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The estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects in the potential outcome setting is biased when there exists model misspecification or unobserved confounding. As these biases are unobservable, what model to use when remains a critical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Kosaku Takanashi , Kenichiro McAlinn , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Differential privacy (DP) data synthesizers support public release of sensitive information, offering theoretical guarantees for privacy but limited evidence of utility in practical settings. Utility is typically measured as the error on…

We provide a general solution to a fundamental open problem in Bayesian inference, namely poor uncertainty quantification, from a frequency standpoint, of Bayesian methods in misspecified models. While existing solutions are based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-14 David T. Frazier , Robert Kohn , Christopher Drovandi , David Gunawan

We propose a method for the release of differentially private synthetic datasets. In many contexts, data contain sensitive values which cannot be released in their original form in order to protect individuals' privacy. Synthetic data is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-25 Joshua Snoke , Aleksandra Slavković

While generation of synthetic data under differential privacy (DP) has received a lot of attention in the data privacy community, analysis of synthetic data has received much less. Existing work has shown that simply analysing DP synthetic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-27 Ossi Räisä , Joonas Jälkö , Samuel Kaski , Antti Honkela

Synthetic data generation has emerged as a promising approach to address the challenges of using sensitive financial data in machine learning applications. By leveraging generative models, such as Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 James Meldrum , Basem Suleiman , Fethi Rabhi , Muhammad Johan Alibasa

Generative models producing synthetic data are meant to provide a privacy-friendly approach to releasing data. However, their privacy guarantees are only considered robust when models satisfy Differential Privacy (DP). Alas, this is not a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Georgi Ganev , Emiliano De Cristofaro

Simulator-based models are models for which the likelihood is intractable but simulation of synthetic data is possible. They are often used to describe complex real-world phenomena, and as such can often be misspecified in practice.…

The study of private inference has been sparked by growing concern regarding the analysis of data when it stems from sensitive sources. We present the first method for private Bayesian inference in exponential families that properly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-29 Garrett Bernstein , Daniel Sheldon

Synthetic data generation is gaining increasing popularity in different computer vision applications. Existing state-of-the-art face recognition models are trained using large-scale face datasets, which are crawled from the Internet and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Hatef Otroshi Shahreza , Sébastien Marcel

Evidence synthesis models combine multiple data sources to estimate latent quantities of interest, enabling reliable inference on parameters that are difficult to measure directly. However, shared parameters across data sources can induce…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-06 Fuming Yang , David J. Nott , Anne M. Presanis

Statistical agencies utilize models to synthesize respondent-level data for release to the public for privacy protection. In this work, we efficiently induce privacy protection into any Bayesian synthesis model by employing a pseudo…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-02 Jingchen Hu , Terrance D. Savitsky , Matthew R. Williams

Foundation models, and in particular large language models, can generate highly informative responses, prompting growing interest in using these ''synthetic'' outputs as data in empirical research and decision-making. This paper introduces…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Sanjog Misra

Synthetic data generation is an appealing tool for augmenting and enriching datasets, playing a crucial role in advancing artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML). Not only does synthetic data help build robust AI/ML datasets…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-20 José Pulido , Francesc Wilhelmi , Sergio Fortes , Alfonso Fernández-Durán , Lorenzo Galati Giordano , Raquel Barco

The protection of private information is of vital importance in data-driven research, business, and government. The conflict between privacy and utility has triggered intensive research in the computer science and statistics communities,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-08-11 March Boedihardjo , Thomas Strohmer , Roman Vershynin

Recent advances in generative models facilitate the creation of synthetic data to be made available for research in privacy-sensitive contexts. However, the analysis of synthetic data raises a unique set of methodological challenges. In…

This paper proposes Bayesian mosaic, a parallelizable composite posterior, for scalable Bayesian inference on a broad class of multivariate discrete data models. Sampling is embarrassingly parallel since Bayesian mosaic is a multiplication…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-03 Ye Wang , David Dunson

Catalytic prior distributions provide general, easy-to-use, and interpretable specifications of prior distributions for Bayesian analysis. They are particularly beneficial when the observed data are inadequate to stably estimate a complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-25 Dongming Huang , Feicheng Wang , Donald B. Rubin , S. C. Kou

We target the problem of accuracy and robustness in causal inference from finite data sets. Some state-of-the-art algorithms produce clear output complete with solid theoretical guarantees but are susceptible to propagating erroneous…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Tom Claassen , Tom Heskes

We propose a general method to carry out a valid Bayesian analysis of a finite-dimensional `targeted' parameter in the presence of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We apply our methods to causal inference based on estimating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens
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