Related papers: Normalized logistic wavelets: Applications to COVI…
The outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020 has led to a surge in interest in the mathematical modeling of infectious diseases. Such models are usually defined as compartmental models, in which the population under study is divided into compartments…
We present a compartmental mathematical model with demography for the spread of the COVID-19 disease, considering also asymptomatic infectious individuals. We compute the basic reproductive ratio of the model and study the local and global…
Here it is proposed a decomposition in components of the''waves'' which appear in the time series of data related to Covid-19 pandemic. The decomposition is based on functions of \k{appa}-statistics; in particular the \k{appa}-Weibull is…
In this paper, we estimate epidemiological data of the COVID-19 pandemic in Hungary using only the daily number of hospitalized patients, and applying well-known techniques from systems and control theory. We use a previously published and…
As of November 2020, the number of COVID-19 cases is increasing rapidly in many countries. In Europe, the virus spread slowed considerably in the late spring due to strict lockdown, but a second wave of the pandemic grew throughout the…
Mathematical formulations and proofs for a wavelet based statistic employed in functional data analysis is elaborately discussed in this report. The propositions and derivations discussed here apply to a wavelet based statistic with hard…
Rule-based models have been successfully used to represent different aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic, including age, testing, hospitalisation, lockdowns, immunity, infectivity, behaviour, mobility and vaccination of individuals. These…
The presence of a large number of infected individuals with few or no symptoms is an important epidemiological difficulty and the main mathematical feature of COVID-19. The A-SIR model, i.e. a SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Removed) model with a…
In this article we use the methods of functional data analysis to analyze the number of positive tests, deaths, convalescents, hospitalized and intensive care people during second and third wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in Poland. For this…
In this article, we develop a data assimilation procedure to predict the evolution of epidemics with data uncertainty, with application to the Covid-19 pandemic. We construct a vademecum of solutions by solving the SIR epidemic model for a…
We introduce a highly-parallelizable architecture for estimating parameters of compact binary coalescence using gravitational-wave data and waveform models. Using a spherical harmonic mode decomposition, the waveform is expressed as a sum…
Facing the world wide coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, a new fitting method (QDF, quasi-distribution fitting) which could be used to analyze the data of COVID-19 is developed based on piecewise quasi-uniform B-spline curves.…
For the last few years there has been a resurgence in the use of phenomenological growth models for predicting the early dynamics of infectious diseases. These models assume that time is a continuous variable whereas in the present…
While COVID-19 is rapidly propagating around the globe, the need for providing real-time forecasts of the epidemics pushes fits of dynamical and statistical models to available data beyond their capabilities. Here we focus on statistical…
The last two centuries have seen a significant increase in life expectancy. Although past trends suggest that mortality will continue to decline in the future, uncertainty and instability about the development is greatly increased due to…
In constructive quantum field theory (CQFT) it is customary to first regularise the theory at finite UV and IR cut-off. Then one first removes the UV cutoff using renormalisation techniques applied to families of CQFT's labelled by finite…
During 2020, the infection rate of COVID-19 has been investigated by many scholars from different research fields. In this context, reliable and interpretable forecasts of disease incidents are a vital tool for policymakers to manage…
Real-world growth processes, such as epidemic growth, are inherently noisy, uncertain and often involve multiple growth phases. The logistic-sigmoid function has been suggested and applied in the domain of modelling such growth processes.…
COVID-19 has forced quarantine measures in several countries across the world. These measures have proven to be effective in significantly reducing the prevalence of the virus. To date, no effective treatment or vaccine is available. In the…
Given the urgent informational needs connected with the diffusion of infection with regard to the COVID-19 pandemic, in this paper, we propose a sampling design for building a continuous-time surveillance system. Compared with other…