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We introduce a novel unsupervised learning method for time series data with latent dynamical structure: the recognition-parametrized Gaussian state space model (RP-GSSM). The RP-GSSM is a probabilistic model that learns Markovian Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Samo Hromadka , Kai Biegun , Lior Fox , James Heald , Maneesh Sahani

Gaussian Markov random fields (GMRFs) are popular for modeling dependence in large areal datasets due to their ease of interpretation and computational convenience afforded by the sparse precision matrices needed for random variable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-16 D. Andrew Brown , Christopher S. McMahan , Stella Watson Self

We introduce a novel training principle for probabilistic models that is an alternative to maximum likelihood. The proposed Generative Stochastic Networks (GSN) framework is based on learning the transition operator of a Markov chain whose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-27 Yoshua Bengio , Éric Thibodeau-Laufer , Guillaume Alain , Jason Yosinski

Inference tasks with time series over graphs are of importance in applications such as urban water networks, economics, and networked neuroscience. Addressing these tasks typically relies on identifying a computationally affordable model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Mohammad Sabbaqi , Riccardo Taormina , Elvin Isufi

The health condition of components in civil infrastructures can be described by various discrete states according to their performance degradation. Inferring these states from measurable responses is typically an ill-posed inverse problem.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-30 Teng Li , Stephen Wu , Yong Huang , James L. Beck , Hui Li

Sampling from Gaussian Markov random fields (GMRFs), that is multivariate Gaussian ran- dom vectors that are parameterised by the inverse of their covariance matrix, is a fundamental problem in computational statistics. In this paper, we…

We introduce Deep Variational Bayes Filters (DVBF), a new method for unsupervised learning and identification of latent Markovian state space models. Leveraging recent advances in Stochastic Gradient Variational Bayes, DVBF can overcome…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-06 Maximilian Karl , Maximilian Soelch , Justin Bayer , Patrick van der Smagt

This paper describes a discrete state-space model -- and accompanying methods -- for generative modelling. This model generalises partially observed Markov decision processes to include paths as latent variables, rendering it suitable for…

We introduce a flexible framework for modeling dependent feature allocations. Our approach addresses limitations in traditional nonparametric methods by directly modeling the logit-probability surface of the feature paintbox, enabling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-22 Bernardo Flores , Yang Ni , Yanxun Xu , Peter Müller

The aim of this paper is to propose diffusion strategies for distributed estimation over adaptive networks, assuming the presence of spatially correlated measurements distributed according to a Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) model. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-22 Paolo Di Lorenzo

Statistical modeling of dependent directional data remains relatively underexplored, particularly in high-dimensional spatial settings. Existing approaches for spatial angular data primarily rely on wrapped Gaussian process (WGP) models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-09 Arnab Hazra

In this paper, we study the problem of inferring spatially-varying Gaussian Markov random fields (SV-GMRF) where the goal is to learn a network of sparse, context-specific GMRFs representing network relationships between genes. An important…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-22 Visweswaran Ravikumar , Tong Xu , Wajd N. Al-Holou , Salar Fattahi , Arvind Rao

Gaussian fields (GFs) are frequently used in spatial statistics for their versatility. The associated computational cost can be a bottleneck, especially in realistic applications. It has been shown that computational efficiency can be…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-13 Xiaoyu Liu , Serge Guillas , Ming-Jun Lai

The Gaussian process state-space model (GPSSM) has attracted extensive attention for modeling complex nonlinear dynamical systems. However, the existing GPSSM employs separate Gaussian processes (GPs) for each latent state dimension,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Zhidi Lin , Juan Maroñas , Ying Li , Feng Yin , Sergios Theodoridis

Our article considers a Gaussian variational approximation of the posterior density in a high-dimensional state space model. The variational parameters to be optimized are the mean vector and the covariance matrix of the approximation. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-20 Matias Quiroz , David J. Nott , Robert Kohn

Learning dynamical models from data is not only fundamental but also holds great promise for advancing principle discovery, time-series prediction, and controller design. Among various approaches, Gaussian Process State-Space Models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Tengjie Zheng , Haipeng Chen , Lin Cheng , Shengping Gong , Xu Huang

We introduce a scalable Gaussian process (GP) framework with deep product kernels for data-driven learning of parametrized spatio-temporal fields over fixed or parameter-dependent domains. The proposed framework learns a continuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Srinath Dama , Prasanth B. Nair

State-space graphical models and the variational autoencoder framework provide a principled apparatus for learning dynamical systems from data. State-of-the-art probabilistic approaches are often able to scale to large problems at the cost…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Matthew Dowling , Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

We consider the problem of model selection in Gaussian Markov fields in the sample deficient scenario. In many practically important cases, the underlying networks are embedded into Euclidean spaces. Using the natural geometric structure,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-31 Ilya Soloveychik , Vahid Tarokh

We propose a deep generative Markov State Model (DeepGenMSM) learning framework for inference of metastable dynamical systems and prediction of trajectories. After unsupervised training on time series data, the model contains (i) a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-14 Hao Wu , Andreas Mardt , Luca Pasquali , Frank Noe