English

Deep Generative Markov State Models

Machine Learning 2019-01-14 v2 Machine Learning Dynamical Systems Probability Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability

Abstract

We propose a deep generative Markov State Model (DeepGenMSM) learning framework for inference of metastable dynamical systems and prediction of trajectories. After unsupervised training on time series data, the model contains (i) a probabilistic encoder that maps from high-dimensional configuration space to a small-sized vector indicating the membership to metastable (long-lived) states, (ii) a Markov chain that governs the transitions between metastable states and facilitates analysis of the long-time dynamics, and (iii) a generative part that samples the conditional distribution of configurations in the next time step. The model can be operated in a recursive fashion to generate trajectories to predict the system evolution from a defined starting state and propose new configurations. The DeepGenMSM is demonstrated to provide accurate estimates of the long-time kinetics and generate valid distributions for molecular dynamics (MD) benchmark systems. Remarkably, we show that DeepGenMSMs are able to make long time-steps in molecular configuration space and generate physically realistic structures in regions that were not seen in training data.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1805.07601,
  title  = {Deep Generative Markov State Models},
  author = {Hao Wu and Andreas Mardt and Luca Pasquali and Frank Noe},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1805.07601},
  year   = {2019}
}