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Sequential probabilistic inference from streaming observations requires modeling distributions over future trajectories as new observations arrive. Although diffusion and flow-matching models are effective at capturing high-dimensional,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Yinan Huang , Hans Hao-Hsun Hsu , Junran Wang , Bo Dai , Pan Li

Individual-level data (microdata) that characterizes a population, is essential for studying many real-world problems. However, acquiring such data is not straightforward due to cost and privacy constraints, and access is often limited to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Angeela Acharya , Siddhartha Sikdar , Sanmay Das , Huzefa Rangwala

We describe Bayesian inference for the parameters of Gaussian models of bounded data protected by differential privacy. Using this setting, we demonstrate that analysts can and should take constraints imposed by the bounds into account when…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Zeki Kazan , Jerome P. Reiter

When do nonparametric Bayesian procedures ``overfit''? To shed light on this question, we consider a binary regression problem in detail and establish frequentist consistency for a certain class of Bayes procedures based on hierarchical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marc Coram , Steven P. Lalley

Bayesian inference has great promise for the privacy-preserving analysis of sensitive data, as posterior sampling automatically preserves differential privacy, an algorithmic notion of data privacy, under certain conditions (Dimitrakakis et…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-10 James Foulds , Joseph Geumlek , Max Welling , Kamalika Chaudhuri

Data privacy concerns have led to the growing interest in synthetic data, which strives to preserve the statistical properties of the original dataset while ensuring privacy by excluding real records. Recent advances in deep neural networks…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Nir Keret , Ali Shojaie

When machine learning models are trained on synthetic data and then deployed on real data, there is often a performance drop due to the distribution shift between synthetic and real data. In this paper, we introduce a new ensemble strategy…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Haoyuan Sun , Navid Azizan , Akash Srivastava , Hao Wang

This paper examines methods of causal inference based on groupwise matching when we observe multiple large groups of individuals over several periods. We formulate causal inference validity through a generalized matching condition,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-24 Ratzanyel Rincón , Kyungchul Song

When seeking to release public use files for confidential data, statistical agencies can generate fully synthetic data. We propose an approach for making fully synthetic data from surveys collected with complex sampling designs. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Shirley Mathur , Yajuan Si , Jerome P. Reiter

Several official statistics agencies release synthetic data as public use microdata files. In practice, synthetic data do not admit accurate results for every analysis. Thus, it is beneficial for agencies to provide users with feedback on…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-04-04 Tong Lin , Jerome P. Reiter

Recent advancements in generative AI have made it possible to create synthetic datasets that can be as accurate as real-world data for training AI models, powering statistical insights, and fostering collaboration with sensitive datasets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Amy Steier , Lipika Ramaswamy , Andre Manoel , Alexa Haushalter

Bayesian inference is an important technique throughout statistics. The essence of Beyesian inference is to derive the posterior belief updated from prior belief by the learned information, which is a set of differentially private answers…

Databases · Computer Science 2012-11-12 Yonghui Xiao , Li Xiong

Bayesian inference is attractive for its coherence and good frequentist properties. However, it is a common experience that eliciting a honest prior may be difficult and, in practice, people often take an {\em empirical Bayes} approach,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-09 Sonia Petrone , Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

A significant impediment to progress in research on bias in machine learning (ML) is the availability of relevant datasets. This situation is unlikely to change much given the sensitivity of such data. For this reason, there is a role for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-05 William Blanzeisky , Pádraig Cunningham , Kenneth Kennedy

We formulate, and present a numerical method for solving, an inverse problem for inferring parameters of a deterministic model from stochastic observational data (quantities of interest). The solution, given as a probability measure, is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 T. Butler , J. D. Jakeman , T. Wildey

The generation of privacy-preserving synthetic datasets is a promising avenue for overcoming data scarcity in medical AI research. Post-hoc privacy filtering techniques, designed to remove samples containing personally identifiable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Adil Koeken , Alexander Ziller , Moritz Knolle , Daniel Rueckert

Access to individual-level health data is essential for gaining new insights and advancing science. In particular, modern methods based on artificial intelligence rely on the availability of and access to large datasets. In the health…

Data stewards seeking to provide access to large-scale social science data face a difficult challenge. They have to share data in ways that protect privacy and confidentiality, are informative for many analyses and purposes, and are…

With the proliferation of increasingly complicated Deep Learning architectures, data synthesis is a highly promising technique to address the demand of data-hungry models. However, reliably assessing the quality of a 'synthesiser' model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Julia A. Meister , Khuong An Nguyen

Multiple synthetic data generation models have emerged, among which deep learning models have become the vanguard due to their ability to capture the underlying characteristics of the original data. However, the resemblance of the synthetic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Carolina Trindade , Luís Antunes , Tânia Carvalho , Nuno Moniz
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