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We describe a novel learning-by-synthesis method for estimating gaze direction of an automated intelligent surveillance system. Recently, progress in learning-by-synthesis has proposed training models on synthetic images, which can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Tongtong Zhao , Yuxiao Yan , Jinjia Peng , Zetian Mi , Xianping Fu

Estimating causal effects from observational data is inherently challenging due to the lack of observable counterfactual outcomes and even the presence of unmeasured confounding. Traditional methods often rely on restrictive, untestable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-07 Li Chen , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan

Uncertainty quantification is essential for scientific analysis, as it allows for the evaluation and interpretation of variability and reliability in complex systems and datasets. In their original form, multivariate statistical regression…

Probabilistic software analysis aims at quantifying the probability of a target event occurring during the execution of a program processing uncertain incoming data or written itself using probabilistic programming constructs. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Yicheng Luo , Antonio Filieri , Yuan Zhou

Segmentation-oriented Industrial Anomaly Synthesis (SIAS) plays a pivotal role in enhancing the performance of downstream anomaly segmentation, as it provides an effective means of expanding abnormal data. However, existing SIAS methods…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Xichen Xu , Yanshu Wang , Jinbao Wang , Qunyi Zhang , Xiaoning Lei , Guoyang Xie , Guannan Jiang , Zhichao Lu

PAC-Bayesian analysis is a frequentist framework for incorporating prior knowledge into learning. It was inspired by Bayesian learning, which allows sequential data processing and naturally turns posteriors from one processing step into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-10 Yi-Shan Wu , Yijie Zhang , Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Yevgeny Seldin

In this paper, we present an approach for designing correct-by-design controllers for cyber-physical systems composed of multiple dynamically interconnected uncertain systems. We consider networked discrete-time uncertain nonlinear systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-06 Oliver Schön , Birgit van Huijgevoort , Sofie Haesaert , Sadegh Soudjani

The development of robust and reliable modeling approaches for crystallization processes is often challenging because of non-idealities in real data arising from various sources of uncertainty. This study investigated the effectiveness of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Dingqi Nai , Huayu Li , Martha Grover , Andrew Medford

We present a model-agnostic algorithm for generating post-hoc explanations and uncertainty intervals for a machine learning model when only a static sample of inputs and outputs from the model is available, rather than direct access to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Surin Ahn , Justin Grana , Yafet Tamene , Kristian Holsheimer

In this work, an adaptive predictive control scheme for linear systems with unknown parameters and bounded additive disturbances is proposed. In contrast to related adaptive control approaches that robustly consider the parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Johannes Teutsch , Christopher Narr , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

This paper presents a novel machine-learning framework for reconstructing low-order gust-encounter flow field and lift coefficients from sparse, noisy surface pressure measurements. Our study thoroughly investigates the time-varying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Hanieh Mousavi , Jeff D. Eldredge

In particle physics, as in many areas of science, parameter inference relies on simulations to bridge the gap between theory and experiment. Recent developments in simulation-based inference have boosted the sensitivity of analyses;…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-04-23 Ezequiel Alvarez , Sean Benevedes , Manuel Szewc , Jesse Thaler

As machine learning becomes increasingly prevalent in critical fields such as healthcare, ensuring the safety and reliability of machine learning systems becomes paramount. A key component of reliability is the ability to estimate…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-09 Elisabeth R. M. Heremans , Nabeel Seedat , Bertien Buyse , Dries Testelmans , Mihaela van der Schaar , Maarten De Vos

A common approach to synthetic data is to sample from a fitted model. We show that under general assumptions, this approach results in a sample with inefficient estimators and whose joint distribution is inconsistent with the true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-18 Jordan Awan , Zhanrui Cai

Artificial intelligence (AI) has revolutionized decision-making processes and systems throughout society and, in particular, has emerged as a significant technology in high-impact scenarios of national interest. Yet, despite AI's impressive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-05 Gregory Canal , Vladimir Leung , Philip Sage , Eric Heim , I-Jeng Wang

Existing effect measures for compositional features are inadequate for many modern applications, for example, in microbiome research, since they display traits such as high-dimensionality and sparsity that can be poorly modelled with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Anton Rask Lundborg , Niklas Pfister

Diffusion models have recently emerged as the dominant approach in visual generation tasks. However, the lengthy denoising chains and the computationally intensive noise estimation networks hinder their applicability in low-latency and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Qian Zeng , Jie Song , Yuanyu Wan , Huiqiong Wang , Mingli Song

Understanding the predictions made by Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems is becoming more and more important as deep learning models are used for increasingly complex and high-stakes tasks. Saliency mapping -- a popular visual attribution…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Jessica Cooper , Ognjen Arandjelović , David J Harrison

Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS) is a system identification method that constructs confidence regions for the unknown system parameters. In this paper, we study SPS for ARX systems, and establish that the confidence regions are guaranteed to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-20 Algo Carè , Erik Weyer , Balázs Cs. Csáji , Marco C. Campi

Active statistical inference is a new method for inference with AI-assisted data collection. Given a budget on the number of labeled data points that can be collected and assuming access to an AI predictive model, the basic idea is to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-13 Puheng Li , Tijana Zrnic , Emmanuel Candès