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The outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020 has led to a surge in interest in the mathematical modeling of infectious diseases. Such models are usually defined as compartmental models, in which the population under study is divided into compartments…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-16 Malú Grave , Alex Viguerie , Gabriel F. Barros , Alessandro Reali , Alvaro L. G. A. Coutinho

We present a compartmental mathematical model with demography for the spread of the COVID-19 disease, considering also asymptomatic infectious individuals. We compute the basic reproductive ratio of the model and study the local and global…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-17 Vasiliki Bitsouni , Nikolaos Gialelis , Ioannis G. Stratis

Here it is proposed a decomposition in components of the''waves'' which appear in the time series of data related to Covid-19 pandemic. The decomposition is based on functions of \k{appa}-statistics; in particular the \k{appa}-Weibull is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-09 Amelia Carolina Sparavigna

In this paper, we estimate epidemiological data of the COVID-19 pandemic in Hungary using only the daily number of hospitalized patients, and applying well-known techniques from systems and control theory. We use a previously published and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-11 Balazs Csutak , Peter Polcz , Gabor Szederkenyi

As of November 2020, the number of COVID-19 cases is increasing rapidly in many countries. In Europe, the virus spread slowed considerably in the late spring due to strict lockdown, but a second wave of the pandemic grew throughout the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-25 Kristoffer Rypdal , Filippo Maria Bianchi , Martin Rypdal

Mathematical formulations and proofs for a wavelet based statistic employed in functional data analysis is elaborately discussed in this report. The propositions and derivations discussed here apply to a wavelet based statistic with hard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-13 Senthil B. Girimurugan , Eric Chicken

Rule-based models have been successfully used to represent different aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic, including age, testing, hospitalisation, lockdowns, immunity, infectivity, behaviour, mobility and vaccination of individuals. These…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-25 David Alonso , Steffen Bauer , Markus Kirkilionis , Lisa Maria Kreusser , Luca Sbano

The presence of a large number of infected individuals with few or no symptoms is an important epidemiological difficulty and the main mathematical feature of COVID-19. The A-SIR model, i.e. a SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Removed) model with a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-19 Armando G. M. Neves , Gustavo Guerrero

In this article we use the methods of functional data analysis to analyze the number of positive tests, deaths, convalescents, hospitalized and intensive care people during second and third wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in Poland. For this…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-22 Patrycja Hęćka

In this article, we develop a data assimilation procedure to predict the evolution of epidemics with data uncertainty, with application to the Covid-19 pandemic. We construct a vademecum of solutions by solving the SIR epidemic model for a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-28 T. Chacon Rebollo , D. Franco Coronil

We introduce a highly-parallelizable architecture for estimating parameters of compact binary coalescence using gravitational-wave data and waveform models. Using a spherical harmonic mode decomposition, the waveform is expressed as a sum…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-08-06 C. Pankow , P. Brady , E. Ochsner , R. O'Shaughnessy

Facing the world wide coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, a new fitting method (QDF, quasi-distribution fitting) which could be used to analyze the data of COVID-19 is developed based on piecewise quasi-uniform B-spline curves.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-27 Qingliang Zhao , Zhenhuan Lu , Yiduo Wang

For the last few years there has been a resurgence in the use of phenomenological growth models for predicting the early dynamics of infectious diseases. These models assume that time is a continuous variable whereas in the present…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-24 María T. Pérez-Maldonado , Julián Bravo-Castillero , Ricardo Mansilla , Rogelio O. Caballero-Pérez

While COVID-19 is rapidly propagating around the globe, the need for providing real-time forecasts of the epidemics pushes fits of dynamical and statistical models to available data beyond their capabilities. Here we focus on statistical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-08 Tommaso Alberti , Davide Faranda

The last two centuries have seen a significant increase in life expectancy. Although past trends suggest that mortality will continue to decline in the future, uncertainty and instability about the development is greatly increased due to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-28 Asmik Nalmpatian , Christian Heumann , Stefan Pilz

In constructive quantum field theory (CQFT) it is customary to first regularise the theory at finite UV and IR cut-off. Then one first removes the UV cutoff using renormalisation techniques applied to families of CQFT's labelled by finite…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-07-19 T. Thiemann

During 2020, the infection rate of COVID-19 has been investigated by many scholars from different research fields. In this context, reliable and interpretable forecasts of disease incidents are a vital tool for policymakers to manage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Cornelius Fritz , Emilio Dorigatti , David Rügamer

Real-world growth processes, such as epidemic growth, are inherently noisy, uncertain and often involve multiple growth phases. The logistic-sigmoid function has been suggested and applied in the domain of modelling such growth processes.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Oluwasegun A. Somefun , Kayode Akingbade , Folasade Dahunsi

COVID-19 has forced quarantine measures in several countries across the world. These measures have proven to be effective in significantly reducing the prevalence of the virus. To date, no effective treatment or vaccine is available. In the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-02 Davide Faranda , Tommaso Alberti

Given the urgent informational needs connected with the diffusion of infection with regard to the COVID-19 pandemic, in this paper, we propose a sampling design for building a continuous-time surveillance system. Compared with other…