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Although basketball is a dynamic process sport, with 5 plus 5 players competing on both offense and defense simultaneously, learning some static information is predominant for professional players, coaches and team mangers. In order to have…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-05 Guanyu Hu , Hou-Cheng Yang , Yishu Xue , Dipak K. Dey

Intelligent behaviour in the physical world exhibits structure at multiple spatial and temporal scales. Although movements are ultimately executed at the level of instantaneous muscle tensions or joint torques, they must be selected to…

This paper introduces an evolutionary dynamics based on imitate the better realization (IBR) rule. Under this rule, agents in a population game imitate the strategy of a randomly chosen opponent whenever the opponent`s realized payoff is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-07-10 George Loginov

Team sports represent complex phenomena characterized by both spatial and temporal dimensions, making their analysis inherently challenging. In this study, we examine team sports as complex systems, specifically focusing on the tactical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Camille Grange , Quentin Bourgeais , Rodolphe Charrier , Géraldine Del Mondo , Antoine Dutot , Eric Sanlaville , Ludovic Seifert

In the realm of statistical learning, the increasing volume of accessible data and increasing model complexity necessitate robust methodologies. This paper explores two branches of robust Bayesian methods in response to this trend. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Masahiro Tanaka

The G-equation is a popular model for premixed turbulent combustion. Mathematically it has attracted a lot of interest in part because it is a simple example of a Hamilton-Jacobi equation which is only coercive `on average'. This paper…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-11-05 William M Feldman

We analyze the time series of soccer matches in a model-free way using data for the German soccer league (Bundesliga). We argue that the goal difference is a better measure for the overall fitness of a team than the number of points. It is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Andreas Heuer , Oliver Rubner

Within baseball analytics, there is substantial interest in comprehensive statistics intended to capture overall player performance. One such measure is Wins Above Replacement (WAR), which aggregates the contributions of a player in each…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-25 Benjamin S. Baumer , Shane T. Jensen , Gregory J. Matthews

We consider a pursuit-evasion game [11] played between two agents, 'Blue' (the pursuer) and 'Red' (the evader), over $T$ time steps. Red aims to attack Blue's territory. Blue's objective is to intercept Red by time $T$ and thereby limit the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Shiva Navabi , Osonde A. Osoba

Orientation is a crucial skill for football players that becomes a differential factor in a large set of events, especially the ones involving passes. However, existing orientation estimation methods, which are based on computer-vision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Adrià Arbués-Sangüesa , Adrián Martín , Paulino Granero , Coloma Ballester , Gloria Haro

This paper employs a Bayesian methodology to predict the results of soccer matches in real-time. Using sequential data of various events throughout the match, we utilize a multinomial probit regression in a novel framework to estimate the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Chinmay Divekar , Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy

The expected goal models have gained popularity, but their interpretability is often limited, especially when trained using black-box methods. Explainable artificial intelligence tools have emerged to enhance model transparency and extract…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-31 Mustafa Cavus , Adrian Stando , Przemyslaw Biecek

Penalty kicks in soccer are decided under extreme time constraints, where goalkeepers benefit from anticipating shot direction from the kickers motion before or around ball contact. In this paper, MambaKick is presented as a learning-based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Henry O. Velesaca , David Freire-Obregon , Abel Reyes-Angulo , Steven Araujo , Angel Sappa

There is a hidden energy in tennis, which cannot be seen or touched. It is the force that controls the flow of the game and is present in all types of matches. This mysterious force is Momentum. This study introduces an evaluation model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Chang Liu , Tongyuan Yang , Yan Zhao

Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution, or a closely related one, have been widely discussed. We here consider a soccer match as an experiment to assess which of two teams is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-09-29 G. K. Skinner , G. H. Freeman

In decision-dependent games, multiple players optimize their decisions under a data distribution that shifts with their joint actions, creating complex dynamics in applications like market pricing. A practical consequence of these dynamics…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Guangzheng Zhong , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu

We have developed a sophisticated statistical model for predicting the hitting performance of Major League baseball players. The Bayesian paradigm provides a principled method for balancing past performance with crucial covariates, such as…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-21 Shane T. Jensen , Blake McShane , Abraham J. Wyner

This paper introduces the Expected Booking (xB) model, a novel metric designed to estimate the likelihood of a foul resulting in a yellow card in football. Through three iterative experiments, employing ensemble methods, the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Adnan Azmat , Su Su Yi

While classical formulations of multi-armed bandit problems assume that each arm's reward is independent and stationary, real-world applications often involve non-stationary environments and interdependencies between arms. In particular,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Ryoma Sato , Shinji Ito

Capturing the playing style of professional soccer coaches is a complex, and yet barely explored, task in sports analytics. Nowadays, the availability of digital data describing every relevant spatio-temporal aspect of soccer matches,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Paolo Cintia , Luca Pappalardo