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We compute asymptotic non-linear shrinkage formulas for covariance and precision matrix estimators for weighted sample covariances, and the joint sample-population eigenvector overlap distribution, in the spirit of Ledoit and P\'ech\'e. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Benoit Oriol

In Bayesian Deep Learning, distributions over the output of classification neural networks are often approximated by first constructing a Gaussian distribution over the weights, then sampling from it to receive a distribution over the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Marius Hobbhahn , Agustinus Kristiadi , Philipp Hennig

Distance weighted discrimination (DWD) is a linear discrimination method that is particularly well-suited for classification tasks with high-dimensional data. The DWD coefficients minimize an intuitive objective function, which can solved…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-08 Eric F. Lock

Diffusion models, which convert noise into new data instances by learning to reverse a diffusion process, have become a cornerstone in contemporary generative modeling. In this work, we develop non-asymptotic convergence theory for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Gen Li , Yuting Wei , Yuejie Chi , Yuxin Chen

Ensemble sampling serves as a practical approximation to Thompson sampling when maintaining an exact posterior distribution over model parameters is computationally intractable. In this paper, we establish a regret bound that ensures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Chao Qin , Zheng Wen , Xiuyuan Lu , Benjamin Van Roy

In this paper we propose a new deterministic approximation method, called discretization approximation, for Bayesian computation. Discretization approximation is very simple to understand and to implement, It only requires calculating…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-13 Shifeng Xiong

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing for discrete distributions. In the standard model, where we have sample access to an underlying distribution $p$, extensive research has established optimal bounds for uniformity testing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Piotr Indyk , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal

We derive the sharp non-asymptotical uniform estimations for tails of distributions for classical normed sums of centered normed independent random vectors having a moderate decreasing individual tails of summands.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-08 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

In this paper, we establish the non-asymptotic validity of the multiplier bootstrap procedure for constructing the confidence sets using the Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) algorithm. Under appropriate regularity conditions, our approach…

We consider the problem of efficient simulation estimation of the density function at the tails, and the probability of large deviations for a sum of independent, identically distributed, light-tailed and non-lattice random vectors. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-26 Santanu Dey , Sandeep Juneja , Ankush Agarwal

The hierarchical Dirichlet process is a discrete random measure used as a prior in Bayesian nonparametrics and motivated by the study of groups of clustered data. We study the asymptotic behavior of the power sum symmetric polynomials for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Shui Feng , J. E. Paguyo

Programmatically generating tight differential privacy (DP) bounds is a hard problem. Two core challenges are (1) finding expressive, compact, and efficient encodings of the distributions of DP algorithms, and (2) state space explosion…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Lisa Oakley , Steven Holtzen , Alina Oprea

We study the sample complexity of the Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS) method, which constructs exact, non-asymptotic confidence regions for the true system parameters under mild statistical assumptions, such as independent and symmetric noise…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-04 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

In this paper we consider Bayesian estimation for the parameters of inverse Gaussian distribution. Our emphasis is on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. We provide complete implementation of the Gibbs sampler algorithm. Assuming an…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-17 B. N. Pandey , Pulastya Bandyopadhyay

We establish higher-order nonasymptotic expansions for a difference between probability distributions of sums of i.i.d. random vectors in a Euclidean space. The derived bounds are uniform over two classes of sets: the set of all Euclidean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Mayya Zhilova

This paper proposes a new Bayesian strategy for the smooth estimation of altimetric parameters. The altimetric signal is assumed to be corrupted by a thermal and speckle noise distributed according to an independent and non identically…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-20 Abderrahim Halimi , Corinne Mailhes , Jean-Yves Tourneret , Hichem Snoussi

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for estimating treatment effects, and randomization serves as a reasoned basis for inference. In widely used stratified randomized experiments, randomization-based finite-population asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Haoyang Yu , Ke Zhu , Hanzhong Liu

We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions and Bayes estimators based on observations which are required to be neither independent nor identically distributed. We give general results on the rate of convergence of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Aad van der Vaart

We present a new algorithm based on posterior sampling for learning in Constrained Markov Decision Processes (CMDP) in the infinite-horizon undiscounted setting. The algorithm achieves near-optimal regret bounds while being advantageous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Danil Provodin , Maurits Kaptein , Mykola Pechenizkiy

Dirichlet process mixture model (DPMM) is a popular Bayesian nonparametric model. In this paper, we apply this model to weighted data and then estimate the un-weighted distribution from the corresponding weighted distribution using the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Soghra Bohlourihajjar , Soleiman Khazaei