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U-statistics of spatial point processes given by a density with respect to a Poisson process are investigated. In the first half of the paper general relations are derived for the moments of the functionals using kernels from the Wiener-Ito…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Viktor Benes , Marketa Zikmundova

We study adaptive sensing of Cox point processes, a widely used model from spatial statistics. We introduce three tasks: maximization of captured events, search for the maximum of the intensity function and learning level sets of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Mojmír Mutný , Andreas Krause

We derive an analytical expression of the inter-arrival time distribution for a non-homogeneous Poisson process (NHPP). This expression is exact and is applicable to any time interval, finite or infinite. As an illustration, we present…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Gleb Yakovlev , John B. Rundle , Robert Shcherbakov , Donald L. Turcotte

Modeling count data is important in physics and other scientific disciplines, where measurements often involve discrete, non-negative quantities such as photon or neutrino detection events. Traditional parametric approaches can be trained…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-02-10 Anushka Saha , Abhijith Gandrakota , Alexandre V. Morozov

In a Cox model, the partial likelihood, as the product of a series of conditional probabilities, is used to estimate the regression coefficients. In practice, those conditional probabilities are approximated by risk score ratios based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-27 Youngjin Cho , Yili Hong , Pang Du

Monitoring plant and animal populations is an important goal for both academic research and management of natural resources. Successful management of populations often depends on obtaining estimates of their mean or total over a region. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-14 Jay M. Ver Hoef , John K. Jansen

Marginalized models are in great demand by most researchers in the life sciences particularly in clinical trials, epidemiology, health-economics, surveys and many others since they allow generalization of inference to the entire population…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-26 Samuel Iddi , Kwabena Doku-Amponsah

Recent years have seen an increased interest in the application of methods and techniques commonly associated with machine learning and artificial intelligence to spatial statistics. Here, in a celebration of the ten-year anniversary of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Tin Lok James Ng , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

This paper deals with the stochastic modeling of a class of heterogeneous population in a random environment, called birth-death-swap. In addition to demographic events, swap events, i.e. moves between subgroups, occur in the population.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Sarah Kaakai , Nicole El Karoui

We propose a novel continuous testing framework to test the intensities of Poisson Processes. This framework allows a rigorous definition of the complete testing procedure, from an infinite number of hypothesis to joint error rates. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-25 Franck Picard , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Etienne Roquain

The purpose of this paper is to estimate the intensity of a Poisson process $N$ by using thresholding rules. In this paper, the intensity, defined as the derivative of the mean measure of $N$ with respect to $ndx$ where $n$ is a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-30 Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Vincent Rivoirard

Let $\eta_t$ be a Poisson point process of intensity $t\geq 1$ on some state space $\Y$ and $f$ be a non-negative symmetric function on $\Y^k$ for some $k\geq 1$. Applying $f$ to all $k$-tuples of distinct points of $\eta_t$ generates a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

In this paper we present a novel inference methodology to perform Bayesian inference for spatiotemporal Cox processes where the intensity function depends on a multivariate Gaussian process. Dynamic Gaussian processes are introduced to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

In this paper, we present a novel methodology to perform Bayesian inference for Cox processes in which the intensity function is driven by a diffusion process. The novelty lies in the fact that no discretization error is involved, despite…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 Flavio B. Gonçalves , Krzysztof G. Łatuszyński , Gareth O. Roberts

Forecasting costs is now a front burner in empirical economics. We propose an unconventional tool for stochastic prediction of future expenses based on the individual (micro) developments of recorded events. Consider a firm, enterprise,…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-20 Matúš Maciak , Ostap Okhrin , Michal Pešta

This paper is on developing stochastic analysis simultaneously under a general family of probability measures that are not dominated by a single probability measure. The interest in this question originates from the probabilistic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-29 H. Mete Soner , Nizar Touzi , Jianfeng Zhang

We study nonparametric Bayesian inference for the intensity function of a covariate-driven point process. We extend recent results from the literature, showing that a wide class of Gaussian priors, combined with flexible link functions,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

In this paper, the panel count data analysis for recurrent events is considered. Such analysis is useful for studying tumor or infection recurrences in both clinical trial and observational studies. A bivariate Gaussian Cox process model is…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-19 Ye Liang , Yang Li , Bin Zhang

We develop a (nearly) unbiased particle filtering algorithm for a specific class of continuous-time state-space models, such that (a) the latent process $X_t$ is a linear Gaussian diffusion; and (b) the observations arise from a Poisson…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-07 Ruiyang Jin , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Nicolas Chopin

A multivariate fractional Poisson process was recently defined in Beghin and Macci (2016) by considering a common independent random time change for a finite dimensional vector of independent (non-fractional) Poisson processes; moreover it…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci
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