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The stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm is widely used for parameter estimation, especially for huge data sets and online learning. While this recursive algorithm is popular for computation and memory efficiency, quantifying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-23 Wanrong Zhu , Xi Chen , Wei Biao Wu

The Gaussian graphical model (GGM) incorporates an undirected graph to represent the conditional dependence between variables, with the precision matrix encoding partial correlation between pair of variables given the others. To achieve…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-03 Yueqi Qian , Xianghong Hu , Can Yang

While shrinkage is essential in high-dimensional settings, its use for low-dimensional regression-based prediction has been debated. It reduces variance, often leading to improved prediction accuracy. However, it also inevitably introduces…

Phylogenetic trait evolution models allow for the estimation of evolutionary correlations between a set of traits observed in a sample of related organisms. By directly modeling the evolution of the traits along an estimable phylogenetic…

This paper tackles the problem of robust covariance matrix estimation when the data is incomplete. Classical statistical estimation methodologies are usually built upon the Gaussian assumption, whereas existing robust estimation ones assume…

We consider the well-studied problem of predicting the time-varying covariance matrix of a vector of financial returns. Popular methods range from simple predictors like rolling window or exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) to more…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-27 Kasper Johansson , Mehmet Giray Ogut , Markus Pelger , Thomas Schmelzer , Stephen Boyd

Portfolio optimization constitutes a cornerstone of risk management by quantifying the risk-return trade-off. Since it inherently depends on accurate parameter estimation under conditions of future uncertainty, the selection of appropriate…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-15 Juchan Kim , Inwoo Tae , Yongjae Lee

In this paper, we study the problem of learning multi-dimensional Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs), with a specific focus on model order selection and efficient mixing distribution estimation. We first establish an information-theoretic lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-23 Xinyu Liu , Hai Zhang

Approximate inference in probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) can be grouped into deterministic methods and Monte-Carlo-based methods. The former can often provide accurate and rapid inferences, but are typically associated with biases…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-09 Fredrik Lindsten , Jouni Helske , Matti Vihola

We study general singular value shrinkage estimators in high-dimensional regression and classification, when the number of features and the sample size both grow proportionally to infinity. We allow models with general covariance matrices…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-01 Panagiotis Lolas

Estimating time-varying correlation matrices is challenging because existing methods may adapt slowly to structural changes, impose insufficient regularization, or produce diffuse posterior uncertainty. In moderate dimensions, an additional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Daniel Andrew Coulson , David S. Matteson , Martin T. Wells

We introduce a novel approach to portfolio optimization that leverages hierarchical graph structures and the Schur complement method to systematically reduce computational complexity while preserving full covariance information. Inspired by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-18 Gamal Mograby

One of the goals in scaling sequential machine learning methods pertains to dealing with high-dimensional data spaces. A key related challenge is that many methods heavily depend on obtaining the inverse covariance matrix of the data. It is…

Computation · Statistics 2017-07-28 Tomer Lancewicki

We apply a method recently introduced to the statistical literature to directly estimate the precision matrix from an ensemble of samples drawn from a corresponding Gaussian distribution. Motivated by the observation that cosmological…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-05-25 Nikhil Padmanabhan , Martin White , Harrison H. Zhou , Ross O'Connell

This paper presents a new variable selection approach integrated with Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider a sparse projection of input variables and a general stationary covariance model that depends on the Euclidean distance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter

We consider three mathematically equivalent variants of the conjugate gradient (CG) algorithm and how they perform in finite precision arithmetic. It was shown in [{\em Behavior of slightly perturbed Lanczos and conjugate-gradient…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2021-07-19 Anne Greenbaum , Hexuan Liu , Tyler Chen

Linear discriminant analysis (LDA) is a typical method for classification problems with large dimensions and small samples. There are various types of LDA methods that are based on the different types of estimators for the covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Jaehoan Kim , Hoyoung Park , Junyong Park

We address high dimensional covariance estimation for elliptical distributed samples, which are also known as spherically invariant random vectors (SIRV) or compound-Gaussian processes. Specifically we consider shrinkage methods that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-20 Yilun Chen , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

We theoretically and empirically study portfolio optimization under transaction costs and establish a link between turnover penalization and covariance shrinkage with the penalization governed by transaction costs. We show how the ex ante…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-26 Nikolaus Hautsch , Stefan Voigt

Covariance matrix estimation, a classical statistical topic, poses significant challenges when the sample size is comparable to or smaller than the number of features. In this paper, we frame covariance matrix estimation as a compound…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Huqin Xin , Sihai Dave Zhao
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