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This paper investigates the large sample properties of the variance, weights, and risk of high-dimensional portfolios where the inverse of the covariance matrix of excess asset returns is estimated using a technique called nodewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-16 Laurent Callot , Mehmet Caner , Esra Ulasan , A. Özlem Önder

We introduce a general framework for estimation of inverse covariance, or precision, matrices from heterogeneous populations. The proposed framework uses a Laplacian shrinkage penalty to encourage similarity among estimates from disparate,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-05 Takumi Saegusa , Ali Shojaie

Much research has been carried out on shrinkage methods for real-valued covariance matrices. In spectral analysis of $p$-vector-valued time series there is often a need for good shrinkage methods too, most notably when the complex-valued…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-28 A. T. Walden , D. Schneider-Luftman

Analyzing large samples of high-dimensional data under dependence is a challenging statistical problem as long time series may have change points, most importantly in the mean and the marginal covariances, for which one needs valid tests.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-07 Fabian Mies , Ansgar Steland

When developing risk prediction models, shrinkage methods are recommended, especially when the sample size is limited. Several earlier studies have shown that the shrinkage of model coefficients can reduce overfitting of the prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-29 Ben Van Calster , Maarten van Smeden , Ewout W. Steyerberg

In this work, we propose variations of a Gaussian mixture model (GMM) based channel estimator that was recently proven to be asymptotically optimal in the minimum mean square error (MMSE) sense. We account for the need of low computational…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Benedikt Fesl , Michael Joham , Sha Hu , Michael Koller , Nurettin Turan , Wolfgang Utschick

We study the accuracy of estimating the covariance and the precision matrix of a $D$-variate sub-Gaussian distribution along a prescribed subspace or direction using the finite sample covariance. Our results show that the estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-14 Zeljko Kereta , Timo Klock

The only input to attain the portfolio weights of global minimum variance portfolio (GMVP) is the covariance matrix of returns of assets being considered for investment. Since the population covariance matrix is not known, investors use…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-20 Jinwoo Park

We propose a framework to shrink a user-specified characteristic of a precision matrix estimator that is needed to fit a predictive model. Estimators in our framework minimize the Gaussian negative loglikelihood plus an $L_1$ penalty on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-13 Aaron J. Molstad , Adam J. Rothman

We present a comparison between various algorithms of inference of covariance and precision matrices in small datasets of real vectors, of the typical length and dimension of human brain activity time series retrieved by functional Magnetic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-07 Miguel Ibáñez-Berganza , Carlo Lucibello , Francesca Santucci , Tommaso Gili , Andrea Gabrielli

We propose an Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) learning algorithm, based on our previous work of GMM expansion idea. The new algorithm brings more robustness and simplicity than classic Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm. It also improves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Weiguo Lu , Xuan Wu , Deng Ding , Gangnan Yuan

Mean-variance portfolio decisions that combine prediction and optimisation have been shown to have poor empirical performance. Here, we consider the performance of various shrinkage methods by their efficient frontiers under different…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-03 Andrew Paskaramoorthy , Tim Gebbie , Terence van Zyl

Generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) are a widely used tool in statistical analysis. The main bottleneck of many computational approaches lies in the inversion of the high dimensional precision matrices associated with the random…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-08 Andrea Pandolfi , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Giacomo Zanella

The comovement phenomenon in financial markets creates decision scenarios with positively correlated asset returns. This paper addresses covariance matrix estimation under such conditions, motivated by observations of significant positive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-03 Weilong Liu , Yanchu Liu

This chapter reviews methods for linear shrinkage of the sample covariance matrix (SCM) and matrices (SCM-s) under elliptical distributions in single and multiple populations settings, respectively. In the single sample setting a popular…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-10 Esa Ollila

We study the estimation of the latent variable Gaussian graphical model (LVGGM), where the precision matrix is the superposition of a sparse matrix and a low-rank matrix. In order to speed up the estimation of the sparse plus low-rank…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-01 Pan Xu , Jian Ma , Quanquan Gu

Graphical modeling is a widely used tool for analyzing conditional dependencies between variables and traditional methods may struggle to capture shared and distinct structures in multi-group or multi-condition settings. Joint graphical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Duong H. T. Vo , Nelofer Syed , Thomas Thorne

Graphical models are a powerful tool to estimate a high-dimensional inverse covariance (precision) matrix, which has been applied for a portfolio allocation problem. The assumption made by these models is a sparsity of the precision matrix.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-04 Tae-Hwy Lee , Ekaterina Seregina

We propose a distributionally robust formulation for simultaneously estimating the covariance matrix and the precision matrix of a random vector.The proposed model minimizes the worst-case weighted sum of the Frobenius loss of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-19 Renjie Chen , Viet Anh Nguyen , Huifu Xu

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are probabilistic tools of choice for analyzing conditional dependencies between variables in complex systems. Finding changepoints in the structural evolution of a GGM is therefore essential to detecting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-03 Abhinav Maurya , Mark Cheung