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Prediction sets capture uncertainty by predicting sets of labels rather than individual labels, enabling downstream decisions to conservatively account for all plausible outcomes. Conformal inference algorithms construct prediction sets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-20 Wenwen Si , Sangdon Park , Insup Lee , Edgar Dobriban , Osbert Bastani

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is vital for trustworthy deep learning, yet existing methods are either computationally intensive, such as Bayesian or ensemble methods, or provide only partial, task-specific estimates, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Zhizhong Zhao , Ke Chen

Benchmarking anomaly detection approaches for multivariate time series is a challenging task due to a lack of high-quality datasets. Current publicly available datasets are too small, not diverse and feature trivial anomalies, which hinders…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Lucas Correia , Jan-Christoph Goos , Thomas Bäck , Anna V. Kononova

Effective quantification of uncertainty is an essential and still missing step towards a greater adoption of deep-learning approaches in different applications, including mission-critical ones. In particular, investigations on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

We provide a general solution to a fundamental open problem in Bayesian inference, namely poor uncertainty quantification, from a frequency standpoint, of Bayesian methods in misspecified models. While existing solutions are based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-14 David T. Frazier , Robert Kohn , Christopher Drovandi , David Gunawan

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) methods are increasingly used in safety-critical domains, yet there is no unified framework to jointly evaluate fidelity, interpretability, robustness, fairness, and completeness. We address this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Md. Ariful Islam , Md Abrar Jahin , M. F. Mridha , Nilanjan Dey

Retrieval augmented Question Answering (QA) helps QA models overcome knowledge gaps by incorporating retrieved evidence, typically a set of passages, alongside the question at test time. Previous studies show that this approach improves QA…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Laura Perez-Beltrachini , Mirella Lapata

Bayesian inference is a popular approach to calibrating uncertainties, but it can underpredict such uncertainties when model misspecification is present, impacting its reliability to inform decision making. Recently, the statistics and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Rebekah White , Rileigh Bandy , Teresa Portone

Stochastic simulation has been widely used to analyze the performance of complex stochastic systems and facilitate decision making in those systems. Stochastic simulation is driven by the input model, which is a collection of probability…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-14 Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou

Balanced Singular Perturbation Approximation (SPA) is a model order reduction method for linear time-invariant systems that guarantees asymptotic stability and for which there exists an a priori error bound. In that respect, it is similar…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-10 Björn Liljegren-Sailer , Ion Victor Gosea

Data-centric artificial intelligence (AI) has remarkably advanced medical imaging, with emerging methods using synthetic data to address data scarcity while introducing synthetic-to-real gaps. Unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) shows…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-03 Linyu Fan , Che Wang , Ming Ye , Qizhi Yang , Zejun Wu , Xinghao Ding , Yue Huang , Jianfeng Bao , Shuhui Cai , Congbo Cai

With the advent of generative modeling techniques, synthetic data and its use has penetrated across various domains from unstructured data such as image, text to structured dataset modeling healthcare outcome, risk decisioning in financial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Aman Gupta , Deepak Bhatt , Anubha Pandey

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

Sensitivity analyses reveal the influence of various modeling choices on the outcomes of statistical analyses. While theoretically appealing, they are overwhelmingly inefficient for complex Bayesian models. In this work, we propose…

Traditionally, in supervised machine learning, (a significant) part of the available data (usually 50% to 80%) is used for training and the rest for validation. In many problems, however, the data is highly imbalanced in regard to different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Xiaowei Gu , Plamen P Angelov , Eduardo Almeida Soares

Speech enhancement in hearing aids remains a difficult task in nonstationary acoustic environments, mainly because current signal processing algorithms rely on fixed, manually tuned parameters that cannot adapt in situ to different users or…

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is important for reliability assessment and enhancement of machine learning models. In deep learning, uncertainties arise not only from data, but also from the training procedure that often injects…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-13 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

This paper proposes a novel method of learning by predicting view assignments with support samples (PAWS). The method trains a model to minimize a consistency loss, which ensures that different views of the same unlabeled instance are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Mahmoud Assran , Mathilde Caron , Ishan Misra , Piotr Bojanowski , Armand Joulin , Nicolas Ballas , Michael Rabbat

Explainability and uncertainty quantification are key to trustable artificial intelligence. However, the reasoning behind uncertainty estimates is generally left unexplained. Identifying the drivers of uncertainty complements explanations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Pascal Iversen , Simon Witzke , Katharina Baum , Bernhard Y. Renard

We address the task of probabilistic anomaly attribution in the black-box regression setting, where the goal is to compute the probability distribution of the attribution score of each input variable, given an observed anomaly. The training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-10 Tsuyoshi Idé , Naoki Abe