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200 papers

Machine learning (ML) models used in prediction and classification tasks may display performance disparities across population groups determined by sensitive attributes (e.g., race, sex, age). We consider the problem of evaluating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Lucas Monteiro Paes , Ananda Theertha Suresh , Alex Beutel , Flavio P. Calmon , Ahmad Beirami

Offline Reinforcement Learning (RL) presents a promising paradigm for training autonomous vehicle (AV) planning policies from large-scale, real-world driving logs. However, the extreme data imbalance in these logs, where mundane scenarios…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Antonio Guillen-Perez

Long-tail motion forecasting is a core challenge for autonomous driving, where rare yet safety-critical events-such as abrupt maneuvers and dense multi-agent interactions-dominate real-world risk. Existing approaches struggle in these…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Bin Rao , Chengyue Wang , Haicheng Liao , Qianfang Wang , Yanchen Guan , Jiaxun Zhang , Xingcheng Liu , Meixin Zhu , Kanye Ye Wang , Zhenning Li

Goal-conditioned policies, such as those learned via imitation learning, provide an easy way for humans to influence what tasks robots accomplish. However, these robot policies are not guaranteed to execute safely or to succeed when faced…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Hyun Joe Jeong , Rosy Chen , Andrea Bajcsy

Computation of extreme quantiles and tail-based risk measures using standard Monte Carlo simulation can be inefficient. A method to speed up computations is provided by importance sampling. We show that importance sampling algorithms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-21 Henrik Hult , Jens Svensson

Collaborative filtering is one of the most used approaches for providing recommendations in various online environments. Even though collaborative recommendation methods have been widely utilized due to their simplicity and ease of use,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-04-25 Nikolaos Polatidis , Christos K. Georgiadis

This paper considers the specification of covariance structures with tail estimates. We focus on two aspects: (i) the estimation of the VaR-CoVaR risk matrix in the case of larger number of time series observations than assets in a…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-25 Christis Katsouris

In an era of information explosion, recommendation systems play an important role in people's daily life by facilitating content exploration. It is known that user activeness, i.e., number of behaviors, tends to follow a long-tail…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Zheqi Lv , Feng Wang , Shengyu Zhang , Kun Kuang , Hongxia Yang , Fei Wu

We show how to reduce the problem of computing VaR and CVaR with Student T return distributions to evaluation of analytical functions of the moments. This allows an analysis of the risk properties of systems to be carefully attributed…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-01 William T. Shaw

In collaborative recommendation systems, privacy may be compromised, as users' opinions are used to generate recommendations for others. In this paper, we consider an online collaborative recommendation system, and we measure users' privacy…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2015-10-30 Seth Gilbert , Xiao Liu , Haifeng Yu

This study introduces a new analytical framework for quantifying multivariate risk measures. Using the Wishart process, which is a stochastic process with values in the space of positive definite matrices, we derive several conditional tail…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-09 Jose Da Fonseca , Patrick Wong

We develop an extreme value framework for CoVaR centered on $v(q \mid p ; C)$, the copula-adjusted probability level, or equivalently, the CoVaR on the uniform (0,1) scale. We characterize the possible tail regimes of $v(q \mid p ; C)$…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Xiaoting Li , Harry Joe

One of the main challenges in autonomous robotic exploration and navigation in unknown and unstructured environments is determining where the robot can or cannot safely move. A significant source of difficulty in this determination arises…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-09-07 David D. Fan , Sharmita Dey , Ali-akbar Agha-mohammadi , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Variational inference with {\alpha}-divergences has been widely used in modern probabilistic machine learning. Compared to Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence, a major advantage of using {\alpha}-divergences (with positive {\alpha} values) is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-10 Dilin Wang , Hao Liu , Qiang Liu

Autonomous driving technologies face significant safety challenges while operating under rare, diverse, and visually degraded weather scenarios. These challenges become more critical in cooperative settings, where vehicles and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Junwei You , Pei Li , Zhuoyu Jiang , Zilin Huang , Rui Gan , Haotian Shi , Bin Ran

This paper develops a safety analysis method for stochastic systems that is sensitive to the possibility and severity of rare harmful outcomes. We define risk-sensitive safe sets as sub-level sets of the solution to a non-standard optimal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-28 Margaret P. Chapman , Riccardo Bonalli , Kevin M. Smith , Insoon Yang , Marco Pavone , Claire J. Tomlin

A common bottleneck in evaluating extremal performance measures is that, due to their very nature, tail data are often very limited. The conventional approach selects the best probability distribution from tail data using parametric…

Computation · Statistics 2018-01-03 Henry Lam , Clementine Mottet

User behavior modeling -- which aims to extract user interests from behavioral data -- has shown great power in Click-through rate (CTR) prediction, a key component in recommendation systems. Recently, attention-based algorithms have become…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Han Xu , Taoxing Pan , Zhiqiang Liu , Xiaoxiao Xu , Lantao Hu

Recommender systems play a key role in shaping modern web ecosystems. These systems alternate between (1) making recommendations (2) collecting user responses to these recommendations, and (3) retraining the recommendation algorithm based…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-07-18 Karl Krauth , Yixin Wang , Michael I. Jordan

The popularity of Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), a risk functional from finance, has been growing in the control systems community due to its intuitive interpretation and axiomatic foundation. We consider a nonstandard optimal control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-22 Margaret P. Chapman , Michael Fauss , Kevin M. Smith