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We consider how an agent should update her uncertainty when it is represented by a set $\P$ of probability distributions and the agent observes that a random variable $X$ takes on value $x$, given that the agent makes decisions using the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-11-27 Peter D. Grunwald , Joseph Y. Halpern

Game-theoretic interactions with AI agents could differ from traditional human-human interactions in various ways. One such difference is that it may be possible to simulate an AI agent (for example because its source code is known), which…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Vojtech Kovarik , Caspar Oesterheld , Vincent Conitzer

The main goal of this paper is to develop a theory of inference of player valuations from observed data in the generalized second price auction without relying on the Nash equilibrium assumption. Existing work in Economics on inferring…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-05 Denis Nekipelov , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Eva Tardos

This paper provides an analysis of different formal representations of beliefs in epistemic game theory. The aim is to attempt a synthesis of different structures of beliefs in the presence of indeterminate probabilities. Special attention…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-09-09 Yang Liu

Simultaneous reproduction of all financial stylized facts is so difficult that most existing stochastic process-based and agent-based models are unable to achieve the goal. In this study, by extending the decision-making structure of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-22 Kei Katahira , Yu Chen , Gaku Hashimoto , Hiroshi Okuda

Human cooperation depends on how accurately we infer others' motives--how much they value fairness, generosity, or self-interest from the choices they make. We model that process in binary dictator games, which isolate moral trade-offs…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-12 Gregory Stanley , Jun Zhang , Rick Lewis

Economic ensembles can be modeled as networks of interacting agents whose be-haviors are described in terms of game theory. The evolutionary paradigm has been applied to two-person games to discover strategies in this context.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Wan Ahmad Tajuddin Wan Abdullah

A simple model for cooperation between "selfish" agents, which play an extended version of the Prisoner's Dilemma(PD) game, in which they use arbitrary payoffs, is presented and studied. A continuous variable, representing the probability…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 H. Fort

Cooperative game theory studies how to allocate the joint value generated by a set of players. These games are typically analyzed using the characteristic function form with transferable utility, which represents the value attainable by…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-18 Ata Atay , Christian Trudeau

A key feature of human theory-of-mind is the ability to attribute beliefs to other agents as mentalistic explanations for their behavior. But given the wide variety of beliefs that agents may hold about the world and the rich language we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Lance Ying , Almog Hillel , Ryan Truong , Vikash K. Mansinghka , Joshua B. Tenenbaum , Tan Zhi-Xuan

In multi-agent reinforcement learning, the problem of learning to act is particularly difficult because the policies of co-players may be heavily conditioned on information only observed by them. On the other hand, humans readily form…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-05 Pol Moreno , Edward Hughes , Kevin R. McKee , Bernardo Avila Pires , Théophane Weber

We consider a setting in which a principal gets to choose which game from some given set is played by a group of agents. The principal would like to choose a game that favors one of the players, the social preferences of the players, or the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Caspar Oesterheld , Vincent Conitzer

Cooperative game theory has diverse applications in contemporary artificial intelligence, including domains like interpretable machine learning, resource allocation, and collaborative decision-making. However, specifying a cooperative game…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Filip Úradník , David Sychrovský , Jakub Černý , Martin Černý

In the bounded confidence model the opinions of a set of agents evolve over discrete time steps. In each round an agent averages the opinion of all agents whose opinions are at most a certain threshold apart. Here we assume that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-23 Sascha Kurz

The general use of subjective probabilities to model belief has been justified using many axiomatic schemes. For example, ?consistent betting behavior' arguments are well-known. To those not already convinced of the unique fitness and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Paul Snow

We define notions of cautiousness and cautious belief to provide epistemic conditions for iterated admissibility in finite games. We show that iterated admissibility characterizes the behavioral implications of "cautious rationality and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-05-25 Emiliano Catonini , Nicodemo De Vito

We consider a simple simultaneous first price auction for multiple items in a complete information setting. Our goal is to completely characterize the mixed equilibria in this setting, for a simple, yet highly interesting, {\tt AND}-{\tt…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-10-08 Avinatan Hassidim , Haim Kaplan , Yishay Mansour , Noam Nisan

All-pay auctions, a common mechanism for various human and agent interactions, suffers, like many other mechanisms, from the possibility of players' failure to participate in the auction. We model such failures, and fully characterize…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-15 Yoad Lewenberg , Omer Lev , Yoram Bachrach , Jeffrey S. Rosenschein

Understanding the evolution of human social systems requires flexible formalisms for the emergence of institutions. Although game theory is normally used to model interactions individually, larger spaces of games can be helpful for modeling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-12 Seth Frey , Curtis Atkisson

The field of Game Theory provides a useful mechanism for modeling many decision-making scenarios. In participating in these scenarios individuals and groups adopt particular strategies, which generally perform with varying levels of…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-07-24 Francis Lawlor , Rem Collier , Vivek Nallur