with finite or countable state space SS and let TT be its first passage time in a subset DD of SS. It is well known that if μ\mu is a quasi-stationary distribution relatively to TT, then this time is exponentially distributed under \pμ\p_\mu. However, quasi-stationarity is not a necessary condition. In this paper, we determine more general conditions on an initial distribution μ\mu for TT to be exponentially distributed under \pμ\p_\mu. We show in addition how quasi-stationary distributions can be expressed in terms of any initial law which makes the distribution of TT exponential. We also study two examples in branching processes where exponentiality does imply quasi-stationarity.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1105.5310,
  title  = {Exponentiality of first passage times of continuous time Markov chains},
  author = {Romain Bourget and Loïc Chaumont and Natalia Sapoukhina},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1105.5310},
  year   = {2013}
}