English

A note on critical Hawkes processes

Probability 2017-06-14 v1

Abstract

Let FF be a distribution function on R\mathbb{R} with F(0)=0F(0) = 0 and density ff. Let F~\tilde{F} be the distribution function of X1X2X_1 - X_2, XiF,i=1,2, iidX_i\sim F,\, i=1,2,\text{ iid}. We show that for a critical Hawkes process with displacement density (= `excitement function' = `decay kernel') ff, the random walk induced by F~\tilde{F} is necessarily transient. Our conjecture is that this condition is also sufficient for existence of a critical Hawkes process. Our train of thought relies on the interpretation of critical Hawkes processes as cluster-invariant point processes. From this property, we identify the law of critical Hawkes processes as a limit of independent cluster operations. We establish uniqueness, stationarity, and infinite divisibility. Furthermore, we provide various constructions: a Poisson embedding, a representation as Hawkes process with renewal immigration, and a backward construction yielding a Palm version of the critical Hawkes process. We give specific examples of the constructions, where FF is regularly varying with tail index α(0,0.5)\alpha\in(0,0.5). Finally, we propose to encode the genealogical structure of a critical Hawkes process with Kesten (size-biased) trees. The presented methods lay the grounds for the open discussion of multitype critical Hawkes processes as well as of critical integer-valued autoregressive time series.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1706.03975,
  title  = {A note on critical Hawkes processes},
  author = {Matthias Kirchner},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1706.03975},
  year   = {2017}
}

Comments

8 pages

R2 v1 2026-06-22T20:17:15.541Z