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Recent seroprevalence studies have tried to estimate the real number of asymptomatic cases affected by COVID-19. It is of paramount importance to understand the impact of these infections in order to prevent a second wave. This study aims…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-13 Leonardo Stella , Alejandro Pinel Martínez , Dario Bauso , Patrizio Colaneri

This paper presents an dashboard developed to analyse the outbreak of the Covid-19 infection in Italy considering daily NUTS-3 data on positive cases provided by the Italian Ministry of Health and on deaths derived from Italian regional…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-03 Luisa Ferrari , Giuseppe Gerardi , Giancarlo Manzi , Alessandra Micheletti , Federica Nicolussi , Silvia Salini

As the unification of various models of ordered quantities, generalized order statistics act as a simplistic approach introduced in \cite{kamps1995concept}. In this present study, results pertaining to the expressions of marginal and joint…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Neetu Gupta , S. K. Neogy , Qazi J. Azhad , Bhagwati Devi

COVID-19 pandemic has been a disruptive event from health, social, and economic points of view. Besides that, changes in people's lifestyles, especially during the 2020 lockdowns, also affected energy networks. COVID-19 pandemic has…

In this paper, we discuss the impact of some mortality data anomalies on an internal model capturing longevity risk in the Solvency 2 framework. In particular, we are concerned with abnormal cohort effects such as those for generations 1919…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-02 Fabrice Balland , Alexandre Boumezoued , Laurent Devineau , Marine Habart , Tom Popa

The spread of COVID-19 has become a significant and troubling aspect of society in 2020. With millions of cases reported across countries, new outbreaks have occurred and followed patterns of previously affected areas. Many disease…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Sharon Levy , William Yang Wang

The daily fluctuations in the released number of Covid-19 cases played a big role both at the beginning and in the most critical weeks of the outbreak, when local authorities in Italy had to decide whether to impose a lockdown and at which…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Claudia Furlan , Cinzia Mortarino

Inspired by the key principle behind the EM algorithm, we propose a general methodology for conducting wavelet estimation with irregularly-spaced data by viewing the data as the observed portion of an augmented regularly-spaced data set. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Thomas C. M. Lee , Xiao-Li Meng

We propose a stochastic SIR model, specified as a system of stochastic differential equations, to analyse the data of the Italian COVID-19 epidemic, taking also into account the under-detection of infected and recovered individuals in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-22 Sara Pasquali , Antonio Pievatolo , Antonella Bodini , Fabrizio Ruggeri

The global crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, in conjunction with the economic consequences and the collapse of health systems, has raised serious concerns in Europe, which is the most affected continent by the pandemic since it…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-26 Konstantinos Demertzis , Lykourgos Magafas , Dimitrios Tsiotas

It is widely accepted that the number of reported cases during the first stages of the COVID-19 pandemic severely underestimates the number of actual cases. We leverage delay embedding theorems of Whitney and Takens and use Gaussian Process…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-02 G. A. Kevrekidis , Z. Rapti , Y. Drossinos , P. G. Kevrekidis , M. A. Barmann , Q. Y. Chen , J. Cuevas-Maraver

The non-equilibrium fluctuations observed in a number of COVID-19 cases and deaths are analyzed from a statistical-dynamical point view. By investigating the data observed around the world which were collected from January 15, 2020 to April…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-06-11 Michio Tokuyama

This article represents the second installment of a series of papers concerned with low regularity solutions for the water wave equations in two space dimensions. Our focus here is on global solutions for small and localized data. Such…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-08-24 Albert Ai , Mihaela Ifrim , Daniel Tataru

The contribution of this work is the introduction of a multivariate circular-linear (or poly- cylindrical) distribution obtained by combining the projected and the skew-normal. We show the flexibility of our proposal, its property of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 Gianluca Mastrantonio

We propose a compartmental mathematical model for the spread of the COVID-19 disease, showing its usefulness with respect to the pandemic in Portugal, from the first recorded case in the country till the end of the three states of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-30 Ana P. Lemos-Paiao , Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

We investigate the description of statistical field theories using Daubechies' orthonormal compact wavelets on a lattice. A simple variational approach is used to extend mean field theory and make predictions for the fluctuation strengths…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2008-02-03 Christoph Best , Andreas Schaefer

Several analytical models have been used in this work to describe the evolution of death cases arising from coronavirus (COVID-19). The Death or `D' model is a simplified version of the SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) model, which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-19 J. E. Amaro , J. Dudouet , J. N. Orce

The advent of the COVID-19 pandemic has instigated unprecedented changes in many countries around the globe, putting a significant burden on the health sectors, affecting the macro economic conditions, and altering social interactions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-23 Dmitry Gordeev , Philipp Singer , Marios Michailidis , Mathias Müller , SriSatish Ambati

Official freely available data about the number of infected at the finest possible level of spatial areal aggregation (Italian provinces) are used to model the spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 infections at local level. Data time…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-23 Diego Giuliani , Maria Michela Dickson , Giuseppe Espa , Flavio Santi

Log-symmetric regression models are particularly useful when the response variable is continuous, strictly positive and asymmetric. In this paper, we proposed a class of log-symmetric regression models in the context of correlated errors.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-22 Helton Saulo , Roberto Vila