A note on critical Hawkes processes
Abstract
Let be a distribution function on with and density . Let be the distribution function of , . We show that for a critical Hawkes process with displacement density (= `excitement function' = `decay kernel') , the random walk induced by is necessarily transient. Our conjecture is that this condition is also sufficient for existence of a critical Hawkes process. Our train of thought relies on the interpretation of critical Hawkes processes as cluster-invariant point processes. From this property, we identify the law of critical Hawkes processes as a limit of independent cluster operations. We establish uniqueness, stationarity, and infinite divisibility. Furthermore, we provide various constructions: a Poisson embedding, a representation as Hawkes process with renewal immigration, and a backward construction yielding a Palm version of the critical Hawkes process. We give specific examples of the constructions, where is regularly varying with tail index . Finally, we propose to encode the genealogical structure of a critical Hawkes process with Kesten (size-biased) trees. The presented methods lay the grounds for the open discussion of multitype critical Hawkes processes as well as of critical integer-valued autoregressive time series.
Cite
@article{arxiv.1706.03975,
title = {A note on critical Hawkes processes},
author = {Matthias Kirchner},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1706.03975},
year = {2017}
}
Comments
8 pages