Related papers: Tail asymptotics and precise large deviations for …
We consider multi-class systems of interacting nonlinear Hawkes processes modeling several large families of neurons and study their mean field limits. As the total number of neurons goes to infinity we prove that the evolution within each…
We consider generalized Bayesian inference on stochastic processes and dynamical systems with potentially long-range dependency. Given a sequence of observations, a class of parametrized model processes with a prior distribution, and a loss…
This paper provides a detailed description for the asymptotics of exponential functionals of random walks with light/heavy tails. We give the convergence rate based on the key observation that the asymptotics depends on the sample paths…
The Peaks Over Threshold (POT) method is the most popular statistical method for the analysis of univariate extremes. Even though there is a rich applied literature on Bayesian inference for the POT, the asymptotic theory for such proposals…
In this paper, we consider a stochastic system described by a differential equation admitting a spatially varying random coefficient. The differential equation has been employed to model various static physics systems such as elastic…
We consider disjoint and sliding blocks estimators of cluster indices for multivariate, regularly varying time series in the Peak-over-Threshold framework. We aim to provide a complete description of the limiting behaviour of these…
Classic results show that the Hawkes self-exciting point process can be viewed as a collection of temporal clusters, where exogenously generated initial events give rise to endogenously driven descendant events. This perspective provides…
We present exact and asymptotic results for clusters in the one-dimensional totally asymmetric exclusion process (TASEP) with two different dynamics. The expected length of the largest cluster is shown to diverge logarithmically with…
Consider a sample of size $N$ from a population governed by a hierarchical species sampling model. We study the large $N$ asymptotic behavior of the number ${\bf K}_N$ of clusters and the number ${\bf M}_{r,N}$ of clusters with frequency…
We study the tail behavior of Markov-modulated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes -- that is, solutions to Langevin-type stochastic differential equations driven by a background continuous-time Markov chain. To this end, we consider a…
Let $N$ be the number of triangles in an Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph $\mathcal{G}(n,p)$ on $n$ vertices with edge density $p=d/n,$ where $d>0$ is a fixed constant. It is well known that $N$ weakly converges to the Poisson distribution with mean…
Let $F$ be a distribution function on $\mathbb{R}$ with $F(0) = 0 $ and density $f$. Let $\tilde{F}$ be the distribution function of $X_1 - X_2$, $X_i\sim F,\, i=1,2,\text{ iid}$. We show that for a critical Hawkes process with displacement…
The continuous time Markov process considered in this paper belongs to a class of population models with linear growth and catastrophes. There, the catastrophes happen at the arrival times of a Poisson process, and at each catastrophe time,…
Strong anomalous diffusion is {often} characterized by a piecewise-linear spectrum of the moments of displacement. The spectrum is characterized by slopes $\xi$ and $\zeta$ for small and large moments, respectively, and by the critical…
We focus on a data sequence produced by repetitive quantum measurement on an internal hidden quantum system, and call it a hidden Markovian process. Using a quantum version of the Perron-Frobenius theorem, we derive novel upper and lower…
The generalized totally asymmetric exclusion process (TASEP) [J. Stat. Mech. P05014 (2012)] is an integrable generalization of the TASEP equipped with an interaction, which enhances the clustering of particles. The process interpolates…
In this paper, we establish a large deviations principle for a multivariate compound process induced by a multivariate Hawkes process with random marks. Our proof hinges on showing essential smoothness of the limiting cumulant of the…
Asymptotic expansions are derived for the tail distribution of the product of two correlated normal random variables with non-zero means and arbitrary variances, and more generally the sum of independent copies of such random variables.…
Let $\{\zeta_{m,k}^{(\kappa)}(t), t \ge0\}, \kappa>0$ be random processes defined as the differences of two independent stationary chi-type processes with $m$ and $k$ degrees of freedom. In applications such as physical sciences and…
The Hawks process is a point process with a self-exciting property. It has been used to model earthquakes, social media events, infections, etc., and is getting a lot of attention. However, as a real problem, there are often situations…