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Graph Networks (GNs) enable the fusion of prior knowledge and relational reasoning with flexible function approximations. In this work, a general GN-based model is proposed which takes full advantage of the relational modeling capabilities…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Charilaos Mylonas , Imad Abdallah , Eleni Chatzi

Many real-world dynamical systems can be described as State-Space Models (SSMs). In this formulation, each observation is emitted by a latent state, which follows first-order Markovian dynamics. A Probabilistic Deep SSM (ProDSSM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

Atmospheric inverse modelling is a method for reconstructing historical fluxes of green-house gas between land and atmosphere, using observed atmospheric concentrations and an atmospheric tracer transport model. The small number of observed…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-08 Unn Dahlen , Johan Linström , Marko Scholze

Studying the effects of air-pollution on health is a key area in environmental epidemiology. An accurate estimation of air-pollution effects requires spatio-temporally resolved datasets of air-pollution, especially, Fine Particulate Matter…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-27 Ron Sarafian , Itai Kloog , Allan C. Just , Johnathan D. Rosenblatt

There has been significant interest in the use of fully-connected graphical models and deep-structured graphical models for the purpose of structured inference. However, fully-connected and deep-structured graphical models have been largely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-18 Alexander Wong , Mohammad Javad Shafiee , Parthipan Siva , Xiao Yu Wang

Gaussian random fields (GRF) are a fundamental stochastic model for spatiotemporal data analysis. An essential ingredient of GRF is the covariance function that characterizes the joint Gaussian distribution of the field. Commonly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Jie Chen , Michael L. Stein

In this contribution we deal with the problem of learning an undirected graph which encodes the conditional dependence relationship between variables of a complex system, given a set of observations of this system. This is a very central…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-26 Daniela De Canditiis , Armando Guardasole

We present the Streaming Gaussian Dirichlet Random Field (S-GDRF) model, a novel approach for modeling a stream of spatiotemporally distributed, sparse, high-dimensional categorical observations. The proposed approach efficiently learns…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-26 J. E. San Soucie , H. M. Sosik , Y. Girdhar

Gaussian conditional random fields (GCRF) are a well-known used structured model for continuous outputs that uses multiple unstructured predictors to form its features and at the same time exploits dependence structure among outputs, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-04 Andrija Petrović , Mladen Nikolić , Miloš Jovanović , Boris Delibašić

Ancestral graph models, introduced by Richardson and Spirtes (2002), generalize both Markov random fields and Bayesian networks to a class of graphs with a global Markov property that is closed under conditioning and marginalization. By…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-19 Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

Modeling data with non-stationary covariance structure is important to represent heterogeneity in geophysical and other environmental spatial processes. In this work, we investigate a multistage approach to modeling non-stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Ashton Wiens , Douglas Nychka , William Kleibe

Graphical Markov models combine conditional independence constraints with graphical representations of stepwise data generating processes.The models started to be formulated about 40 years ago and vigorous development is ongoing.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-12 Nanny Wermuth

This paper presents a Probabilistic State Algebra as an extension of deterministic propositional logic, providing a computational framework for constructing Markov Random Fields (MRFs) through pure linear algebra. By mapping logical states…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Dmitry Lesnik , Tobias Schäfer

We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

Gaussian processes allow for flexible specification of prior assumptions of unknown dynamics in state space models. We present a procedure for efficient Bayesian learning in Gaussian process state space models, where the representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-18 Andreas Svensson , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön

In this paper a new approach for constructing \emph{multivariate} Gaussian random fields (GRFs) using systems of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) has been introduced and applied to simulated data and real data. By solving a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-08 Xiangping Hu , Daniel Simpson , Finn Lindgren , Håvard Rue

In this paper, we propose a probabilistic physics-guided framework, termed Physics-guided Deep Markov Model (PgDMM). The framework targets the inference of the characteristics and latent structure of nonlinear dynamical systems from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Wei Liu , Zhilu Lai , Kiran Bacsa , Eleni Chatzi

Dynamical systems with large state-spaces are often expensive to thoroughly explore experimentally. Coarse-graining methods aim to define simpler systems which are more amenable to analysis and exploration; most current methods, however,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Michalis Michaelides , Dimitrios Milios , Jane Hillston , Guido Sanguinetti

We present a new method for estimating multivariate, second-order stationary Gaussian Random Field (GRF) models based on the Sparse Precision matrix Selection (SPS) algorithm, proposed by Davanloo et al. (2015) for estimating scalar GRF…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-12 Sam Davanloo Tajbakhsh , Necdet Serhat Aybat , Enrique del Castillo

Gaussian concentration graph models and covariance graph models are two classes of graphical models that are useful for uncovering latent dependence structures among multivariate variables. In the Bayesian literature, graphs are often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-08 Hao Wang